Crazy Little Bets Review by Mike Shelton

Crazy Little Bets is a new to market football betting tipster service which is operated by Mike Shelton. He claims that his accumulator bets are able to produce strong returns, even off smaller stakes.

Introduction to Crazy Little Bets

There are a lot of services on the market that I take a look at and I think, yeah. Right. Ok. Sure mate. These are usually accompanied by flashy websites with loads of graphics, pictures of sports cars and massive houses, and betting accounts with a hundred thousand pounds plus in them.

Crazy Little Bets is a very different affair. Mike Shelton is much more straight forward in his approach. He claims that he can make decent money through football accumulators. He provides a few examples of wins. Surely that’s enough right?

crazy-little-bets-reviewI am not entirely convinced by this however. In fact, I can see a number of niggling little things with Crazy Little Bets, so let’s dive right in and have a look at the service and what can be delivered.  

What Does Crazy Little Bets Offer?

There are a lot of things that make Crazy Little Bets stand out from the crowd in my opinion. So much so that you could quite easily take it for being an interesting option if you didn’t look too hard at it. Logistically, Mike Shelton’s whole approach is very different.

For example, the service does not provide selections on a daily basis, something that the sales material for Crazy Little Bets pushes as a positive. In fact, on the rare occasions where selections are available, they are sent directly to subscribers via email, as you would expect.

Moving on to the bets, there is a clear focus on accumulators as the name of Crazy Little Bets suggests. These are actually somewhat more interesting than most tipster services I have looked at with a similar focus. Most accumulator based services follow an approach of backing a team to win with a focus on obvious games.

Crazy Little Bets however looks at quite competitive games and a variety of betting markets including over/under goals, at least, so you would be led to believe from the results provided (a point that I will return to later). Naturally there are significantly longer odds involved with accumulators with Mike Shelton claiming Crazy Little Bets has won at odds that are effectively 30/1.

 In terms of the staking plan, Mike Shelton is kind enough to provide some very vague advice for Crazy Little Bets. So much so, that it barely seems like it is worth acknowledging. We are told that you need a “solid staking plan”, before then being old that this can be a “fixed staking plan like [Mike Shelton] use” or you can compound your stakes by betting 5% of your betting bank.

This advice for the latter plan is concerning for me. I know from experience that compounding can work, however with something like Crazy Little Bets which relies on big wins landing, there needs to be a lot of balance to it. You can’t just blindly stake 5% of your bank on all bets.

Finally, I want to address the strike rate. We are told that “it’s impossible” for football betting to win more than 7/10 bets. Furthermore, Mike Shelton tells us, anything more than 1/10 winning bets generate a profit.

In spite of this, we are told that there is an average win ratio of 36%, a phenomenal result given the nature of Crazy Little Bets, if you buy into this claimed result. Personally, I am not even a little bit convinced by this given the lack of proofing that Mike Shelton provides for Crazy Little Bets.  

How Does Crazy Little Bets Work?

The core idea behind Crazy Little Bets is a straight forward one. If you are backing bets to longer odds you don’t have to win as often in order to produce a profit. That is exactly what Mike Shelton says that the core idea of the service is.

Would that this could be left here, but honestly, if you are aiming to generate consistent revenue from a service like Crazy Little Bets, then you need to know that there is a decent selection process in place. Unfortunately, this isn’t the case.

I have said it a number of times before now, but I wouldn’t necessarily see this as as much of a problem if Crazy Little Bets provided full proofing. Unfortunately, there isn’t anything provide in this regard. Mike Shelton shows a few examples of winning bets but it is difficult not to see this as being cherrypicked. This combined with any reasonable lack of explanation for the selections makes Crazy Little Bets quite a risky option in my opinion.  

What is the Initial Investment?

There is just one option available if you want to sign up to Crazy Little Bets. This is a 14 day subscription which is priced at just £7 (plus VAT).

On the surface of things, there is no getting around the fact that this seems like a very reasonable asking price (working out at £14 per month), but the clear intention here is to actually get you to sign up to an upsell that gives you access for the rest of the season. This is priced at £27 (again, plus VAT).

It is worth keeping in mind that both of these options come with a full 60 day money back guarantee as Mike Shelton is ultimately selling Crazy Little Bets through Clickbank. This is somewhat more substantive than the 30 days you are told you have in the sales material for Crazy Little Bets.  

What is the Rate of Return?

The headline for Crazy Little Bets tells you everything that you need to know. Mike Shelton claims that he has made £7,827 profit so far this season. An impressive sounding number, especially when you gactor in the small stakes. In fact, if you take £5 as 1 point, this would mean a profit in excess of 1,500 points so far. Given that the season hasn’t ended yet, the implication to me is clear.

Not only is there still a lot of money to be made with Crazy Little Bets, but if you scale up your stakes, there is big money to be made (a point Mike Shelton actually makes highlighting how much £20 and £50 stakes would mean as profit). Unfortunately, with no proofing for the year, I am rather sceptical of these results, a position I don’t think is unjustified.  

Conclusion on the Crazy Little Bets service?

Crazy Little Bets is not expensive. Mike Shelton also does a very good job of selling the idea that you aren’t really taking on any risk. I would love nothing more than to wrap this up now and say that the service is well positioned to deliver on this and a profit is all but guaranteed. Unfortunately, I don’t believe in the slightest that this is the case. In fact, I am of the opinion that there is a fair amount of evidence to suggest that the end result will be quite contrary.

First of all, I want to address the most stand out aspect to me which is a distinctive lack of any real evidence. There is an argument to be made (and I am certain that Mike Shelton would come down on this side of things) that there is evidence in the shape of a few examples of successful accumulators.

As I have already expressed through, whilst these may well be genuine, there isn’t nearly enough to get a broader picture of what to expect. It is worth keeping in mind the fact that Mike Shelton has supposedly been using Crazy Little Bets for the entire season. Any bettor worth their salt would keep records of this, never mind a tipster who is looking to launch a product.

I am firmly of the position that the onus to demonstrate a system works lies with the creator of a service. Simply putting out a few example bets do not indicate in any way what kind of wider experience you can expect, and that is important when you are looking at a tipster service over the few months that are left in the football season.

Combine this with the way that Mike Shelton makes no attempt to discuss his selection process for Crazy Little Bets and things don’t look great, if I’m blunt.

It sometimes feels like I’m out to pick apart these services but nothing could be further than the truth. I love finding services that work. When I have identified something that has potential, I have always said so and I always will. Genuinely profitable services deserve to be rewarded, but what I won’t do is lower my standards and start recommending riskier tipster services like Crazy Little Bets.

Could Mike Shelton be genuine and able to generate a couple of grand in the remainder of the football season? Possibly. Do I think that it is likely? Absolutely not, and that is why I am recommending giving this one a miss.

 

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From: Simon Roberts