Golf Insider is a sports betting tipster service which is operated by Matthew Walton. As the name suggests, the service is based around golf betting and has supposedly identified some quite big winners.
Introduction to Golf Insider
One of the first things that you see when you land on the sales page for Golf Insider is a relatively brief video starring Matthew Walton, the creator of today’s subject. In this, he takes the time to talk about the low odds involved with playing the Lottery. He then draws comparison to betting on golf, citing similar ideas of not staking a large amount but still retaining quite big returns. It’s all quite intriguing stuff.
It is also very much true. Honestly, I can’t really think of any sport where you get the kinds of odds available that exist for golf betting. It just isn’t that uncommon to find yourself looking at bets that you can back at more than 100/1. And so, it becomes quite apparent just how much potential there is in these markets.
Which brings me to Golf Insider. A tipster service that entirely aims to exploit the value that exists in these markets. And if you believe the sales material and Matthew Walton, you will probably be winning pretty regularly. So far, so good. But there are a couple of questions that can be reasonably raised in terms of Golf Insider. Unfortunately, these areas are rather skipped over and as such, I have to look into it. So, let’s see if Golf Insider is actually as good as it appears to be…
What Does Golf Insider Offer?
There is quite a lot to cover when it comes to Golf Insider. Matthew Walton has managed to put together not just a tipster service, but a comprehensive bonus package as well (but I’ll come back to this towards the end). So much so that it is rather difficult to know where to start, however, I feel like looking at the bets you will be betting on are probably a pretty good jumping off point.
You see, when it comes to a lot of sports betting, I feel like you can get a good idea of what to expect when you come into it. But when it comes to golf, it almost exists in its own little bubble which is down to the lengthy nature of the sport. As such, there are no “quick bets” that you will be placing.
This means that Golf Insider focuses on backing tournament winners. Naturally, this type of bet isn’t something that generally has a comparable when it comes to other sports, however, in terms of golf it is probably one of the more common bet types. It is certainly the one that I have seen utilised most frequently.
There are a few reasons for this, but the one that I want to focus on today is very much central to the premise of Golf Insider. And that is value. You see, backing a player to win a tournament can yield some incredibly impressive odds. When Matthew Walton mentions in a headline that you can “land 150/1, 175/1, 200/1 and loads more HUGE double and treble figure WINNERS”, I don’t doubt him.
Now, getting the odds that are actually recommended might not always be attainable. That is something that needs to be said off the bat about Golf Insider. With that out of the way, you should still be able to get decent enough odds using something like Oddschecker.
In terms of the volume of bets, it is worth noting that Golf Insider isn’t a particularly high volume service. In his sales material, Matthew Walton himself says that “The Insider” (the person who supplies the tips) will only back 4 or 5 golfers on a given tournament. And with two tournaments most weeks, this means that you are generally placing no more than 10 bets per week.
This brings me rather nicely to the logistical elements of Golf Insider. First of all, the nature of golf means that you won’t be receiving selections every single day, however, that isn’t necessarily a bad thing. In actual fact, you will usually receive the bets for both tournaments on the same day.
Typically speaking, this means a Tuesday, around 12 noon. However, Matthew Walton does acknowledge that they may be sent on the Wednesday as well (this seems to be dependent on when “The Insider” bas placed his bets). On top of that, there are some weeks where there might not be any selections advised at all.
In terms of the staking, Matthew Walton says that you can start with “small £5 each-way bets”. Alternatively, he says, he can send you the same stakes that “The Insider” has staked. It should go without saying that this involves betting much more per bet.
Unfortunately, I haven’t seen anything in terms of a recommended betting bank, but I can say here and now that you will want something substantial. Whilst there may well be value to be had, the fact of the matter is that you won’t be landing winners at 50/1 and above on a very frequent basis.
Which brings me to one of my last points. Namely, there is a rather disappointing lack of a strike rate. Make no mistake. This would be very low for something like Golf Insider, but the idea here is that the big wins make up for that drawdown between them. Unfortunately, Matthew Walton just doesn’t provide anything. Nor is there any proofing that you can look at to get a feel for this, again, something that is very disappointing.
Now, finally, I want to touch on the “bonuses” that come with Golf Insider. And I will say that I use that term lightly, because in my eyes, any one of these elements could realistically (and probably should be) be a part of the main service.
Firstly, you get access to “The Insider’s” 3-ball selections. We are told that this has a much higher strike rate and helps you to keep your betting bank topped up as it were. Interestingly, Matthew Walton does provide a strike rate here of 53.99% which honestly, make the lack of one for the core product seem all the more conspicuous.
You also get bets advise for major tournaments which take advantage of more niche markets (again, this feels like something that could easily be a part of the core of Golf Insider). Finally, Matthew Walton provides you with access to a “players to follow list”. This is made up of golfers that may not be selected, but are recommended as being worth keeping an eye on for potential big wins.
How Does Golf Insider Work?
There are a few elements behind the inner workings of Golf Insider, but I think that probably the key one boils down to the fact that “The Insider” supposedly works within the bookmaking industry. This is the reason, according Matthew Walton, that he isn’t actually able to talk about who the person is.
The next element is a bit of a two pronged approach. We are told that “The Insider” has his own “computer ratings model” which allocates rankings to every golfer. These ratings then allow him to focus on players that he might want to back, as well as which ones to oppose.
As well as this, there is another piece of software which is referred to as the “Value Machine”. This produces odds for every player in a tournament (presumably based off the afore mentioned ratings) and compares them with the odds being offered by bookmakers. If there are significant value differences, then there is a value bet to be had. Which is important as ultimately, Golf Insider is all about identifying value.
On top of this, you also receive a brief paragraph with selections that talks about why a player is being recommended. This means that even if you don’t buy into the above explanations, you can look at every recommended bet and understand the selection process. Honestly, this is a bit of a crown jewel for Golf Insider and it is something that I always like to see.
What is the Initial Investment?
If you want to sign up to Golf Insider, there is just one option available. This is a monthly subscription which is priced at £44.40 per month. This is based off £37 per month as a subscription cost, plus £7.40 VAT which means honestly, this isn’t too expensive as far as tipster services go.
On top of this, there is a full 30 day money back guarantee, however you should keep in mind that this is entirely vendor backed. This means that you are reliant on Matthew Walton to honour this (although one would hope that you shouldn’t have a problem with this).
What is the Rate of Return?
There isn’t a massive amount of information in terms of how much you can expect to earn when it comes to Golf Insider. This is because Matthew Walton throws around a lot of numbers, however, there is very little that could be argued to be particularly succinct. These range from “BIG RETURNS of £937, £1,010 and £1,250”.
Testimonials talk about being up £6,000 in a weekend and a £20 each way bet coming in at £4,200 profit. Or £4,700 in a different testimonial. There is then a substantial list of bets that have returned between £312.50 up to £937.50.
But all of these exist without context. Frankly, this is a bit of a problem for me. Because when this is combined with the lack of proofing for Golf Insider, you have a product that may very well be profitable. Unfortunately, based off what I’ve seen (which is all I can ultimately go on), there is no way of definitively discerning this.
Conclusion for Golf Insider
I quite often find myself looking at a tipster service and really wanting it to work well. And Golf Insider is one of them. Here’s the thing. I’ve looked at a lot of golf tipster services in my time and a large number of them ultimately employ similar methods to “The Insider”. Some of them have even done quite well out of it.
As such, when I look at what Matthew Walton claims about the service I can, at the very least, understand the approach that exists. And as a result of this, I can see that wanting it to work isn’t necessarily the kind of thought that is entirely in vain.
With that said, I really do have some problems when it comes down to this. The main criticism ultimately stems from a lack of evidence that this works as claimed. Giving “The Insider” the benefit of doubt for a second, and saying that I am going to blindly accept who he supposedly is, I can see why proofing might not be provided. Protecting and identity and all that malarkey.
The flip side to this however is that you have somebody who actively works in the betting industry. Who, arguably more than anybody else, should have an understanding of how important record keeping is. And the fact that it isn’t there is a rather conspicuous thing to me.
You see, I don’t think that I necessarily doubt Matthew Walton when he claims that bets for Golf Insider have pulled in thousands of pounds. I can even see a £20 each way bet making £4,200. Because that is the nature of this type of golf betting. You are backing long shots, and when they land, they land big.
However, these results are without context. It is all well and good offering those kinds of returns, but if you have to sink a lot of money in order to get them, is it worth it? And of course, without proofing or real evidence, this becomes a risk that you are taking on.
The bottom line as far as I’m concerned here is that I really do believe there is potential to make money here. But unfortunately, it’s a bit of a gut feeling. Truthfully, what you don’t get here at all is evidence. And that is what really seals the deal for me that this is a pretty big risk.
What I would love to see from Matthew Walton in the future are records for the performance of Golf Insider. I really would like this to work. I genuinely believe that it could. Ultimately though, I see it as being on Matthew Walton to prove that this is above board and delivers on the claims. But it doesn’t. And that for me is enough to say that this probably isn’t one that is worth following. A shame really.