Horse Power Selections Review

Horse Power Selections is a new horse racing tipster service which is operated by one John Francis. He claims that all of his selections are based on a proprietary approach to horse racing.

Introduction to Horse Power Selections

With so many tipster services on the market, I think that it is fair to say that you have to have something really interesting to say in order to stand out. Sometimes this comes in the form of increasingly outlandish marketing, other times it could be because the service is tied to a particularly big name in the world of betting.

In the case of Horse Power Selections though, there is one simple reason that the service has really stood out to me and that is the headline. Here, John Francis says the following about his service. “Winning Under 22% Of My Bets Has Made Me £9,700 Profit In Under 90 Days”.

Now, I have seen this kind of correlation on results before and some of those services have proven incredibly profitable in the long term. So, with this in mind, let’s see whether or not Horse Power Selections is able to deliver something similar.

What Does Horse Power Selections Offer?

There is quite a lot of ground to cover in terms of what John Francis has to say about Horse Power Selections so you will forgive me for seeming to be quite perfunctory in this review.

Logistically, the service operates in the same way as a large number of tipster services that I have looked at many times before now. This means selections being issued directly to subscribers via email (it is interesting to note that even before you can try to sign up for Horse Power Selections, you have to give your email address).

These selections are sent out by John Francis on a daily basis, typically arriving around 10.30am.

Moving on to the bets themselves, there are some very clear guidelines in terms of what you can expect from Horse Power Selections. All of the bets that John Francis advises are straight win bets.

This makes following the service particularly straight forward. Given that headlining claim, you would expect there to be some quite long odds involved with Horse Power Selections and you would be right. Typically speaking, bets will have odds ranging from 5/1 all the way up to 20/1 according to John Francis. The volume of bets is manageable with 1-4 selections being advised per day.

Next I want to discuss the staking plan, and this is the first “crack” that appears in the structure of Horse Power Selections to me. All of the claims of income from the service is presented as a monetary value, that is to say, John Francis talks in pounds and pence. There is nothing inherently wrong with this, but it does allow you to remove the context out of profits.

Now, John Francis does make mention of betting to level stakes, but this doesn’t actually provide any structure in terms of the profit potential. For example, to pick up that number from the headline for Horse Power Selections, a profit of £9,700 has been made. Now, this could be 97 points to £100 bets, just under 20 points to £500 stakes, or 970 points to £10 stakes.

Context is important here and the way John Francis presents results means that there is no way of knowing what you can realistically expect from Horse Power Selections.

Finally, I want to talk about the strike rate for Horse Power Selections a little more. John Francis is keen to tell you that he only wins “under 22%” of bets.

This is fair enough, and as I have already said, I know a number of services that have proven profitable by winning less. In the case of Horse Power Selections though, I can’t help but be cynical about the numbers involved (for various reasons that I will explore). I am particularly disappointed by the lack of proofing for Horse Power Selections for similar reasons to those discussed when considering the staking plan.  

How Does Horse Power Selections Work?

I mentioned at the start of all this that John Francis claims to have a proprietary Horse Power Method system in place. This incredible sounding system is almost immediately ignored in the sales material after being mentioned quite prominently. From here, the approach seems to lean into some quite heavy logic bating.

For example, John Francis says that his service only needs one win on a given day in order to be in profit. This is because the minimum odds are 5/1 and you are only betting on 4 horses. Ergo, there is always at least 1 point of profit to be had. This all sounds reasonable enough, however I am not convinced.

The fact of the matter is this. It is very easy to make a service sound like it is reasonable on mathematical grounds. Actually making a profit from a service though, especially one which is based on backing longer odds is quite difficult. More than this, it concerns me that John Francis doesn’t ever actually tell you what the Horse Power Method system looks at in order to identify selections. None of these things really work in favour of Horse Power Selections.

What is the Initial Investment?

According to John Francis, Horse Power Selections is typically valued at £39.95 per month. At the time of writing though, he is “generously” offering an 80% discount which means that you can sign up for 60 days (I want to return to this number a little later) for a one time cost of just £15.98.

This is claimed to be a limited time offering however I believe that this is likely to be nothing more than a cheap marketing ploy in order to encourage subscriptions. It is worth keeping in mind that Horse Power Selections comes with a full 60 day money back guarantee in place for the service as it is sold through the Clickbank platform.

What is the Rate of Return?

I have already highlighted in my introduction that John Francis claims that he has made £9,700 in less than 90 days. There is also a monthly breakdown of claimed profits ranging from £2,150  all the way up to £4,200. Once again, it is important to keep in mind that none of these profits have any real context for what these profits represent.

Conclusion on Horse Power Selections

With all of this in mind, would I be inclined to follow John Francis’s betting advice? The answer essentially boils down to a resounding no in my opinion. There are a lot of reasons for this, but fundamentally, I think that this all boils down to the fact that I don’t believe that this is a genuine tipster service.

First of all, I want to come back to a point that I have already raised a number of times, and that is the way that the profits are presented. Honestly, I have no idea of how much you can expect to make from Horse Power Selections, although from what I have seen to date, this is unlikely to turn out to be a lot, if any. This is massively problematic as, being real with you, we are all in this for the money.

On top of this, there is no real explanation of how the service works. Sure, John Francis is able to lead us down a path in his marketing by pointing out that he only has to win once in order to be profitable, but I just don’t buy that.

We told that in 10 days of betting, around 6 of them should be profitable, but the truth of the matter is that 5/1 winners don’t land that often. In order to pick them consistently would require a wonder system (which Horse Power Method is supposed to be apparently), but there is no evidence that this happens.

All of this combined with a general lack of evidence is problematic enough for me, but the nail in the coffin comes when you look at some of the less apparent things. The vendor who is selling Horse Power Selections is well known to me and not for the best reasons.

They have put out a lot of products like Horse Power Selections, often in similar circumstances. I mentioned that I want to come back to the subscription length of 60 days. I don’t think that it is a coincidence that this is how long Clickbank’s money back guarantee lasts for.

That is quite telling of the true intent behind Horse Power Selections and as such, I want to reiterate that this isn’t a service that I could bring myself to recommend.  

 

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From: Simon Roberts