Double Down Draws is a new to market sports betting tipster service which is operated by one Mark Simpson. He claims that his selections can produce a substantial profit over the upcoming football season.
Introduction to Double Down Draws
Once again, it’s football season. And not at all surprisingly, the tipsters are coming out of the woodwork. Each claiming that they have a better service than anybody else. Now that can’t be true of all of them, but with today’s subject, Mark Simpson, claiming a profit of nearly £17,500 by the end of the season, it is difficult not to pay at least some attention.
Now, Double Down Draws is made up of a pretty interesting concept. One that I would be inclined to say is unique (at least, I don’t recall ever having seen it used before). I will hold my hands up and say looking at the idea at a glance, whilst it is in fact interesting, I don’t believe that I am immediately sold on it.
Of course, I could be wrong. I’m man enough to admit that this has happened before and I will no doubt get things wrong again in the future. So let’s dive right into Double Down Draws and see whether that gut feeling has any merit or not.
What Does Double Down Draws Offer?
In terms of what you are actually getting with Double Down Draws, this is a football based tipster service. As such, there are certain things that seem to appear in almost all of them and the idea of one weekly list of tips is a common one.
That is exactly what Mark Simpson is offering here, saying that he will typically email out selections to subscribers on the Friday evening. This gives you time to place your bets before the weekend. In the event that a Friday game is included in the selections, they will be sent at some time between Thursday evening and Friday lunch time.
It is worth considering the fact that the quality of the emails that you receive through Double Down Draws are very basic. Mark Simpson provides you with the bear bones of what you need in order to place your bets and as such, it can be worth shopping around with bookies in order to get the best possible odds.
Moving on to the subject of the bets, in theory, it is a very straight forward affair. As the name suggests, the service is all around backing teams to draw. That much is clear from the sales material and the emails that you receive from Mark Simpson, but from here on out, Double Down Draws starts to become quite muddied.
See, as the name of the product suggests, and as the small amount of evidence provided by Mark Simpson in the sales material also suggests, these bets are doubles. For example, at the top of the betting slips, it shows that 3 double bets have been placed.
Now, for those of you who may not be familiar, a double is described as any bet where two selections are made and if the first wins, everything that would have been returned is then used as stake for the second bet. That would mean that each bet would have to have two selections, but Double Down Draws doesn’t have this with just a single draw selected.
All of this is highly concerning, and I will come back to this topic later, but none the less, I do want to press on with this article. So, putting that to one side, you will receive 3 bets for each league, each weekend. This means covering just 6 bets per week. A fact that Mark Simpson says will allow you to help minimise your liabilities.
There is a fair range of odds involved if you are following Mark Simpson’s advice, but it is worth keeping in mind that this is football betting and so there is a limit on what you can achieve. With that said, because you are backing draws, there is theoretically still much better value than backing teams to win.
I mentioned limited liability a little earlier and that brings me nicely into the staking plan for Double Down Draws. It is a level staking affair with Mark Simpson recommending that you back all bets to £10 (although he personally bets £20). This effectively translates to level stakes of 1 point per bet, and 3 bets each week, in each league, meaning 6 points.
It is worth noting that there is an advised betting bank for Double Down Draws, of just 30 points. Given that there is a maximum liability of 6 points per week, this will cover you for a 5 week losing streak. In theory, that sounds fine, but I have a lot of concerns when it comes to Mark Simpson’s service and as such, if you were
This allows me to segue nicely into discussing the strike rate for Double Down Draws, or perhaps it would be more poignant to discuss the lack thereof. In the “evidence” that we are give, there have been 9 bets placed of which one has lost. This implies a strike rate of some 89%, a number that I simply don’t believe.
Given that Mark Simpson has supposedly used this method for at least one year before now, I fail to see why he wouldn’t include any proofing or results for that so we can at least calculate some kind of figure. Honestly, this is all rather worrying to me and sets alarm bells ringing.
How Does Double Down Draws Work?
Anybody who has looked at anything I have written before will know that I don’t generally like to quote too extensively from a sales page. But given that Mark Simpson provides almost no information on how Double Down Draws actually works, and the massive discrepancies that are involved in the betting, I think it is best to let his own words speak for him.
“If you like the sound of a LOW STARTING BANK but BIG PROFITS LIMITED BETS but HIGH ODDS then keep reading… These are the exact features that make my DOUBLE DOWN DRAWS Service so profitable.”
And that is genuinely about everything that is said about Double Down Draws. Mark Simpson provides no information about what the selection process entails. There is absolutely nothing to do with the fact that the service appears to include at least some use of doubles bets. There isn’t a single damn thing that tells you anything.
What is the Initial Investment?
There is just one option if you want to sign up for Double Down Draws which is a one time payment of £38 (plus VAT). Mark Simpson has pitched this as you effectively just paying £1 per week for his selections. It is worth noting that this price is supposedly limited to the first 50 people that sign up, however I simply don’t believe this.
Another thing that is noteworthy is the fact that despite Mark Simpson selling Double Down Draws through Clickbank, there is no mention of any money back guarantee. This is contrary to the payment page which highlights that their usual 60 day money back guarantee in place.
What is the Rate of Return?
The headlining number for Double Down Draws is a claim that you can expect to make £17,376.50 by the end of the season. This is a phenomenal looking number, and it is only made better when you break it down into a points profit. Given that Mark Simpson says that he used £10 stakes last year, this means 1,737.65 points of profit over the season.
For some very realistic context, that means that you are effectively looking at more profit in less than a year, than some of the better tipster services I have seen can make in 5 years. That is a ridiculous claim and I am forced to return to the fact that there is simply no evidence backing these numbers up.
Conclusion for Double Down Draws
There are a number of different elements surrounding Double Down Draws that really concern me. I feel like I end up saying this on a pretty frequent basis, but with this particular example, the gaps that exists are pretty glaring.
The way I look at this is if Mark Simpson is willing to leave such obvious contradictions in the sales material, and an inability to explain things as part of the sales pitch. What will it be like when you are actually following his betting advice? I don’t think that is an unreasonable position to take either if I’m honest.
I am of course referring to the fact that despite my best efforts, I haven’t seen any element of Double Down Draws that actually delivers on what the name of the service offers. Furthermore, given that (at least, based off what small amount of information Mark Simpson is kind enough to provide) the idea of doubles seems to be key to how everything works, this is a glaring omission.
That is the most pressing point in terms of Double Down Draws in my opinion, however there is definitely more to it than this. Or rather, it is the complete lack of more. Everything about Double Down Draws is vague and seemingly a little shady with the solitary exception of the staking plan.
When that is the only thing that you can say with confidence is concrete, you have a pretty big problem on your hands. Honestly, it isn’t even like I have seen anything since first looking at Double Down Draws that helps to clear anything up. I don’t think that I would be alone in saying that is a problem.
Even when you actually look at the results, there are discrepancies that to me, are very apparent. Sure, Mark Simpson makes his claims about the income of some £17,500 and I can see how that sounds reasonable. That’s less than £50 per day. But to £10 stakes, that is 5 points per day, and that is a crazy amount, even if it doesn’t necessarily seem like it.
Now, in and of itself, making £50 per day isn’t unthinkable. In fact, there are some very good services available that are more than capable of achieving this. But they are able to demonstrate this. Coming full circle with Double Down Draws and that lack of information, I would love to see Mark Simpson show some proofing that this 1,700 point profit can be achieved.
Other things that really stand out to me as suspect include things like the fact that Mark Simpson hesitates to mention the money back guarantee that is in place. Even the more questionable services that I have looked at will openly advertise that this is an option. Missing it out on Double Down Draws just highlights how risky and questionable all of this is.
With all of this in mind, I simply wouldn’t recommend Double Down Draws at all. There are just so many red flags and they aren’t even subtle. Everything related to this has an element of question-ability and that isn’t a good start for a service.
This applies doubly so when you look at the fact that there is no real explanation for the discrepancies and even less information about how the service works and what to expect. Honestly, it has been a long time since I have seen a service I am as unhappy with as Double Down Draws.
Factor in the fact that there are some very good and genuine football tipsters out there, and this is a complete not go.