Bets That Win Review

Bets That Win is a new to market horse racing tipster service that is operated by one Jason Whitwell. There are some seemingly reasonable profits being made from this and a very straight forward approach.  

Introduction to Bets That Win

If you really want to turn a decent profit through betting, take it seriously, and move on to the next level consistency is key. Now, that doesn’t mean that you should be aiming to simply win every single bet that you place. If you could do that… well, I’m pretty sure you’d be psychic or cheating. What I mean by consistency is a view to long term profit. The thing is, consistency can mean different things here. But generally speaking, shorter odds and backing favourites means you have to win more. Longer shots and bigger odds can win less.

This is something that you really need to keep at the back of your mind as you look at this review. Because it is key to the success of Bets That Win. Now, the reason that this initially jumped out at me was, probably not surprisingly, that it is being marketed via email quite aggressively. I received a large number about this before I even knew who Jason Whitwell is. Sometimes, this can be a bit of a red flag, but I always like to check these things out. After all, it would be remiss of me to miss out on the next big thing, just because it was being well marketed.

Unfortunately, there are a lot of concerns with Bets That Win. I can see what Jason Whitwell is trying to do here. That is very apparent from looking through the sales material. But the problem is that having a good idea doesn’t necessarily mean that you’re well placed to deliver on that. I mean… if I said I wanted to make a betting system that just didn’t lose. Well, that’s a great idea. But I know full well that I couldn’t do it. Which would make it a risky investment. The fact is, and I want to say this to the cheap seats an idea is not a betting system. Anyway, let’s get to it.

What Does Bets That Win Offer?

So, the first thing to note about Bets That Win is that it is about as straight forward a tipster service as you can get. And something that you will hear me saying a lot in this review is “and that isn’t necessarily a bad thing”. Because Jason Whitwell does a very good job of presenting a top notch service here.

Now, let’s talk about that simplicity. Bets That Win is a near daily horse racing service. I say that because Jason Whitwell does go out of his way to mention that he only bets Monday through Saturday with no bets at all on Sunday. And, from what I’ve seen so far, this seems to be rigorously stuck to. You are definitely going to get bets for those days. Seemingly come rain or shine.

 As you would expect form any modern tipster service, Jason Whitwell sends out his selections directly via email. And they do tend to land quite early in the day. Typically between 8am and 9am. At the very least, this buys you some time to seek out some decent odds for your bets. Which in my eyes, if I were going to follow Bets That Win, I would want to do.

Of course, this means using an odds comparison site. It means adding extra work to your betting. But there are a few reasons why this is particularly important that I will pick up shortly. The thing is though, Jason Whitwell only finds 2 bets per day. That seems to be a big part of the schtick for Bets That Win. As such, whilst it is undoubtedly extra work, it isn’t actually a lot of it.

With all of that out of the way, I want to talk about the bets. Jason Whitwell favours a very straight forward approach here. All bets are advised as straight win bets. Which is probably necessary, because Bets That Win also seems to exclusively involve backing the favourites in races. Which of course inevitably means low odds (a big part of the need to really ensure you’re getting the most out of your bets).

How low are we talking here? Well, I don’t think I’ve seen a bet from Bets That Win that gets above 5/1. But realistically, the numbers are likely to be lower than this. And that is precisely why I think it is worth shopping around to boost those numbers. Because even a small increase can really add up (in theory).

So, you’re betting on lower odds, you’re dealing with favourites. All should be well with the world, right? Well… Not entirely. Circling back to that point in my introduction. If you’re betting at lower odds, you have to be winning on a very regular basis. However, that doesn’t seem to be the case with Bets That Win.

For some context, in the sales material, Jason Whitwell talks about how successful he had been “last week” (actually ending up being way back in June). This had a strike rate of 50% with 6 bets out of 12 supposedly winning. Every bet that I have seen so far for Bets That Win has been a favourite, and exactly 0 out of 6 bets have won. Admittedly, one of them was a non-runner. But it doesn’t bode well. A far cry from the “1 win in 3 bets” that is quoted in the copy.

Adding to this is the fact that whilst Bets That Win is a level staking affair of 1 point per bet, it is recommended that you have a bank of 30 points. If you’re winning often, that is more than enough. But Bets That Win doesn’t seem to be. At this point, my bank would down 16.67% if I were actually putting my money on this. And with small winners, it isn’t like this can easily be turned around either.  

How Does Bets That Win Work?

Of course, the biggest question with Bets That Win is how exactly is Jason Whitwell finding bets? And this is an area that we receive absolutely zero input on. There is no discussion abut how selections are being found, what kind of philosophy is guiding the process. There is absolutely nothing. Frankly, that just isn’t good enough.

The real frustration of all of this is that I don’t expect a huge amount. I’m wouldn’t want any tipster to feel that they had to give a step by step guide to how they are finding their bets. But there should be something. There really isn’t with Bets That Win. And if I’m honest, that only heightens some suspicions I have as to why all selections seem to be favourites. But I want to come back to this in my conclusion.

So, what you have with Bets That Win is a tipster service that is demonstrably failing. There is no insight into the selection process, which means you can’t even look at a process and think “well, that should start working soon”. The only thing that counts in any way towards a positive for this is that Jason Whitwell does offer a free trial. So at the very least, you aren’t spending your hard earned money backing tips that lose.

Adding to all of this frustration in my eyes is a very distinctive lack of proofing. What we see are 6 bets. So Jason Whitwell clearly understands the importance of providing this information. But of course, let’s not forget that these bets were from a good few weeks ago (as of the time of writing). So, why isn’t there proofing for that window of time either? Based off the results I’ve seen, I could probably hazard a guess… None of it really bodes well though.  

What is the Initial Investment?

As mentioned, there is a 14 day free trial for Bets That Win, but Jason Whitwell isn’t happy to leave it at that. The sales material talks about how this isn’t nearly enough time to “check out a service” and that you should sign up for the longer term trial. This is seemingly very reasonable bring priced at just £9 (plus VAT) for 90 days of selections. It is also, we are told, a drastic reduction on the usual cost of £20 per month.

Here’s the thing. When you click that upgrade button, you are taken to a Clickbank payment page. This actually shows that it is £19 plus VAT for the upgrade. Now, you might think that the £9 thing is a simple typo, but I’ve had that same offer advertised via email too. So there is something questionable going on there.

And if that isn’t enough, there is also the money back guarantee. Those of you who are familiar will have possibly pricked your ears up at the mention of Clickbank. They offer money back guarantees on almost all products sold through them, and Bets That Win isn’t any different. There is a full 30 day money back guarantee in place here. Unfortunately, Jason Whitwell very conveniently fails to mention any of this in the sales material.  

What is the Rate of Return?

According to Jason Whitwell, in a week, he made a profit of 11.5 points. That is a bloody good result and would put Bets That Win on course to be a hugely profitable tipster service. Unfortunately, I haven’t really seen anything backing this up outside of the minute amount of evidence that I’ve already provide. Had I actually been staking my own money, well, I’d be quite a bit down with little suggestion that this would change.  

Conclusion for Bets That Win

It is widely regarded that if you want to actually turn a profit on favourites, you have to have a strike rate of around 70%. A number that I will admit that I haven’t ever done the calculations on. But I’ve seen this in a few places and I’m inclined to believe that it is a pretty close approximation.

Putting aside the 0% strike rate that Bets That Win has encountered to date, the best case scenario that Jason Whitwell seems to be able to suggest is 1 win in 3, or 33%. Now, I will concede that whilst this is based around betting on favourites, they do tend to be at least somewhat longer odds. So if I’m really fair, I will acknowledge that if you were winning at 33% on odds of 7/2, you might make a tiny amount of profit.

Even if I look at Bets That Win in the best possible light, there is a very small possibility that you might make a small amount of money here. But the fact of the matter is that I don’t actually believe for a single minute that you’ll see anything. You see, whilst Jason Whitwell is the name on the service, the actual vendor who is selling this isn’t. It is a name that is actually very well known to me. And not for the best reasons.

So, what exactly is Bets That Win about? In my mind, I have my suspicions. I won’t go into that too much, but I will say this. One of the most valuable commodities in this day and age is data, and your email is a part of this. The nature of what “Jason Whitwell” is doing, simply backing the favourites (which is exclusively what I’ve seen so far), which means that in theory, he should have some winners. And if you sign up, well, there’s a little bit in the bank.

Here’s the thing. All of that is more that enough for me to very confidently say that I wouldn’t recommend this. As is the fact that at the time I’m writing this, you’d have still not seen a favourite actually come in. The odds of which somehow just don’t seem to add up in my mind. You’d think that at lest one would have won. But Bets That Win hasn’t come close to it.

You might think that the fact that something is free means that there must be some value in it. After all, it stands to reason that if it hasn’t cost you anything, and you get something out of it… well, you might think that you’ve done alright. But Bets That Win hasn’t delivered anything, and nor do I believe that it will. I don’t even think this is worth giving up your data, if I’m honest, let alone the (seemingly constantly) fluctuating cost. It’s definitely one to avoid.  


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From: Simon Roberts