Cash on Course is a new to market horse racing tipster service that is operated by Tony Belmont. He takes a rather specialised approach to betting but has supposedly produced some good money doing so.
Introduction to Cash on Course
I have long maintained, and will probably die on the hill, of the claim that the only way to beat the bookies is to ultimately know more than them. Which seems really obvious, but what is less obvious are the multitude of ways that you can know more than them. It could be inside information, it might be by focusing on a particular niche, or simply having your own more specialised approach to ratings and form. This is why I rarely back a tipster or system that claims to do everything.
It is also a bit part of the reason that Cash on Course stood out to me as a service. You see, in many respect, Tony Belmont isn’t necessarily a selective tipster. But in other ways, there are lots of ways that he is. All of which makes for a very intriguing thing indeed. And if I’m not mincing my words, the fact that there is seemingly a lot of profit to be made here goes a long way to helping. Because let’s be honest, whilst we may all bet for different reasons, the bottom line is the bottom line. And if you aren’t making money, it is hard to justify following something.
So, you may be thinking, this surely makes for a dead cert recommendation, right? I mean… Why wouldn’t it be? But the fact is that as great as Cash on Course sounds, there are some very real questions about what you are getting into here. Tony Belmont does an undoubtedly great job of painting a very certain picture of what you are getting into. But I’m not so certain that this picture is entirely accurate. So, let’s get straight into it.
What Does Cash on Course Offer?
The core appeal of Cash on Course comes in how it works. And I want to talk about this in more detail a little later on, but firstly, I want to talk about the logistics of the service. Because the two elements are very much inextricably tied (as are some elements of the bets themselves, but I’ll get to that in good time).
Now, in terms of how Tony Belmont actually manages the service, there is absolutely nothing new here. Cash on Course is the typical set up that you see for pretty much all tipster services in this day and age. What I mean by this is that every day, selections are sent out to subscribers directly via email. Usually around mid morning. They contain the details of the bets, and… well, unfortunately, that is about it.
The truth is that you aren’t given a whole lot of information when Tony Belmont sends out bets. There is very much a sense that you are on your own. Which is frustrating in my opinion. The evidence backing Cash on Course up shows that he places all of his bets through Betfair Sportsbook. Something that is supposedly to do with account closures through other bookies (although I’m not convinced by this).
What that means for you is that you really have to go looking if you want to try and get the best odds. Something that you will generally want to do. Of course (as it always does) this means recommending the use of an odds comparison site. The really frustrating part here being that Tony Belmont clearly understand that there are better odds out there, but takes no steps to help Cash on Course subscribers with this information.
This is something that is probably worth doing as there is a fair old range of odds involved with Cash on Course. In the same day, you can go from backing a 4/1 near favourite to a 14/1 outsider. And despite the claims made, I’m not certain that you’ll actually be winning quite as often as the sales material makes out. Which makes maximising those returns even more important.
Given this range of odds, you might expect to see a few betting markets covered, and you would be absolutely right. Tony Belmont seems to favour backing the longer shots as each way bets, where those with shorter odds are backed simply to win. This is sensible, makes sense, and I wouldn’t expect much else from Cash on Course if I’m honest. At the end of the day, it’s horse racing. There aren’t that many betting markets to take advantage of.
So far, I think that it’s fair to say that Cash on Course isn’t doing anything extremely different. But now I want to talk about the volume of bets. Something that is a very peculiar by product of the approach Tony Belmont takes. You see, this is a very high volume tipster service. Most days are producing between 6 and 8 bets. Which by no coincidence is the amount of races that are taking place at a given course, on a given day.
Now, this is a little bit disconcerting to me. Betting that many times per day can quickly lead to the eradication of your betting bank, even if you are only sticking to level stakes of 1 point per bet. A particularly bad week has the potential to take out more than 50 points from your betting bank. And whilst this is theoretically unlikely, Tony Belmont doesn’t give a lot of context to understand the drawdown potential of Cash on Course.
Adding to this concern is a lack of information on a betting bank. Under normal circumstances, I feel like 100 points is more than adequate, but with Cash on Course, I am inclined to say that 150 points should probably be a minimum. Just in case. A prudency that Tony Belmont seems very content to skip over.
In terms of the strike rate, Tony Belmont doesn’t make any specific claims, however, based off the evidence that he provides, there is an implication in my mind that a strike rate of some 42% is attainable with Cash on Course (40 winning bets out of 95 non-voided bets). This is a hell of a number, even when you factor in that this includes selections that have placed.
How Does Cash on Course Work?
At last, I can talk about how Cash on Course works, and why it is seemingly a selective system (seemingly being the operative world) whilst still looking at as many as 8 bets per day. You see, Cash on Course is based around betting on certain race tracks. At least, that is the suggestion of the sales material. Personally, I am less convinced of this as fact, so much as a gimmick to make this seem unique.
What Tony Belmont talks about is how he picked out winners consistently on certain days at a given course. And we are then specifically told that he can ensure that he is tipping on the one course that is going to provide him with winners. Now, like me, you may be thinking that maybe he focuses on a small handful of course. It is no secret that different courses have certain quirks that make some horses better suited to them.
Unfortunately, this doesn’t actually seem to be the case. Of the 60 race courses in the UK, Tony Belmont mentions betting on almost a sixth of them. Furthermore, there doesn’t seem to be any obvious connection between them other than they are all flat races. Which begs the question of what is happening to actually identify the races, or the horses in question.
This is an area where we are told nothing. Tony Belmont makes no effort to really discuss his selection process for either the track that he is focusing on, or the horses that he is picking. Honestly, the whole thing just feels like a bit of a gimmick. And whilst there might be some argument that there is proofing provided, you are looking at an incredibly small sample size that is unlikely to reflect the long term results. This is especially pertinent given that we’re told the best part of 2 years has been spent developing the system behind Cash on Course.
What is the Initial Investment?
There are two options available if you want to sign up to Cash on Course. The one that Tony Belmont is clearly pushing is his 12 month subscription. This is priced at £120 (plus VAT) and supposedly has just a few positions open at the time of writing (although I am rather sceptical of this being genuine).
As a much cheaper option, you can sign up to Cash on Course on an “8 week trial”. At £36 (plus VAT) this represents a more affordable option, although the dip in value is rather apparent. Instead of paying an effective cost of £10 per month, you will be giving Tony Belmont close to double that at £18 (both numbers before VAT).
Whichever option you choose, Tony Belmont does make it very clear that there is a full 30 day money back guarantee in place. This is backed up by the fact that Cash on Course is being sold through Clickbank. They are generally very good at honouring this on products bought through their payment platform.
What is the Rate of Return?
The sales material for Cash on Course talks about “verified proof” that Tony Belmont’s daily profits over 12 days amounted to £2,090.78. This is based off 2 weekly periods that showed profit of £1,097.63 and £993.15 respectively. Both figures that are seemingly proofed, however, also happen to be from before the service went live. What this means is an unsubstantiated profit in 12 days of some 104 points (bets are proofed to £20 per point).
Since that date, the results do seem to have taken a pretty significant downturn. Which honestly, doesn’t surprise me. Since going live, you are looking at a much more modest (just under) 2.5 points of profit over 4 days. A long way from the numbers that are thrown about in the sales material. Furthermore, the bets that have won aren’t the long shot big winners that have supposedly happened in the past, but are generally pace bets or shorter odd win bets.
Conclusion for Cash on Course
There are a lot of things to look out for when trying to ascertain just how genuine a tipster service is. Which is unfortunate, because you shouldn’t have to do that really. But the reality is that you do, and there are a good few red flags that surround Cash on Course and make me doubt some of the claims that are made. What is interesting though is just how covert a lot of these are.
You see, you might look at Cash on Course and see all of the proofing that Tony Belmont provides and be impressed. It sure looks like a lot. Like I said earlier, there are 95 bets proofed, plus void bets, and then there are a few select winners that are shown at the top of the page. At a glance, it all seems incredibly comprehensive. And if that isn’t enough, there is the fact that there is some live proofing as well.
But what about that disparity between the live results and the past results? Surely that’s just a bit of bad luck, right? The thing is, I’m not entirely convinced. The drop off from 100 points in 12 days to less than 2.5 points in 4 days is huge. But, as I mentioned, it’s not just the change in the results, but the bets that are winning.
Now, this brings me to another point. As I mentioned, Tony Belmont doesn’t really tell us what his system entails. Just that he’s focusing on every race at a certain track on a given day. This concerns me for a lot of reasons, not least of which has to do with how exactly he’s finding one decent option for every single race. In my experience with tipsters, this doesn’t tend to happen. Whilst every race does have to have a winner, picking with certainty isn’t something that is certain.
And let’s not forget that as well as Cash on Course being built on this idea that Tony Belmont can and is picking a horse for every bet. All of this is being done without actually telling you anything about how he’s picking them. There is plenty of disparaging other tipsters as not knowing “their arse from their elbow” and claiming that they make outlandish promises and claims (ironic huh?). But nothing about what he is actually doing for Cash on Course. Another red flag.
So what exactly is going on here? Well, aside from obvious marketing trends, there are also trends that I am seeing from a certain type of tipster service. Namely, they are leaning into live proofing to try and win people over. Because just putting up claimed past results doesn’t really do it anymore. What you then get are a number of mid odds tips that have a reasonable chance of winning, but are mostly based on guess work.
The results that you get from this are inevitably substantially lower than the historic claimed results. But as a punter, you’re still getting the odd win here and there, and it might be enough for Tony Belmont to keep you around long enough for that money back guarantee that is a part of Cash on Course to elapse. And at that point, as a punter, you don’t have a lot of recourse.
Am I saying that this is exactly what Tony Belmont is doing? Not at all. But it does follow certain patterns that concern me. So much so that they are enough for me to (probably not surprisingly) not recommend this. The fact is that Cash on Course paints a very pretty picture, but the reality seems to be so far removed from this that you simply aren’t going to get close to the claimed results. Never mind any actual profit. None of which bodes well for the future.