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One Bet Method Review

One Bet Method is a sports betting tipster service which is supposedly operated by Alistair Widdop. He claims to be able to offer subscribers a consistent and rather generous income through football betting.

What does the product offer?

The headlines for One Bet Method are a massive red flag in and of themselves as far as I am concerned. George Wickerman opens by claiming that you can turn a £25 starting bank into £500+ in “just 7 days”. This is one hell of a claim to make in and of itself, however what really concerns me when opening the One Bet Method sales page is the following: “Fed up of tipsters telling you it take time to profit?”. Any tipster that is vaguely worth their salt will tell you exactly this, so I am rather interested to see how George Wickerman is able to counteract this fact.

So what are you getting with One Bet Method? Supposedly, you can expect to get access to a “ultra low risk” betting system that is “easy to follow”. This is all supposedly based on just a single bet per day. Once again, I am very interested to see the practical application of One Bet Method, especially in terms of turning such a small betting bank into what many would see as a very good weekly income.

Let’s start by taking a look at the logistics of things. As I have already touched upon, One Bet Method is a selective process, with just one bet issued each day. These are not necessarily anything amazing (as I will look at in detail, are arguably bad bets), however they are usually pretty straightforward which is good. The selections for One Bet Method are emailed out by George Wickerman on a daily basis and will be for a fixture the following day.

Moving onto these bets, the majority are surprisingly low odds. In fact, the average odds for selections issued by One Bet Method are supposedly between 1.25 and 2.0. As mentioned, the bets are all pretty simple and George Wickerman says that you should be able to get the odds advised through most bookmakers (he supposedly uses Betfair’s sportsbook).

All of this leads to the numbers side of things and this is where One Bet Method really comes alive. At its core, One Bet Method is all about a staking plan. Whatever you win from an initial bet, you stake on the next bet and so on and so forth until you have hit the target amount. George Wickerman’s example (based around averages) starts with an initial £25 stake and by the end of the week, involves betting £419.43 on a single bet. This seems like a lot to me.

In terms of the strike rate, there is no information made available in terms of how many bets actually win. Instead, George Wickerman focuses on how he is making £500 from £25 “at least 25% of the time”. I can’t help wonder as to how many bets actually win however. As you can probably expect by now, there is no proofing to back any of these claims up.

How does the product work?

At its core, One Bet Method is more akin to a staking plan than it is a straightforward tipster service. In fact, this plan is pretty much central to a lot of the claims made by George Wickerman. The idea is that by compounding everything, you are better able to quickly improve your profits. There is also the argument to be made (which the One Bet Method sales page mostly does) that this is a low risk strategy as you are only ever putting £25 at risk.

There is a whiff of BS about this though as far as I am concerned. Whilst theoretically you are only ever putting £25 of your own money at risk at a time, once a bet wins that money is yours and you are in profit. This means that regardless of how George Wickerman likes to paint One Bet Method, when (using his example) you stake £420, you are still staking £395 of your own money. Obviously one could counteract this by altering ones desired profits, but it doesn’t change that One Bet Method is built on questionable grounds.

In terms of the selections themselves, there is nothing to suggest that the bets that are advised are anything special. In fact, I would go as far as to say that they are what I often refer to as common sense bets. The pursuit of “low risk” bets truthfully minimises a lot of how creative a tipster could be with One Bet Method as a servce.

What is the initial investment?

The way that you pay for One Bet Method is rather different to the majority of tipsters and is based around the core premise. This is rather good as it means that in theory, you are only paying George Wickerman when you win. Essentially when you sign up you pay £24.95 (plus VAT). This will buy you tips up until One Bet Method has 7 wins straight and you have made your first £500.

What isn’t mentioned anywhere really is that One Bet Method is sold through Clickbank. This means that there is a fully 60 day money back guarantee in place should you find that it isn’t really working for you.

What is the rate of return?

The rate of return I have mentioned a number of times, however it is worth breaking it down again here. For every winning streak (and it is important to keep that in mind), you will make a profit of at least £475 from £25. Given that One Bet Method supposedly wins this 25% of the time however, you are actually spending closer to £100 on bets which means that profits drop to closer to £400. There is however the chance for One Bet Method to lose out entirely as well.

Conclusion

George Wickerman does a very good job of painting One Bet Method in a certain light, and so long as you don’t pick too hard at it, it makes sense. There is something of a fallacy at place here however, and that is one of the key reasons that One Bet Method is likely to fail before it even gets itself off the ground. For example, George Wickerman talks about how with One Bet Method, as long as you win once every 20 times, you will have covered your losses. This sounds simple enough on paper.

Unfortunately, you have to win 7 bets on the bounce in this 20 times. What this really means is that you have a very small chance of this happening. I took the liberty of calculating a 6 fold accumulator on Sky Bet with all selections having low odds and being what I would consider to be pretty “sure” bets, I have achieved odds of 7.36/1. That is only on 6 bets. With a 7th, I could easily see these odds increasing. Some may suggest that this isn’t a fair measure of judgement as it is a different type of bet, but I would argue that the principles are similar enough to paint a decent picture.

There is another aspect of One Bet Method that I haven’t looked at before and that is that this isn’t the first outing for the “tipster” who is behind the service. Whoever George Wickerman is really (this is clearly a pen name), the Clickbank ID that is associated with One Bet Method has launched a tipster service before now. This was in the shape of Steady Steve O, a horse racing tipster service that was supposedly operated by one Steve Oliver. Not surprisingly, this service didn’t perform particularly well.

In terms of One Bet Method, probably the best thing that I can say about it is that it is relatively inexpensive. This is more likely than not down to getting what you pay for rather than any real value for money. When the most likely outcome for a service is that you will be lucky to make the claimed income, and hopefully not lose too much in the process, you aren’t exactly looking down the barrel of a second income.

There are even problems linked to the way that you pay for One Bet Method though in my eyes. Whilst I am inherently cynical, it seems to me that a questionable marketer could make the offer of “you don’t have to pay until you win” and seem reasonable whilst actually screwing you in the long run. This kind of approach to payment can be quite unscrupulously manipulated to guarantee a profit for the tipster whilst absolving them of any real accountability. I am not saying that this is the case with One Bet Method, however I can’t turn a blind eye to the possibility either.

For me, all of this makes One Bet Method a no go. The whole premise seems to be deeply flawed and this is not acknowledged anywhere which is yet another point for concern. The kind of fallacy that exists surrounding the staking plan is somewhat delusional and can be outright dangerous, especially for those who can’t necessarily see it for what it is. Truth be told, in saying that you only have to win 1 in 20 to break even (and again, this is a sequence of 7 wins, not just 1), what George Wickerman is really saying is that you can stand to lose up to £500.

All of this massively concerns me, as does that fact that One Bet Method doesn’t really appear to be in any way a genuine tipster service. The one gimmick that it delivers is very likely to struggle to work in the real world and whilst the marketing makes it sound low risk, I would actually argue that One Bet Method is a very high risk product. It will certainly be expensive day to day if you “win” as often as I think that you will (not often at all). I cannot recommend enough giving this one a miss.

 

 

 
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From: Simon Roberts

 

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