MM Racing Review

MM Racing is a consistently profitable horse racing tipster service which is operated through Bet Social. Selections come courtesy of one Nathan Marshall.

Introduction to MM Racing

Whilst there are many measures of success in the betting world, the one that I always consider to be the most important though is consistency. Now, I have no intention to disparage other approaches to profitable betting. But on a personal level, I would rather know that I’m going to see 15 points, every single month, rather than losing 50 points one month, only to see a profit of 80 months the next.

It is because of this that I admit that I have a great deal of interest in today’s subject, MM Racing. Because putting all my cards on the table, if Nathan Marshall can deliver on the claims that Bet Social make, then this is one of the most exciting tipster services on the market. Now, there are a lot of reasons for this, but the main ones boil down to two key points. Firstly, we are told that there hasn’t been a losing month to date. But importantly, in my opinion, it is the volume of profit that has been attained that makes this really outstanding.

Now, with that said, I do think that there are a few small caveats to MM Racing. Firstly, there are some points that should be considered when looking at the results. Secondly, I’m honest, it is expensive. But ultimately, I don’t think that these points count too much against Nathan Marshall and what he is doing here. So, let’s get straight to it, and see just how much of a winner Bet Social are onto here.  

What Does MM Racing Offer?

So, what are you getting into with MM Racing? Well, the short answer to that is a pretty basic tipster service, if I’m blunt about it. One of the best things about Nathan Marshall (and it feels really strange to say this) is that the only part of his service that he attempts to make exceptional, is the profit and loss. What that means is that there aren’t really gimmicks at play here. Something that is in stark contrast to a lot of what I’ve seen from tipster services more recently.  

First things first, let’s talk logistics. As far as tipster management goes, Bet Social are a long way from the worst company on the market. But they are also one of the smaller ones. This reflects a little when it comes to their offering, which in the case of MM Racing, means only having the option to receive selections via email.

In and of itself, this is pretty much industry standard. So, it isn’t too much of a negative, but given the alternatives that a lot of other tipster management companies and stables are offering… Well, I’d have liked to have seen more. Especially utilising something like Telegram that would possibly allow you to maximise the value you’re getting on bets (a point that I want to pick up a little later).

Selections are issued on a near daily basis. And when I say that, I really do mean it. For example, in October, there were just 2 days where selections seemingly weren’t found. This is a strong positive for me as it means that MM Racing won’t involve backing horses for the sake of backing them. It also suggests that Nathan Marshall has a decent head on his shoulders.

Moving on to the bets, there is a healthy mix of both win and each way bets. Typically speaking, as you’d expect, those bets that favour longer odds are those that are backed on an each way basis. What I notice looking at the historic proofing for MM Racing though is that Nathan Marshall doesn’t exclusively stick to this rule. This has led to a decent number of smaller wins. And, well… A profitable bet is a profitable bet.

As you might well be anticipating by this point, MM Racing is also quite a selective service. Nathan Marshall doesn’t place more than 3 bets on a given day. Something that really helps with the mitigation of risk. It also means that if you want to start shopping around for the best odds, you aren’t creating tons of work for yourself.

And now we come to something that is quite important with MM Racing. Odds. Flicking to the proofing, I’m viewing Bet Social’s spreadsheet at a point entirely at random. There are bets that have been backed at 2.00, all the way up to 21.00, all from a sample size of about 30 bets. Importantly though, both extremes have been winners, as well as a range of odds in between.

What stands out to me about this is that it is seemingly a typical experience for MM Racing. Picking any random point seems to show that mix of big winners, small winners, and everything in between. And that is good to see as ultimately, it is this ability Nathan Marshall shows to identify winners across the spectrum that allows for consistent results.

And at last, we can come to one of the best parts of MM Racing. Now let me paint a bit of a picture here. The average odds for the service stand at 8.34 to BOG. If you expected a strike rate less than 30%, I wouldn’t blame you. But Nathan Marshall comes in at 49.91%. A frankly incredible number. It is also an actually accurate reflection of the results with strike rates ranging from 41.25% to 58.33%. Every month, for 9 months.

The only final thing to note really is the staking plan. This is a simple level stakes affair of 2 points per bet. That means that Nathan Marshall is recommended you back win bets at 2 points and each way bets at 1 point each way. Honestly, that’s a sensible enough approach, and whilst it does arguably inflate the results for MM Racing, I don’t believe that applies too much here.

How Does MM Racing Work?

One of the things that does count against MM Racing if I’m completely blunt, is the lack of information on the selection process. This is an area where we receive absolutely zero insight. My gut feeling here is that perhaps Bet Social don’t believe that this is necessary given the results (a topic that I am very eager to get to), and to some extent, they may be justified. But that doesn’t quite cut it for me.

Here’s the thing. I have always been a strong proponent of consumer rights. Especially in terms of the online betting ecosystem that I write about. This is mostly born of the fact that there is just… So much crap out there. I’ve lost count of the number of tipsters who genuinely might as well be throwing darts at a copy of the racing post for all the sense their selections make.

And it is because of that that I really would have liked a bit of an explanation from Nathan Marshall. I don’t want to see the full system behind MM Racing, but I would have liked something. Instead, we are simply told that this is based around selective betting. Personally, I find that to be disappointing.

Here’s the thing though, there is a very strong argument that the proofing should be enough. Bet Social keep it up to date and you can see every bet that Nathan Marshall advises to MM Racing subscribers. But for me, this is mitigation rather than a direct replacement for insight. With that said, it’s still more than you see from some tipsters, so I will take what I can get here.  

What is the Initial Investment?

Way back in my introduction to MM Racing, I said that it is expensive. A statement that I stand by. If you want to sign up to this on a monthly basis, Bet Social are asking £57 per month. That is a lot of money. There is also a quarterly subscription which is priced at £57 for your first quarter. But after this, the price rises to an eye watering £114.

Honestly, I don’t believe that these prices are a coincidence though, because the best value option if you want to sign up to MM Racing is a 6 monthly subscription. This gives you full access to Nathan Marshall’s selections for a cost of £117. Just £3 more than your quarterly subscription and a shade more than it would cost you for 2 months.

The problem with this longest subscription stems from the fact that there is no money back guarantee in place. This means that you are tied down for some time at that high cost. This could be a problem if the tables turn for MM Racing.

What is the Rate of Return?

By far and away the single most appealing element of MM Racing is the profit potential. Because between December 2019 and October 2020, Nathan Marshall has generated a profit of 825.34 points to BOG. That is a phenomenal result, especially in light of the fact that there have been no losing months either. Equally as impressive is the ROI which sits at 73.43%.

With that said, there are a few considerations. First things first, there is the fact that this is based on those 2 point stakes. As such, you could make the case that the results for MM Racing are inflated. More importantly though, if you look at the results to SP, the numbers drop to 552.41 points. This means that you are losing some 33% compared to BOG, although it is still a strong result.

Conclusion for MM Racing

Let’s be entirely clear about something. MM Racing is one of the best looking tipster services that I have seen for a very long time. The results are bloody incredible. And the fact that they have been maintained for close to a year demonstrates that realistically, you are unlikely to be in a situation where you sign up and suddenly see a substantial drop off.

Honestly, I can’t recall ever seeing a service that has genuinely come close to seeing a profit close to that 825 point mark without drastically inflating results through 5 points stakes or relying on very occasional big wins. Even the ROI at 73.43% is just… I’ll be honest, I’ve seen that kind of result before, but not maintained for so long.

So, you’d think this goes down as an easy “must have” service, right? Well, not quite as it happens. Because I believe that there are a few things that you have to consider with this. First and foremost, it’s impossible to ignore the costs. Whilst there is definitely some decent value to be had in that 6 month subscription, it does mean shelling out £117. That is quite a lot of initial outlay. Would I consider it a deal breaker? Well, that depends. But I’ll come back to that shortly.

The second consideration is that to get the most out of MM Racing, you want to be really trying to get BOG on every bet. Something that isn’t necessarily doable. Don’t get me wrong, Nathan Marshall is still very profitable to SP and BSP, but it is a pretty substantial drop off, especially as a percentile (which I’ve already demonstrated).

This drop in profits is also important looking at more recent results. To BOG, Nathan Marshall has still produced more than 50 points per month. That’s an incredible number. But to SP, September and October made 14.92 and 23.22 points respectively. To BSP, the numbers are a little better at 20.4 points and 33.47 points respectively. Again, these aren’t bad results. But if you’re paying £57 per month and getting 15 or 23 points of profit using 2 point stakes. That is questionable value.

Whilst we’re talking about the profits, there is also the consideration that you’re using 2 points stakes to keep in mind. Do I think it’s a disagreeable strategy or an attempt to inflate the results? Absolutely not. Given what Nathan Marshall is doing with MM Racing, it’s very reasonable. But if you’re looking at 825 points and thinking that’s £8,250 to £10 per point, you’re betting £20 per bet. Again, not a deal breaker, but something worth keeping in mind.

With all of that out of the way, is there any reason that I wouldn’t recommend MM Racing? Yes, there actually is. As far as tipster services go, this is a heavy hitter. But I think it requires a decent level of discipline and a willingness to keep in mind just how much you’re investing here. Because Bet Social have (really quite reasonably) put a premium price on this. As such, if you’re the kind of person who flakes every other day, you’re probably going to feel hard done by.

But I don’t really believe that MM Racing is aimed at the casual punter market. This is a serious tipster service for serious bettors. And to those kinds of people, this is probably really worth a look. The fact is that with Bet Social asking just £57 for your first quarter, you can give Nathan Marshall’s tips a decent run out. And in that period, you can probably cover your next 6 months of tips even using smaller bets. You just have to be willing to put the work in on those odds.


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From: Simon Roberts