1053 Method Review

1053 Method is a new to market horse racing tipster service which is operated by one John McDonald. He claims that his approach to betting provides an incredibly low risk betting solution that almost eradicates potential losses.

Introduction to 1053 Method

One of the things that I personally find to be incredibly overlooked when it comes to a tipster service is the management of risk. So many tipsters are willing to keep throwing money at something until it eventually sticks. All of a sudden, they’re talking about multiple wins per day and how you could have made a certain amount of profit. All whilst ignoring that they all but ran a betting bank into the ground.

You see, risk doesn’t just come into play when you are talking about odds involved. In fact, in my opinion, the risk to your betting bank is the most significant thing to consider. I often use the example of a tipster service I know of that has made literally tens of thousands of points of profit. It has also had losing streaks where you have lost more than 1,600 points over 4 months.

All of which brings me to 1053 Method. A tipster service in which John McDonald claims that there is only ever risk to your betting bank 4% of the time. That is a very fascinating number. And when the concept is combined with some pretty respectable profits, well, it only adds to the appeal. The big question however is whether or not this “1053 Method” can actually deliver on these claims.  

What Does 1053 Method Offer?

In terms of what you are signing up for, 1053 Method is a relatively straight forward tipster service. Albeit with one twist. You see, unlike so many tipsters that are currently out there, John McDonald appears to be different. He actually uses a regimented approach to betting on multiple markets, and it is exactly this that eliminates risk.

You see, each day you receive an email from John McDonald. This contains two multiple selections, each bearing two selections for the same race. One of those is to be backed to win, and one should be layed on a betting exchange (with Betfair recommended in the sales material). All that you have to do is place the two bets, and in theory, you shouldn’t lose money. I’ll be coming back this a little later on.

Now, it should be clear from this that despite the fact that John McDonald has clearly had an interesting idea, ultimately, there isn’t anything about 1053 Method that is really special. The logistics are very much what you would expect from a tipster service these days.

As mentioned, the selections are sent out directly to subscribers via email. From what I have seen, these will typically land with you in the AM. This gives you at least some time to try and get the best possible odds from a bookie (Oddschecker will help, as always). Meanwhile, laying a bet on the exchange is something that you can do pretty much any time.

With all of that out of the way, I want to talk a little about the bets themselves. Obviously, you receive 2 selections per tip when it comes to 1053 Method, but the actual volume of tips can get quite high. For context on this, in the sales material, John McDonald is very keen to point out how he had 40 “winning” bets in just one week. That is 40 bets that were laid on the exchange in 7 days.

The thing with this is that you don’t stop at those 40 bets, because you are also backing horses to win as well. This means that in a week, you would have staked 80 points. Ultimately, that is a very substantial amount for you to risk.

It is probably worth noting that there is a huge amount of variance in terms of the odds involved. Naturally, this impacts what you can win when a horse comes in (with examples going as high as 11/1). But what is really concerning is your potential liability if a horse that you’ve layed wins. Something that outside of a theoretical (and very favourable) example, isn’t really touched on again.

Fortunately, we are told, this shouldn’t be a concern for you. This comes down to the fact that according to John McDonald, he only gets a lay bet wrong 4% of the time. What this means is that you are looking at strike rate of 96% (again, this is only for the lay bets). Meanwhile, we are told that the strike rate for those win bets has an average of 28.9%.

Obviously, the lay bets have a much better result, however, the win strike rate is also a pretty strong example. The thing to keep in mind however, is that they don’t actually come with any proofing. The fact is that you are simply taking John McDonald’s word that the results for 1053 Method are genuine and achievable.

Finally, I want to talk about the staking plan. The fact is that if you are potentially placing 80 bets per week, you need moderate stakes. At level stakes of 1 point per bet, this is somewhat delivered. With that said, it is also quite important to keep in mind that these kind of numbers do also mean staking a significant portion of your betting bank.

How Does 1053 Method Work?

The core idea of 1053 Method is something that I’ve already really covered. And again, I feel John McDonald should be credited. It is quite a good idea in theory. Fundamentally, what 1053 Method boils down to is that you are able to recover your stakes on the win bet, by laying a horse in another race. It’s that straight forward.

Truthfully though, there are a few problems that I have with this. First of all, whilst it sounds good, what we aren’t actually told is how John McDonald finds his bets. This is problematic for me because you are very blindly taking advice, not just once, but twice. Advice that could well end up costing you a substantial amount due to the liability that comes with laying bets.

In the example given in the sales material for 1053 Method, it is all very neat. You lay a horse at 4.0 and end up paying out about £31.59. Then the horse you backed to win loses, so you lose another £10. So that’s a little bit less than £42. Not a massive amount, if you are winning as often as is claimed. Nor if the odds are that low, but the likelihood of both of these things being accurate representations of John McDonald’s advice seem… questionable, at best.

When you combine this very apparent lack of information on a selection process etc. with the fact that there is no proofing, you create a position whereby as a consumer, there is no way that you can make an informed decision about what you are getting yourself into. And that for me is very problematic.

What is the Initial Investment?

John McDonald has two different options available if you want to subscribe to 1053 Method. The first of these is a 60 day trial. This is priced at £30 (plus VAT) and supposedly represents a 50% saving as this is the normal monthly cost. Alternatively, you can opt to sign up for a full 12 months. This is priced at £120 (again, plus VAT) and supposedly represents a saving of £177.

Now, both of these options really come with a 60 day “trial” as both of them are sold through Clickbank. This means that there is a full 60 day money back guarantee in place on almost all of their product, including 1053 Method.  

What is the Rate of Return?

Now we come to the reason that all of us look at betting, and that is how much money we can potentially earn. And this is rather interesting to me because John McDonald doesn’t actually make any longer term claims with 1053 Method.

Instead, he leans very heavily on the week where he had 40 winning ay bets. During this time, we are told that there was a total return of £578.75. This number sounds great, however, you really have to keep in mind a few things. First of all, I think that there is the authenticity of the results. Secondly, even offering the benefit of doubt, this is going to be a “best case scenario” that is unlikely to be replicated.

Let’s not forget that this one week essentially boils down to a profit of almost 60 points. That is more in a week than a lot of tipsters would make in 2 months. The fact is that without genuine proofing, these numbers are all just a bit suspect.

Conclusion for 1053 Method

So, what exactly are you left with when you look at 1053 Method as an entirety? For my money, you have an idea. Potentially a good one, I might say if I were feeling generous. But as is so often the case, an idea is only as good as its execution, and I am not really convinced that John McDonald is the right man to execute this idea.

There are a lot of reasons for this, but I shan’t mince words. Mostly, this comes down to doubts about the authenticity of 1053 Method as a complete product. And the first place that I want to start here is talking about the claimed results.

Now, this applies to all elements of these results. First of all, I want to talk about the 96% strike rate on layed bets. It looked decent. However, based off my experience with lay betting tipsters, it is very much too decent. Even services that have layed outsiders struggle to get a strike rate this high. So, for John McDonald to simply be attaining these kinds of results alongside his win bets seems incredibly unlikely. Especially in the face of that lack of proofing.  

The result for those win bets is slightly more believable. This lends some small amount of credence to the believability. The harsh reality however is that you are still ultimately just taking John McDonald’s word that these are believable results. For my money, that just carries so much risk.

Then there is arguably the single biggest questionable result which is the profit potential. As I’ve said, even if you decide that this is a genuine week that John McDonald has encountered, you have to ask yourself is it sustainable? Because realistically, it just isn’t.

Of course, all of those questionable elements are enough in my opinion to say that 1053 Method isn’t really worth following. However, I have saved the most poignant argument till last. You see, I am actually familiar with the vendor who is selling this through Clickbank. And this isn’t for good reasons.

In actual fact, I have seen them launch a number of tipster services, often with a seemingly good idea or a bit of a unique take on things. These ideas are often backed up by ridiculous and entirely unproven claims, as is the case with 1053 Method. Now this is all problematic, but the nail in the coffin is the fact tat these services are inevitably quietly closed down after the 60 day Clickbank guarantee has expired.

So, with all of this in mind, I just don’t see this as being a service that is worth following. Sure, it is cheap. But that doesn’t count for much if you aren’t paying for a service that is in any way decent. As such, I would say that this is definitely worth a miss.


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Comments (1)

This has been nothing but a disaster since starting. Again yesterday the two horses to lay won. I have had I think in a month just two winners and loads of losers laying so i am stopping today as it is totally the opposite of all the hype and results when it was advertised.

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From: Simon Roberts