Form Detective Review

Form Detective is a brand new horse racing tipster service which is operated by the eponymous “Form Detective”. It claims to have produced some strong results over the last 12 months.

Introduction to the Form Detective tipster service

There are so many different approaches to profitable betting that I don’t believe that it is entirely reasonable to say that there is definitively one way or another that works. What I do believe is very reasonable – and I do as part of my work – is to engage ideas mathematically.

This looks at ideas like the balance of probability, correlation and causation, and to a lesser degree, the concept of Occam’s razor. This last one roughly translates to the idea that the most likely outcome is often the simplest. Enter Form Detective. This is a service which is supposedly based on one of the more measurable, quantifiable and proven principles in betting. In theory, it ticks all of the boxes, but can it deliver?

What Does Form Detective Offer?

Form Detective is somewhat unique in the world of tipsters in so much as it is based around arguably the purest and most simple method of approaching betting. This also appears to carry over to the logistics of the service. Form Detective is a daily affair with selections being sent out directly to subscribers via email.

form-detective-reviewOne of things that does standout as being somewhat noteworthy is that the tipster behind the service aims to typically send out selections the evening before racing with additional selections occasionally coming in the morning. This is down to the fact that conditions need to be looked at before all selections for Form Detective can be confirmed.

In terms of the bets themselves, I am pleased to report the fact that Form Detective continues with that straightforward approach to betting. All of the bets that are advised are straight win bets which makes following the service easy. It also means that you shouldn’t struggle to get any bets placed. There are a wide range of odds according to the proofing for Form Detective, however it should be noted that these are based off BSP.

Moving on to the staking plan and once again, Form Detective is all incredibly simple. It is advised that all bets are backed to level 1 point stakes. With that having been said, the tipster behind the service does say that if you want to achieve the same results that he has, you would have to stake £50 per point.

This means that when you factor in the recommended betting bank of 50 points for Form Detective, you would effectively require £2,500.

Finally, I want to come to the strike rate for Form Detective. Supposedly, this stands at 24.5% over a 13 month period. Furthermore, this includes losing streaks as high as 10 although the sales material seemingly justifies this by having 3 or 4 winning bets in a row.

Honestly, I don’t believe that these numbers are necessarily the best though. I can appreciate that there are the occasional bets advised through Form Detective that have longer odds however these aren’t necessarily common enough that the lower strike rate isn’t concerning.  

How Does Form Detective Work?

As the name suggests, Form Detective is ultimately based around reading form. What is rather interesting however is the fact that the tipster behind the service doesn’t actually ever tell us anything about their approach. I understand that form reading is, at least in theory, a very straightforward approach.

The fact of the matter is that in the time that I have been doing this I have come to realise that it isn’t really that simple. As such, I would have preferred some more insight than is offered.

Moving on from this, it is worth noting that Form Detective does come with quite substantial proofing for the service. It is interesting to note however that whilst proofing exists, it is in fact quite substantially out of date having last been updated on the 15th of February. Meanwhile, the file containing the proofing was created just 11 days before that.

This suggests to me the possibility that this proofing for Form Detective can be taken with a pretty substantial pinch of salt.

What is the Initial Investment?

If you want to get started with Form Detective, then signing up is actually very inexpensive. Zz is asking just £10 to sign up on a trial basis. For this, you get 10 days of access. It should be noted that in terms of the initial offering that there are no other options. There are however a number of upsells after this which means that realistically, you will end up paying more than this initial cost for Form Detective.

Further to this, I should highlight that zz is selling through Clickbank. This means that there is a full 60 day money back guarantee in place, a fact that isn’t mentioned in the sales material for Form Detective.

What is the Rate of Return?

In January, Form Detective finished a 12 month proofing period which purports to have produced a profit of just under 240 points. This sounds reasonable representing a theoretical monthly average income of 20 points. That sounds like a very reasonable number in theory, however I am not convinced.

I am of the opinion that given the highly questionable proofing that exists around Form Detective, even reasonable sounding results should be taken with a pinch of salt. With that having been said, even if you give Form Detective the benefit of the doubt, I am not convinced that the results are all that great.

Conclusion to Form Detective

I was rather interested in Form Detective at a first glance. Form is a time proven method of identifying where there are potential winners and in this day and age, more and more tipsters appear to be looking at wilder methods of identifying bets.

There is nothing wrong with this of course, I have looked at some very profitable services which are based around some very interesting ideas. These are usually plagued with their own issues, chief amongst which is a lack of consistency. I was hoping that Form Detective would be able to get around that.

In fact, if you look at the claimed results, you could be forgiven for thinking that Form Detective was delivering.

There are a number of problems that I have encountered with Form Detective though, most of which aren’t things that would immediately stand out to you. These problems almost exclusively come from what I refer to as “the back end”. This includes things like the history of the vendor who is selling a product, what kind of involvement they have had historically and just whether or not a service is genuine.

Unfortunately, in Form Detective, I can see little that suggests that zz and the service are in line with this.

First things first, I am quite familiar with the vendor who is selling Form Detective. I recognise the name because it has been associated with a large number of other tipster services in the past, all of which have performed nearly as well as claimed. This suggests to me that Form Detective is very unlikely to deliver either.

There is also the problem with the proofing that I discussed before. Whilst it is possible that “zz” has actually kept proofing for so long, only to bring it up to date on a new spreadsheet, I am not convinced.

Honestly, I have been around the block enough with these kind of tipster services to know that the most likely outcomes involve you losing our money.

As such, I am quite confident in saying that I couldn’t bring myself to recommend Form Detective.  

 

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From: Simon Roberts