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Acca Profits Review

Acca Profits is a new to market horse racing tipster service which is operated by one John Ward. As the name suggests, the service is based around accumulators.

Introduction to Acca Profits

In this line of work, you get to see a lot of tipster services. And whilst there are some really genuine ones, if there’s one thing you get used to seeing it’s ridiculous income claims. In the case of Acca Profits, this is a £9,875 profit from a £5 bet. Is that out of the question? Not entirely. In fact, when you are dealing with accumulators, this kind of thing is entirely plausible. I’ve certainly seen it before with other services.

This brings me to Acca Profits. A tipster service that is seemingly based around the fact you can make a consistent profit through betting on accas. Now I don’t think that the tipster behind the service, John Ward is the first person to make these kinds of claims. Nor do I think that he necessarily be the last. But what he is claiming here are some massive profits. Pretty much week in, week out.

Probably not surprisingly, there are some questions about this. In fact, more than some… The fact is that as compelling as Acca Profits seems to be, John Ward provides very little in the way of evidence and information. This could be a simple oversight. But I’m inclined to believe that it is slightly more likely to be intentional. Of course, I will try to keep an open mind. But let’s get down to it and see if this is the jackpot winner it seems to be.  

What Does Acca Profits Offer?

Whilst there are some elements of Acca Profits that aren’t really typical of a horse racing tipster service, there are a lot that are. Probably not that surprisingly, a massive part of this is the logistical side of things. And for my money, that makes them probably the best place to start. That way, we can look forward to the more interesting… Claims.

So, how exactly is John Ward operating things? If you’ve looked at most of the tipster services that seem to pop up, you probably have a good idea. Acca Profits is a weekday only tipster service from which selections are issued directly to subscribers via email. Of course, this is pretty much industry standard at this point.  

What does stand out however is the fact that the emails are sent out the night before racing. Specifically, John Ward says that you can expect them before 10pm. This has a number of different positive knock on effects including on the odds (which I will come to), but the main one is that it opens the door for Acca Profits to work for… Well, pretty much everybody.

In terms of the quality of the email that you receive when the tips are sent out to Acca Profits subscribers… that is unfortunately rather lacking. Don’t get me wrong, you shouldn’t have any problems placing your bets, but don’t expect a whole lot of guidance about what to do with the selections John Ward sends out.

One of the things that I would recommend is using an odds comparison site. Something like Oddschecker can provide you with potentially massive increases in the available odds compared to simply placing the bets with Betfair (which is what John Ward says he does). And of course those longer odds mean more profit if your bet comes in.

Now, on the topic of odds, as you would expect, you do tend to get some very long shots. This is after all a service which is based around betting on accas. Of course, the biggest return is that headliner for Acca Profits which isn’t a typical example. But you can generally expect to be backing bets at longer odds.

The fact is that even within the individual selections, John Ward favours the kinds of middling odds that can quickly start to add up. Even when you aren’t looking at dealing with particularly big accumulators.

On the topic of this, you could probably be forgiven for thinking that you’re going to end up with massive long accas that just don’t have a prayer of coming in. But that isn’t really the case. Most of what you will be dealing with with Acca Profits are trebles and four fold accas which aren’t really prohibitive.

With all of that talk about the bets out of the way, I want to talk a bit about something that I do rather like about Acca Profits. John Ward favours a relatively low volume approach to betting. In fact, whilst there are multiple selections sent out, ultimately you have just one bet per day. Which, when combined with the five day betting, means very little outlay.

Especially because John Ward recommends level stakes of just 1 point per bet (specifically, he advises stakes of £5). This means that at most, your outlay each week should be just 5 points. Something that sounds incredibly good. I mean, a maximum drawdown of 20 points per month at the strike claimed for Acca Profits means that you’d need a small betting bank. Which means in theory, bigger individual bets.

So, what exactly is the strike rate? Well, it’s noteworthy that John Ward doesn’t make specific claims. We are however told that 7 bets out of 55 won. This would mean that the strike rate for Acca Profits would be 12.75%. Given the fact that you’re dealing with big odds and accas, this looks like a decent number.

How Does Acca Profits Work?

Obviously Acca Profits is all about betting on accumulators. It’s right there in the name. But there is so much more to how a tipster service works than simply “here’s a type of bet you can use to profit”. And one of the single most important things to me is how exactly is a tipster finding their bets? Because without a decent system, it doesn’t mean a whole lot.

This is particularly poignant when you’re dealing with something like Acca Profits. Now there are a few reasons for this, and I will talk about them in detail later. But I will say this. John Ward doesn’t actually do anything to demonstrate that he has either a system in place, or any real understanding of horse racing.

The fact is that the sales material is mostly concerned with two things. One is telling you all the people that Acca Profits “isn’t for”. That is to say “the time wasters” who may actually have reasonable expectations.  Outside of this, John Ward says pretty much nothing about horse racing. Honestly, it seems more like the focus here is on marketing rather than producing anything tangible.

This also seems to apply to the incredibly limited and highly questionable  proofing which frankly is a very small data sample. As such, I would be rather inclined to take all of these with a hefty pinch of salt.

I mean, the best case scenario for this element of Acca Profits is that it is all above board, but even then you are looking at what are very clearly cherry picked bets. A long way from a genuine representation of what you can expect here.

What is the Initial Investment?

There is only one option available if you want to subscribe to Acca Profits. This is a one time payment of £45 (plus VAT), and for this, John Ward provides access to his selections for 3 months. On paper this looks like it could be pretty good value for money.

It is also worth noting that fact that Acca Profits is being sold through Clickbank. This means that there is a full 30 day money back guarantee in place, and to credit John Ward, he does make this clear in the sales material.

What is the Rate of Return?

I want to return to that headline. £9,875 made in profit from a £5 bet. That equates to some 1,975 points. From one bet. It’s one hell of a number. But that isn’t all that there is with Acca Profits. Because that isn’t the only profitable day. In actual fact, John Ward claims that in just 55 days of betting, £20,145.90 was made.

When you consider that John Ward says that he has backed all bets to £5 stakes, this means an absolutely immense profit of 4,029.18 points. In less than 2 months. Of course, this isn’t really proven outside of those questionable betting slips.

Conclusion for Acca Profits

I’m going to call this exactly as I see it. John Ward’s claim here is that in less than 2 months, he has made more profit than most tipsters would make in a decade. In fact, amongst the genuine tipsters that I know of, even that contains some exaggeration. 300 points a year would be a decent result for a lot of tipsters, so for Acca Profits to supposedly be THAT much more profitable is… Well, it’s an incredible and also somewhat questionable claim.

The fact is that when it comes to marketing a tipster service, anybody can say anything. It isn’t the kind of thing that you really see mentioned, but that fact is hard to ignore. And whilst I don’t necessarily want to say that John Ward is simply saying anything, it’s rather difficult to ignore the fact that there simply isn’t that much evidence backing these claims up.

A look at the sales material very clearly demonstrates the key bit of evidence, (which, as it happens is the only bit of evidence) is just… Honestly, it’s just all a bit questionable. And I am very sceptical of it. The fact is that the betting slips that are provided are the same kind of thing that I see every single time from these sorts of tipster services.

If this were combined with… well, anything more, then it might just be acceptable. But there is pretty much nothing from John Ward. When you actually look at everything that he says, there isn’t really anything of substance. There is just those betting slips which aren’t even any kind of comprehensive proofing.

And outside of that, it all pretty much all boils down to the notion that betting on accumulators is somehow inherently better than other forms of betting, and that you are backing John Ward’s “best bets”. For my money, that simply isn’t good enough. Of course, accumulators inherently increase the risk when you are betting, so to present them as somehow being “better” seems erroneous.

Especially because there are some even bigger problems than these when it comes to Acca Profits. They’re just not very “out in the open”. The fact of the matter is this, the vendor who is ultimately selling Acca Profits through Clickbank is one that is well known to me. And the reason that they are well known isn’t a positive one.

So far for 2020, they have put out at least seven other betting services. That is almost one a month (a number that I don’t believe is coincidental given that 30 day money back guarantee period). Whilst ultimately, there are different ideas and approaches behind these systems, the end result has been pretty much the same.

Not long after the money back guarantee has elapsed, the tips tend to drop off, and the services typically end up quietly wrapped up. Now, this isn’t necessarily saying that Acca Profits is definitely going to follow this trend, but unfortunately, I anticipate that it probably will. I certainly don’t believe that John Ward does anything to convince me otherwise.

All of this combined means that I simply wouldn’t recommend Acca Profits. At all. I will, as always, concede the possibility that I could be wrong about John Ward. The fact is that whilst it is very well informed, there is still some speculation here. But as somebody who looks at betting systems as much as I do, I can tell you this, I wouldn’t bet against my being right.

 

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From: Simon Roberts