Irish Tom Review

Irish Tom is a new to market horse racing tipster service which is operated by the eponymous Tom Delaney. He claims to have been a professional tipster for some years, and has supposedly made some strong profits.

Introduction to Irish Tom

In this line of work, you see a lot of things. Some of them appear to have some merit and fail miserably. Others are the opposite way around. I’ve dismissed some services only to be proven entirely wrong. But it’s all part of the industry. When it comes to gambling, pretty much everything is a gamble. This is important to establish, because the subject of today’s review is… Well, it really seems like a bloody big gamble.

Irish Tom is a tipster service that exclusively tips for Irish racing. That isn’t necessarily anything new. But the way that the tipster behind the service, Tom Delaney talks about it… There are a lot of things that just don’t add up. In fact, I would go as far as to say that his sales page is simply fraught with red flags. Of course, as I’ve admitted, I have, on the odd occasion been wrong. But something about this just doesn’t sit right with me.

Look, ultimately, I am a professional. I’ll talk about the issues that I have with Irish Tom in more detail over the course of this review, but I also intend to try and keep an open mind. The fact of the matter is that whilst Tom Delaney does seem to operate in counter intuitive ways, there could be reason for this. So, let’s dive in and see if this is actually any good.

What Does Irish Tom Offer?

Fundamentally, the offering behind Irish Tom is a very simple one. In fact, I would go as far as to say that ultimately, the service that Tom Delaney is providing is one of the most straight forward and typical examples of a modern tipster service that I have ever seen. Not that this has to be a bad thing of course.  

All of this brings me to the more logistical elements. Because really, these are fundamentally very easy to cover. Irish Tom is a daily horse racing tipster service. Each morning, Tom Delaney sends out his selections via email. All that you have to do, we are told, is place the bets with the bookmaker or betting exchange of your choice. Sounds simple, right?

There are problems with this however. Things that to me, just don’t really sit right. First things first, let’s address the fact that Tom Delaney simply recommends placing your bets with… Well, effectively whoever. This always strikes me as being a bit… Well, it’s a bit naff really.

Given that most decent tipsters will be placing these bets themselves, you would probably expect them to have some idea of odds. And decent tipsters will typically share this insight so that you can at least know what to aim for. As it is though I would definitely be looking to utilise an odds comparison website if I were to use this.

The other element of how Tom Delaney runs Irish Tom that worries me is the amount of time that you get to place your bets. Because what I haven’t mentioned is that Tom Delaney sends out his tips anywhere up to an hour before the off. Now that isn’t every bet, but you still aren’t really getting a whole lot of notice. That is a bit of a problem in my book.

Moving on to the bets themselves, everything is all very simple. At the end of the day, this is a horse racing betting service. There just aren’t that many markets you can leverage. This means that you are really just dealing with straight win bets if you are following Irish Tom. Not that his has to be an inherently bad thing.

What is particularly interesting however are the kinds of odds that are involved in Irish Tom. Looking at Tom Delaney’s very limited evidence, you would be forgiven for thinking that you will be consistently backing longer shots. After all, there are plenty of big bets there. This includes 4 winning bets at double figure odds. The reality however seems to be rather removed from this.

Really, the only thing left to talk about in terms of the bets themselves is the fact that the volume is remarkably consistent. Most days, you will simply be looking at between 2 and 4 bets. A very manageable number. Especially when you factor in the staking plan that Tom Delaney uses with Irish Tom as well.

On the subject of those stakes, it is all very simple. Tom Delaney is adamant that if you are following Irish Tom all bets should be backed to level stakes. And there is no inflating results here either. Because, we are told, you should be staking just one point on each bet. This means a maximum daily draw-down of just 4 points.

With that said, Tom Delaney also only recommends a 50 point betting bank. In theory, that should be enough if you are following Irish Tom. And there are a number of reasons for me saying this including the strike rate (which I will come to shortly). But a lot of that does involve taking claims at face value. Something I don’t typically tend to do.

Now, that strike rate. In many respects, the claim of Irish Tom having a strike rate of 34.5% doesn’t necessarily seem that remarkable. It’s certainly lower than some tipster services I’ve looked at before now. But when you factor in those odds, it is an incredibly high number. It is also one that is only taken off a minimal (and somewhat questionable) sample data of just one month.  

How Does Irish Tom Work?

According to Tom Delaney, pretty much everything relating to Irish Tom is built around his own experience in horse racing. There is a little bit more to this that I intend to cover, but ultimately, the word experience is all over the “how’s” of Irish Tom. He even refers to it as “the main weapon I use”. But, as I mentioned, that isn’t necessarily everything.

Because one of the elements of Irish Tom that is somewhat unique is just how much it is focused on Irish horse racing. And the reasoning for this seems to be that because Tom Delaney is focusing on a smaller number of tracks, he can gain a better understanding of what to look for. Here he cites examples like the differences between the left and right handed courses and “those famous Irish uphill finishes”.

Ultimately, I believe that there is some merit to this idea. In my experience, some of the more profitable tipsters have been able to achieve this by… Well, simply knowing more than the bookie over a very small number of things. It almost sounds too good to be true, However, I do have some questions about the validity of Tom Delaney’s claims when it comes to Irish Tom (for reasons that I will talk about later).

One of the things that I find to be really off putting stems from the lack of evidence or proofing. Tom Delaney claims to have 17 years of betting on horses and that he is a professional tipster. Such an individual would know the importance of records. Records that are rather conspicuous in their absence when it comes to Irish Tom.

It isn’t even like the very limited evidence that is provided covers all bets. Tom Delaney is quite literally simply claiming that these are some bets he won this month.  That to me just isn’t good enough and seems more like an effort to obfuscate information than provide it.

What is the Initial Investment?

If you want to take Tom Delaney up on his selections for Irish Tom, there is just one option available. This is a one time payment of £60 plus VAT, and it will get you access to tips for 90 days. So far, it’s all pretty good looking. However, there is something that Tom Delaney rather overlooks. And this is the fact that the service is being sold through Clickbank.

For those of you who aren’t familiar with this global marketplace, almost every time that something is sold, you get a full money back guarantee. Irish Tom is no different. In fact, Tom Delaney fails to mention that Clickbank actually offer a full 30 day refund period, should you find that it isn’t for you. This makes it all the more concerning that Tom Delaney fails to mention it at all.  

What is the Rate of Return?

There are two key claims in terms of the income potential of Irish Tom. And the two are inextricably linked. The first claim that Tom Delaney makes is a reference to the “pounds and pence” income potential. This, we are told, is a profit of £2,490.22 in a single month. That isn’t necessarily outside of the realm of possibility.

What is really amazing though is that this is based off stakes of just £25. That means that what Tom Delaney is effectively claiming for Irish Tom, is that “just short of 100 pts profit” is attainable. Once again this is just one month. That is a figure that a lot of tipsters would be more than happy to take home over a quarter.

The fact is that Irish Tom is backed dup by some rather questionable evidence in the form of a list of betting slips for the month of July. This is somewhat welcome as proofing, but it is hard to ignore that ultimately, this is a remarkably small data sample. Sure, there is some possibility that these results are genuine.

But even if they are, you only see the winners. And as such, I’m really not certain that you can view these results as being anything more than a “best case scenario”. As such, I don’t see them as being representative of the longer term potential of Irish Tom.

Conclusion for Irish Tom

In theory, I really wanted to come into Irish Tom and like the service. The fact of the matter is that the way he talks, Tom Delaney seems to fundamentally understand what is required in order to consistently beat the bookies. Namely, the idea of developing a better understanding of a niche market than the bookies.

This is something that I’ve seen used successfully a number of times before. But there is one crucial difference between those other tipster services and Irish Tom. And that is that the tipsters behind them have been able to demonstrate their knowledge and understanding. For my money this is something that Tom Delaney doesn’t quite achieve adequately.

Here’s the thing, when you really breakdown his betting approach, it comes down to “I just know”. Tom Delaney talks a bout having experience in the field, and that is all well and good, but what he doesn’t do is translate this into anything that is really tangible. Effectively, you are simply taking his word that he knows what he’s talking about.

Now that isn’t a particularly controversial claim in my opinion. And it isn’t even like there is a comprehensive or particularly substantive piece of evidence that suggests otherwise. I mean, let’s take a minute to look at Tom Delaney’s “proofing”.

Look, I can fully appreciate the importance of more recent proofing. God knows, I’ve seen far too many tipsters claim big time profits, but when you look at their last few months form, they’ve lost a lot of money. As such, this is welcome, at least, to some degree. But when it is the only proofing… Well, things start to look a little more questionable.

The fact is that Tom Delaney has supposedly been betting for a long time. And anybody who bets that is worth their salt understands the importance of keeping records. As such, I don’t think that it’s unreasonable to expect more than a month of proofing for Irish Tom. Especially because this is the only real evidence we get.

So, what you have here is a tipster service whereby you are effectively just being asked to take the word of the one person who is guaranteed to profit from your subscription. Now, I know that you have that 30 day money back guarantee period in which you can claim a refund through Clickbank. But it isn’t like Tom Delaney is exactly forthcoming about this. Which, frankly, is another cause for concern in and of itself.

The bottom line is this. Even if you give Tom Delaney the benefit of doubt on everything else (which I wouldn’t recommend), his claimed monthly profit is just one month. That is a long way from a consistent data sample and it is certainly no reason to be paying £60 for a 90 day subscription.

Ultimately though, I don’t feel like we’re really given any good reason to offer that benefit of doubt. The truth is that as a piece of marketing, Irish Tom isn’t bad. But as a tipster service, I’ve seen nothing to suggest that the claimed results are genuine. And even if they were, I’ve definitely not seen anything that suggests that they could be repeated.

Combine that with the rather iffy situation whereby you categorically are not made aware of your refund rights, and a rather expensive service… Well, Irish Tom just doesn’t look like something that I believe I’d recommend. In fact, I’d say it’s probably worth giving it a pretty wide berth.

 

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From: Simon Roberts