EFL Profits is a new sports betting tipster service which is provided by tipster James Redmond. He claims that you can
Introduction to EFL Profits
Football betting online is big business. There is simply no getting around this fact. The generally consensus however seems to be that the best leagues to bet on are the top European Leagues or seemingly random leagues such as the Turkish TFF Second League Red or the Israeli Liga Leumit.
If you don’t know what they are, you are in with a lot of punters who see this kind of thing, but there are tipsters out there who would still have you bet on them. According to James Redmond, EFL Profits tries to help provide some balance in this regard by having you bet on teams from the EFL (as the name suggests).
The key idea here seems ot be that there is still some value to be hand in England’s lower leagues, without exposing yourself to markets where it may well be difficult to get bets placed. This is a sound enough idea, but that doesn’t necessarily mean that it is good. With that in mind, let’s take a look at EFL Profits.
What Does EFL Profits Offer?
There doesn’t seem to be a whole lot of variance when it comes to football tipster services and EFL Profits very much fits that mould.
This means a few different things. First of all, those who are looking to bet every day are going to be disappointed here. One the days that bets are available, James Redmond sends them out directly via email. The quality of the emails that you receive from EFL Profits are pretty basic, although the do have enough information to get your bets placed etc.
What abut the bets themselves? There is a lot to process here to be honest. First of all, whilst the name suggests that EFL Profits bets exclusively on the EFL, this isn’t the case.
You can also expect to bet on the Carabao Cup (as James Redmond believes that Premier League teams are less likely to focus on it) and the Checkatrade Trophy. The bets look at a massive variety of markets in order to extract value.
It is worth keeping in mind that EFL Profits can seem high volume as you will sometimes be expected to bet 10 points in day.
In a rather rare turn of events, James Redmond actually provides a staking plan for EFL Profits. This is not a particularly sophisticated example, but it suggests that there may have been some thought behind the service.
The staking plan is a level affair based off staking 1 point per bet with a starting betting bank of 50 points. Given that EFL Profits supposedly aims to find value through betting markets, this shouldn’t present a problem.
This only leaves the strike rate to talk about in terms of EFL Profits. Rather interestingly, this is one element that James Redmond doesn’t seem to discuss.
We are told in the headlines that you can expect to “win more bets”, but without any context this means nothing really. It is important to note that there isn’t even any proofing provided with EFL Profits from which we can calculate a number. This is a concern for me.
How Does EFL Profits Work?
So why does James Redmond choose to focus on the EFL rather than the large European Leagues? What is the selection process and how are the right types of bets found? Put bluntly, if you are looking for answers to these kinds of questions, you are only going to end up disappointed in the grand scheme of things. The truth of the matter is that there is very little said that is tangible.
For example, James Redmond says that most tipsters don’t take time to see how form establishes itself. This leads to him looking at something he calls “True Form”.
This is apparently how a team performs when it really matters. You will note that this also doesn’t really tell us anything about where selections for EFL Profits come from. Whilst I don’t believe that any tipster should have to give away their system, I do think that it is reasonable to have enough knowledge to make an informed decision.
What is the Initial Investment?
There is only one option if you want to sign up to EFL Profits which is a one time payment of £19. This buys you access to James Redmond’s selections up until December 31st. It also supposedly represents a discount of almost 50% on the “real value” which James Redmond claims is £37.
I am not entirely convinced by this claim if I am honest. It is worth noting that EFL Profits comes with a full 60 day money back guarantee as it is sold through Clickbank. To credit James Redmond, this is reasonably well advertised in the sales material.
What is the Rate of Return?
Last year, James Redmond claims that EFL Profits made 217.45 points of profit which means more than quadrupling the starting bank of 50 points. There are a few things to take away from this however. First of all, there is no ROI so honestly, I see little context for whether this result is good or not.
I would also point out that there is no proofing to back these numbers up. This means that whilst the profits for EFL Profits sound reasonable, there is almost no evidence to back them up, a point that I want to address below.
Conclusion to EFL Profits
I can honestly say that I’ve had a bit of football burnout this year.
Between the World Cup, the new Premier League season and Manchester United just generally looking pretty dismal (I hope I’ll be eating those words come Christmas), there has been a lot of football. What this has meant is that there have also been a lot of football tipster services and by and large, they all seem to bring out practically the same tale every time.
EFL Profits actually stood out to me as I hoped that it would have the potential to improve a betting portfolio by providing football bets that most tipsters wouldn’t look at. And yes, I suppose that James Redmond does in fact provide you with this.
Whether or not the information is any good or not is a very different question however, and it is here where I feel that EFL Profits starts to fall apart a little bit.
First things first, I have talked quite extensively already about a lack of evidence to back up any of the claims about EFL Profits. Specifically, I am talking about the results (we are all hear to make money). Proofing is not the be all and end all, however I do think that there has to be something relating to the claims that you make.
For example, if I told you that I had a Porsche and showed you a Porsche keyring as my only bit of evidence, would you believe me? The same applies to EFL Profits for me. I really want to believe it will work, but I don’t.
All of this has led me to research EFL Profits in more detail and unfortunately, I was not surprised. The service is offered by a well known vendor who is often keen to capitalise on aggressive affiliate marketing campaigns.
Their products are often under performers and are usually quietly closed once the 60 day money back guarantee has passed. With this in mind, I can’t bring myself to recommend EFL Profits.