Golf Forecast is a sports betting tipster service that is operated by an unnamed tipster. The service claims some very strong profits in and an interesting approach to betting.
Introduction to Golf Forecast
Golf tipsters are usually a very mixed bag in my opinion, and that is mostly down to the way that you bet on golf. Nobody I know of has made money through backing favourites to win.
That is because the sport is a bit of an unknown quantity with apparent surprise winners every now and then, and yet. Are these surprise winners often as surprising as they initially seem? There are a lot of people who are waiting to take your hard earned money who would say that they are not.
They will tell you about reading the game, understanding what effects longer odds and how to capitalise on volume. Golf Forecast on the other hand, will tell you that betting on golf is somewhat chaotic and that all you can do is narrow down your choices. So where does it actually fall? Let’s have a look at Golf Forecast and see.
What Does Golf Forecast Offer?
So, what exactly do you get when you sign up for Golf Forecast? The answer is a relatively straight forward golf tipster service. In my experience, there are certain things that you can get away with when it comes to golf tipster services and logistically, Golf Forecast does seem to tick a lot of these boxes.
That means that selections are issued on a somewhat sporadic basis with February this year (to choose a month pretty much at random) issuing selections just once per month. It is worth noting that you will find updates to Golf Forecast through week depending on what happens throughout a game.
As is also the case with a lot of golf betting services, the focus of bets seems to be backing a golfer to place. There is plenty of value to be had in these markets, a fact that the odds more than back up with longer odds very much being the norm.
For example, in this month, there have been bets advised at 22.00 going all the way up to 300. The volume of bets does tend to be quite low initially, however as mentioned, you may find that if you are checking Golf Forecast frequently, you will see more bets appearing as the game plays itself out.
Moving on to the staking plan, this is a somewhat broad and varied affair. Essentially, bets are advised to be backed to certain stakes which are advised with selections. These can range from just 0.5 points on a bet going as high as 4.5 and 5 points on a bet.
Due to the nature of Golf Forecast, this doesn’t end up being prohibitively expensive however you should keep in mind that this can rack up as winners are not necessarily common place with Golf Forecast.
With all of this in mind, I was expecting a particularly low strike rate for Golf Forecast. I can say that I was pleasantly surprised to learn that out of 298 bets, 61 of them had won or placed (13 winners compared to 48 placed bets).
This makes for a pretty respectable strike rate of around 20.5%. I will admit that this doesn’t sound particularly impressive, but the odds involved mean that bets don’t have to come in frequently to make a profit.
How Does Golf Forecast Work?
I talk often about how a tipster service doesn’t go into enough detail on what their selection process entails. Golf Forecast categorically does not fit into this category. In fact, there is a whole paper that talks about what the selection process behind the service entails.
I would recommend checking it out, however, it is a very heavy read and you need to have a serious head for numbers and algorithms. I do not consider myself a stupid man, but even I will hold my hands up and say that I have gotten a little bit lost in this. Effectively though, what Golf Forecast is does is looks at data for golf tournaments and extrapolates from this where a golfer is likely to finish. If there is value when compared to the odds, the selection is advised.
For those who are looking for an easier understanding of what to expect from Golf Forecast, this can be seen by a look at the comprehensive results that go back to the start of 2018.
Here you can see things like the not insignificant losing streaks you will encounter, as well as the winning potential of the service. All of this means that I think you have a very reasonable idea of what you are getting into when you sign up for the service (even if you haven’t been able to work out how it works).
What is the Initial Investment?
There are three different options for those who wish to subscribe to Golf Forecast. The first of these is a monthly subscription. This is priced at £29.99 per month and comes with a 1 month trial which is priced at just £1. Next there is a quarterly subscription which is priced at £74.99, and finally, you can sign up to Golf Forecast for the full year at a cost of £274.99. Payment is handled via a specialist payment service and there is no money back guarantee in place.
What is the Rate of Return?
There are two sets of numbers that provided for Golf Forecast and I think that it is pertinent to compare them in some detail. First of all, there is how the service actually performed in 2018.
This saw a profit of 142.57 points (since then, it has gone on to some 230 points at the time of writing). Using a new algorithm (a topic that I want to touch on shortly), 2018 would have supposedly made a profit of almost 9,500 points. This represents a massive disparity and honestly, moving forward I would be much more inclined to look at the actual results rather than any hypothetical ones.
Conclusion on the Golf Forecast Service
I want to start by talking about the new algorithm. There isn’t a whole lot that is said about this but I believe that realistically, this will be similar to the previous algorithm, but refined. Now, there is a lot of promise if you look at the hypothetical results for the last year. 9,500 points is more than I think any tipster would realistically hope to see.
What frankly concerns me about this is that there is likely to be an element of back testing. I don’t think that there is anything inherently wrong with this, but there is always a possibility that the results become skewed. This seems like it could be the case with Golf Forecast as those results are simply unbelievable in every sense of the word.
With that all said, I want to talk about what I believe you can reasonably expect from Golf Forecast. 2018 saw some 142 points, with 2019 taking an extra 90ish points in 3 months. This would put the service in line for 360 points in a year which is a pretty solid return.
I want to highlight that being realistic, this is around the top end of what I would expect to see from Golf Forecast. With that having been said, there is a chance that this number could be smashed with a few decent winners.
Irrespective of what the outcome is at the end of the year, there is one thing that has to be considered when it comes to almost any golf tipster service and that is whether or not you are disciplined enough to follow said service.
There are inevitably going to be long losing streaks and you have to consistently bank roll these as those big wins are what will take you into profit. Basically, if you can’t afford to do this, then Golf Forecast is unlikely to be a good match for you.
With that caveat out of the way, I can start wrapping up. Golf Forecast has potential. The improved algorithm should see some improved results for the future meaning that this my be the right time to sign up. At £30 per month, there is definitely value to be had with Golf Forecast and the right win can easily cover your subs for the year. So is this any good?
The short answer is maybe. The actual results for last year were a little underwhelming if I’m honest, and I can say with certainty that I wouldn’t actually spend money on anything that has changed an algorithm but hasn’t proofed it in real terms. As such, I would say that Golf Forecast is probably worth keeping an eye on.
There is a lot of golf to come in the summer, and by the back end of May, you will be able to judge for yourself whether or not this new algorithm has delivered.
