Cover the Draw is a new sports betting tipster service which is operated by Robert (Bobby) Horbury. He claims that by including draws on football accumulators, there is a substantial amount of profit to be earned.
Introduction to Cover the Draw
There are a few different things that football tipster services seem to be obsessed with. Some of these ae actually quite obvious, for example, I can see why so many tipsters look at more obscure leagues.
The truth of the matter is that if you focus on an area where the bookies don’t have the time to, you can develop an edge over their compilers. Or, for another example, you might want to look at obscure betting markets like player ratings. One area where people seem to be obsessed with betting however is accumulators.
I can see why, it is hard to get value on most games that your average joe will know about. But is there really money to be made here? Robert Horbury thinks that there is, and he is adamant that Cover the Draw can help prove this. It is an interesting sounding product and theory, so let’s have a good look at Cover the Draw and what is on offer here.
What Does Cover the Draw Offer?
As far as the operational side of things go, Cover the Draw is a very typical example of most modern tipsters. What I mean by this is that selections are sent out to subscribers on a near daily basis (supposedly 90% of the time). Robert Horbury issues his selections directly via email and they are sent out the night before games kick off. Cover the Draw subscribers can usually expect to receive their emails around 10pm.
In terms of the bets themselves, it goes without saying that they are all accumulators, however there is definitely a little more to Cover the Draw than this. All bets are advised as double chance accumulators. Robert Horbury says that a typical accumulator will be made up of at least 3 bets or minimum odds of 2.0.
Supposedly, you should anticipate accumulators reaching as many as 10 bets on a given day. Robert Horbury also says that Cover the Draw covers “every league in every country including cup competitions”. In spite of this, the focus does appear to be on UK football.
In terms of the staking advice, Robert Horbury doesn’t really provide any proper staking plan for Cover the Draw. We are told that you can bet anything you like “from as little as £1, £2 per selection up to £100 or more if you wish”.
In the few examples that Robert Horbury provides he has staked £100 per bet which would suggest that a level staking plan is probably the best approach here. There is no advice on what kind of betting bank you should be using for Cover the Draw, however I believe that 100 points is a realistic and viable figure,
This only really leaves the strike rate of Cover the Draw to discuss and perhaps not surprisingly, there is no information provided in this regard. There is a vague reference to winning over 50% of the time, and Robert Horbury provides a very small sample of just 7 bets for the service.
Of these, 5 won which suggest that there is a strike rate of about 70%, significantly higher than an already questionable claim. The truth of the matter though is that we aren’t provided with any real evidence for the strike rate of Cover the Draw and there certainly isn’t any proofing provided. As such, I am reasonably sceptical of all of these claims.
How Does Cover the Draw Work?
To be fair to Robert Horbury, the fundamental principle of Cover the Draw is a pretty straight forward one. Accumulators in football are so often left as losers because bettors only focus on teams winning. By covering the draw, he says, you are more likely to win because you are covering 2 out of 3 outcomes rather than 1.
There is a sound enough logic to that, I have to admit. I can also appreciate the notion that Cover the Draw focuses on winning more accas at small odds rather than waiting for that one golden bet to come in.
All of this doesn’t mean anything to me however if you are unable to pick winning teams and this is an area where we are given no information whatsoever. At no point does Robert Horbury talk about what his selection process for Cover the Draw entails.
He makes a solitary reference to a method, but there is no information about what said method entails. As such, I don’t think that it is unreasonable to treat this with suspicion. It is easy to overlook the selection process when a service seems so reasonable, but it remains as important as ever here.
What is the Initial Investment?
Robert Horbury has only made one option available if you want to sign up to Cover the Draw. This is to pay a one time cost of £47 in order to receive his selections till the end of the season. This number is supposedly limited to the first 50 people however with the cost for Cover the Draw allegedly going up to £197 in the immediate future. I do not however buy into this claim at all.
One thing that is worth noting with Cover the Draw is that the service is sold through Clickbank. This means that there is a full 60 day money back guarantee in place should you find that Robert Horbury’s tips aren’t for you.
What is the Rate of Return?
The headline for Cover the Draw reads as follows. “Get Daily Acca’s That Have Pulled In £4,328.25 In Just 7 Weeks This Season”. This seems as good a place as any to start trying to calculate what kind of earnings potential you can expect from Cover the Draw.
In terms of the few days that are provided as proofing for Cover the Draw, we see some wildly varying numbers.
These include profits of 3.28 points (£328) off one bet, 5.87 points (£587) off another and a loss of 1 point (£100). Using these £100 stakes, that would mean that Cover the Draw has made a profit of 44.38 in less than 2 months, a believable enough figure.
Conclusion on Cover the Draw
If I didn’t know any better, I would look at Cover the Draw, call it a solid approach to betting and that would be that. The fact of the matter is that Robert Horbury is very good at making the whole thing sound reasonable, and that is the key word that I want to look at here. R
easonable is a very subjective thing and there isn’t a single element of Cover the Draw that at a glance looks to be particularly out of whack with what you would expect from a tipster service.
The profits, once put into context, are reasonable seeming. Is 22 points per month particularly high? Not really. It would be a very impressive result if I am honest, however it is also worth keeping in mind that this number is only over 2 months.
A very small sample from which you can extrapolate data. Combine this with the fact that there is no proofing provided however, and I believe that things start to become a little less reasonable looking if I am honest.
I have said on more than one occasion that I believe that evidence is key to establishing how genuine a service is.
Those that are good will provide you with things like full proofing. This will usually take place over more than 4 months. They will talk about how they find bets, something which honestly, Robert Horbury never does. Once again, he makes using Cover the Draw sound incredibly reasonable, but those who were hoping to garner even a basic understanding of the selection process will be left disappointed.
Whilst I can see that Cover the Draw is cheap (again, cheap enough to be enticing, but not enough to be called out as BS), I don’t see value here. The fact of the matter is that I just don’t see this as being as service that is really capable of making money.
If it is, then I think that Robert Horbury needs to do a much better job of demonstrating this because everything that I have seen has been questionable.
With this in mind, I would be inclined to give Cover the Draw a miss if I’m honest.