Edge On Points is a new horse racing tipster service which comes courtesy of independent tipster Shawn Williams. He claims some very substantial profits, as well as strong results throughout his service.
Introduction to Edge On Points
It can be rather difficult in this day and age to know whether or not a tipster service that you are looking at is genuine. What kind of indicators should you be looking out for? Are there certain things that tend to expose when you are looking at a questionable tipster? It’s difficult to know. Even in the time that I’ve been doing this, I admit that sometimes I get that wrong.
All of this brings me to Edge On Points, a tipster service that is seemingly incredibly genuine. Shawn Williams doesn’t make ridiculous claims about the income (kind of, but I’ll get to that). He talks a very good game about what his service entails as well. But really, what might sell you on this are the eight glowing testimonials about just how good he is.
Of course, all of this can quite easily be made up. How easy is it to fake an email to yourself? Incredibly. How simple is it to simply claim that your tipster service is making £1,500 per month? Without proofing, it isn’t a problem at all. But do factors like this mean that Edge On Points is an inherently bad product? Let’s jump in and have a look.
What Does Edge On Points Offer?
I’ll hold my hands up. Edge On Points is actually quite an interesting looking tipster service. Whilst there are elements of it that are clearly very straight forward, if you buy into Shawn Williams’s spiel, there are also a lot of elements that are quite unique. All of which are actually rather exciting, something that I don’t say very often at all.
So, what can you expect from all of this? In terms of the logistical elements, this isn’t really anything that you won’t have seen before. As is the case with pretty much every tipster service that currently exists, selections are sent out directly via email. It is worth noting that Shawn Williams does go out of his way to highlight that there will be no bet days with this.
Rather surprisingly, the content that is included with the emails that you receive is… Well, it’s actually not bad at all. Especially when compared to other services on the market. You get details of a horse, the race, an advised stake (a point I will come to later), as well as recommended odds.
Now these recommended odds should be a winner. However, you may encounter problems actually getting them. When that is the case, in order to get the most out of Edge On Points, you should be using something like Oddschecker. That way, you can make sure that you are getting the best possible odds (aside from those advised by Shawn Williams which are great. If you can get them).
This all leads me to the subject of the bets themselves. Now, in many respects, Edge On Points is pretty straight forward. Shawn Williams sends out anywhere from 1 bet going up to as many as 5 bets. This means that in theory, this is a very manageable affair in terms of the volume. The fact is though that when combined with the staking plan, this really can start to add up.
The bets are a combination of both win and each way bets and they cover a range of odds. Some of what you will be betting on are less than evens, however, others can get as high as 8/1. This theoretically means that you should have a steady stream of lower odds winners, with those larger wins bulking up your results.
In theory, this happens. Shawn Williams claims a strike rate for Edge On Points that is frankly, incredibly strong. Supposedly, 56.75% of bets are winners. Furthermore, we are told that this number is consistent. Something that in my opinion is incredibly important. So, all good, right?
Well, this isn’t quite as cut and dry as it seems. The fact is that we aren’t actually given any real proofing to back these numbers up. What we do get is a “week in the life of Edge On Points subscribers” in which Shawn Williams provides us with betting slips showing 14 bets of which just 2 have lost.
Of course, this is much higher than the 56.75% claimed strike rate. It is however just one week. One week whereby even if you offer the benefit of doubt as to the authenticity of the aforementioned betting slips, is likely to be cherry picked. As such, it is a long way from representative of what you can actually expect from Edge On Points.
And finally, we come to the part that for my money, is arguably the most questionable element of Shawn Williams’s offering. His much lauded (by himself, of course) staking plan. This involves staking anywhere from 1 point per bet, all the way up to 3 points per bet. Now this doesn’t sound too significant, but it can add up.
For context, over the 14 bets that are demonstrated as “proofing”, there were some 26 points staked. Now, that isn’t terrible for a week, but this number could well have been substantially higher. And there is no reason to think that it wouldn’t be. Especially because of how Shawn Williams stacks those stake (a point that I will be coming to shortly).
How Does Edge On Points Work?
There are a few elements to how Edge On Points works. Not surprisingly, these are somewhat vague, all whilst ultimately sounding quite impressive (presuming you don’t know any better that is). First of all, we are told that Shawn Williams uses a “multi-layered method that focuses on seven key criteria to shortlist the strongest horses running each and every day”.
So far, so good, right? Especially because we are also told that Edge On Points uses an “Exclusive Strategy Based On A Statistically Proven Racing Almanac”. Again, this sounds impressive, however it doesn’t actually tell us anything. It just seems to be full of impressive sounding copy.
Now, the final element of how Edge On Points works actually comes down to the staking plan. I’ve already talked about what it involves, but I also want to talk about why it is the way that it is. You see, Shawn Williams claims that his staking plan is able to effectively bet more when there is going to be a “cold patch”.
This is all down to the “fact” that the strategy behind Edge On Points actively projects and adjusts what those advised stakes are based on when in the horse racing season we are (supposedly). If you are keen to know more about how this actually works. Well, so am I. However, not surprisingly to me, Shawn Williams doesn’t actually talk about this at all.
What is the Initial Investment?
Signing up to Edge On Points is a bit of a rigmarole to be completely honest. First of all, you sign up for a 7 day free trial, however in my case, it took about 3 days for this to be confirmed. Once it was, I was offered a huge number of different subscription options.
First of all, I was offered a 6 month subscription. This is priced at £99 (plus VAT) with an additional cost of £89 for another 6 months. It is also sold directly through Clickbank. This comes with a full 30 day money back guarantee should you find that this isn’t for you.
Alternatively, Shawn Williams offers a huge number of subscription plans which he sells directly. These are much cheaper, however, they come without any money back guarantee. Now, the first offering is an extension of that 7 day free trial. This rolls over to a cost of £19.95 per month. There is value to be had in forgoing the trial however, with Edge On Points being offered for just £12.95 per month.
Alternatively, you can sign up to Edge On Points on a quarterly basis at a cost of £29.95, or an annual subscription at an incredibly cheap £59 per year. Representing the best value however is a lifelong subscription which is priced at £97.
What is the Rate of Return?
The profits for Edge On Points are claimed to be an average of 17.5 points per month. That is a very modest figure actually and is one that I would say is almost definitely believable. What this also means is that the headlining figure of £1,746.03 per month is based off £100 stakes. Something that honestly, just isn’t going to be achievable for a lot of bettors.
The big problem with all of this is that honestly, there is just no real evidence backing the claimed income up. Sure, it is entirely believable. I’ve known tipster services and betting systems that have performed similarly well, but they can usually back their claims up more than simply making a reasonable sounding statement. Often including a fair refund policy.
Conclusion for Edge On Points
On the surface of things, I can see how you might find Edge On Points appealing. It isn’t particularly expensive (when you finally get around to being able to sign up that is), the profits are… Reasonable. They aren’t going to set your world alight, but if you could take home an extra couple of grand a year, that isn’t too shabby right?
Honestly, I would love to say that I believe that you will achieve this. Unfortunately, I’m just not quite convinced that you will, for a few reasons. First of all, there is the lack of proofing. And this is a bit of an oddity in my opinion. If Shawn Williams were claiming hundreds of thousands of pounds profit, I could easily see he would want to avoid this. Because those kinds of results just aren’t viable. But 17.5 points per month very much is.
So, why wouldn’t he keep results for a longer timescale. He is obviously aware of the importance of this sort of thing having provided proofing of sorts in what just happens to be a week that smashes the monthly average. Based off my experience, I just can’t see any reason for this aside from the fact that the results may not be able to be demonstrated consistently, or worse.
I also find the pricing structure that exists to be a little bit questionable too. The fact that Shawn Williams asks you to waive your right to any form of refund in exchange for a discount (albeit a very substantial one) is a little disconcerting in my book.
Now this does open up a bit of a can of worms. I can appreciate that if you are a genuine tipster, then it must be hard seeing people claim refunds because they happened to join during a bad run. With that said, if you are a genuine tipster, you also know that your service will make money in the long term. And as such, whilst you might lose those punters one month, there will be more that stick around.
So, what I see this situation as is effectively trying to bribe you into forfeiting your money back guarantee. Why would you do this? What about if you were a vendor who didn’t expect to have your tipster service on the market in 6 months? And unfortunately, this seems to be the case with Edge On Points
The vendor who is selling the service is one that is known to me. And they have put out a lot of tipster services in their time. Unfortunately, none of these are available anymore. Instead, they have been quietly closed down and the next example moved on to. Does this mean that this will also happen with Edge On Points? I suppose I could be surprised, but that is the key point there. I’d be very surprised if this wasn’t the case.
With all of this in mind, I wouldn’t really recommend Edge On Points at all. I can appreciate that it all sounds very reasonable. Hell, if you weren’t in my position, you probably wouldn’t raise too many questions at all. But this is down to marketing doing its job and doing it very well. The sad truth is that these things are created to seem genuine. Unfortunately, rather than making a few grand extra this year, you will most likely just end up out of pocket.