Nap of the Day is a new to market horse racing tipster service which is being offered by Oliver Hill. He claims that the service has the potential to generate some very impressive looking profits.
Introduction to Nap of the Day
I don’t try to hide the fact that I love getting value for money. Especially when it comes to betting systems. There are simply so many services out there that are overly expensive or are huge gambles. As such, when something lands on my desk that is a shade under £30, provides tips for a full half year, and supposedly has made some decent money, it is hard to ignore that. In fact, if it can all be delivered on, it would be the Holy Trinity of betting. Cheap, long lasting, and profitable. Winner, winner, chicken dinner.
All of this brings me to Nap of the Day. A service that I have been quite keen to look at since I started getting emails through for it. Constant emails, in actual fact. A look at the website shows Oliver Hill saying “A Simply Fabulous Opportunity Is Here For The Taking…” in the headline. And a look through the copy for the service only makes it all look even more impressive. There is plenty of information provided on what you are getting yourself into, and the more you look into it, the more profitable the service appears to be.
With all of that said, I do have a number of questions about Nap of the Day. And I’m not talking about little niggling things either. There are a lot of claims that Oliver Hill makes, and whilst they undoubtedly sound good, I can’t help but feel like there are some holes in it all. And these are things that aren’t really addressed, something that only adds to the concerns that I have here. So, whilst I will try to keep an open mind here, let’s get straight into it.
What Does Nap of the Day Offer?
If I’m really honest, there is a hell of a lot to Nap of the Day. Oliver Hill talks extensively about the different bet types, he talks about how the service works, how bets are found, and so on and so forth. And yet, despite all of that, I feel like what you are actually getting into is ultimately, a pretty simple service.
So, with that in context and framed, let’s start by looking at those logistical elements of Nap of the Day. One of the important things that Oliver Hill says is that he doesn’t bet every day. He says that the team only like to give selections out when they “are convinced that these picks are meaningful and will result in profits”. That is something that I can respect, however, it does seem somewhat contrary to the sheer volume of bets.
The fact of the matter is that whilst Nap of the Day may not involve betting every single day, we are also told that you can expect to see “anything from 3 up to 8 selections sometimes more”. You should make absolutely no mistake that this doesn’t seem to actually be all that selective as a tipster service at all.
Whilst we’re on this topic, I want to talk a bit about how Nap of the Day is managed. And once again, you receive contrarian information in the sales material. Which is really quite concerning. Now, as you would expect from pretty much any modern tipster service, selections are sent out directly via email. These are typically sent out on the morning of racing, however, you may also receive them in the evenings.
Oliver Hill also makes a point of saying that you receive staking information and price recommendations. However, we are also told that all selections are advised to SP. From what I have seen, there is some pricing advice, but it really isn’t that great. If you are following Nap of the Day, then I think getting onto an odds comparison site is a must. Especially if you receive bets in the evening and have a chance to get some decent value.
Unfortunately, this isn’t something that will be viable with all bets. Now, to be clear, I do respect Nap of the Day for taking full advantage of different horse racing markets in order to try and maximise profits. And the majority of what you will be dealing with are simple win and each way bets that you can easily check the odds on. There are also lay bets involved (typically with limited liabilities). However, Oliver Hill also leans into exotic accas quite often. This can include Patents and Canadians, none of which are simple to check odds on.
Sticking with the odds talk, I want to talk about the sheer range of odds that are on display. Nap of the Day shows winners at everything from 2/1 all the way up to 40/1. And that should give you a bit of an idea of what you are getting into there. All of which is before you even begin to calculate odds for returns on some of those big accas. Honestly, the various approaches taken (which I will get to shortly) ensure that there is little rhyme or reason here.
The same can be said for the staking. Fundamentally, you will primarily be looking at betting just one or two points on a given bet. However, there doesn’t seem to be much accounting for those more exotic accas which involve betting quite esoteric amounts really. That can cock up a betting bank quite a lot, especially when it is a smaller one.
And if I’m putting all of my cards on the table, Oliver Hill’s recommended betting bank of just 50 points for Nap of the Day isn’t that substantial. Especially not when you’re looking at the volume of bets that you are, and add consideration for the potentially quite long odds. Honestly, it just isn’t something that looks particularly sustainable to me.
How Does Nap of the Day Work?
When it comes to how Nap of the Day works, there are a good few things to consider. First and foremost, there is the approach that Oliver Hill says the service is built on. The best way to explain this in my mind is to simply quote the sales material wherein we are told that all members of the team “has access to a network of well developed informants and contacts and we work tirelessly, assimilating and analyzing form, pitch, jockeys/breeders/trainers, the race course and prevailing weather”. It’s a mouthful.
As well as that, we are also told about the four types of bets that may arise from all of this. These are:
- Power Naps – these, we are told, are simply the horses that are perceived as the best bets of the day. These supposedly draw fully on the aforementioned information, and are never odds on.
- Dark Horses – these types of bets are all supposedly runners with “disguised form”. These are horses that have been held back and trained for a certain race. They typically carry longer odds and are supposedly hugely profitable for Nap of the Day.
- False Favourites – These are lay bets in which the Nap of the Day team have identified horses that are overrated. By laying them on the exchange with a minimal liability, Oliver Hill says that there has been a considerable win rate and decent profits.
- Acca Catcher – These are accumulators that have supposedly been chosen with value in mind. They are typically much bigger odds than the other bet types and have supposedly made a lot of profit for subscribers to Nap of the Day.
All of this sounds incredibly impressive, and I will not try to deny the fact that it is nice having all of this insight into what Nap of the Day is about and the approaches that Oliver Hill and his team take. It is certainly a hell of a lot better than the usual lack of information that you see, especially with this kind of prdocut.
With that said, it is of note that whilst Oliver Hill does talk extensively about what is happening behind the scenes of Nap of the Day, there really isn’t a whole lot that backs any of it up. Those pesky little things like evidence and proofing are simply non-existent here. Which means that you’re ultimately just taking the word of the one person who actually stands to make money from this, no matter what.
What is the Initial Investment?
If you want to sign up for Nap of the Day, there is just one option available and it is the one I have already alluded to. Oliver Hill is asking £29.95 (plus VAT) for which you get access to selections for 180 days. Given that you’re looking at 6 months there, you’re only really paying £6 per month which makes it seem like incredibly good value. Furthermore, it isn’t even like there is a particularly substantial outlay to get things going.
All of this is backed up by a full, unconditional 30 day money back guarantee which is offered through Clickbank. Not that Oliver Hill actually mentions this. Said guarantee is only actually there on the Clickbank payment page.
What we are told in the sales material however, is something of a bastardisation of the guarantee. Oliver Hill simply states that he can “GUARANTEE you’ll make that money back in your first 30 days betting with us”. You will note that whilst this sort of implies some sort of terms for Nap of the Day, it actually isn’t.
What is the Rate of Return?
I feel like probably the best place to get started with the claimed profit potential for Nap of the Day is the headline. Here Oliver Hill says that you just a few minutes per day can become a “£2,000+ per month income stream”. From there, we are told that February had a profit of over 41 points, and that a betting account for March (which is inexplicably just with another bookmaker) sits at £9,057 .This would put March at 181.14 points of profit.
Conclusion for Nap of the Day
Looking at Nap of the Day and taking it all on face value, you would think that you’re getting into one hell of a service here. And don’t misconstrue me, this isn’t about the profits alone. In actual fact, I feel like the profits are almost the smallest piece of the puzzle here. A statement that is definitely at odds with my usual attitude of “the bottom line is the bottom line”.
You see, in my time doing this I have looked at a hell of a lot of tipster services that, frankly, exist based solely on the word of the tipster selling them. Some bloke will sit there with a straight face and talk about how they’re smashing a 90% strike rate out of the park because they’ve always had an interest in horse racing and tipsters let them down so they decided to do it themselves. In short, it’s mostly crap.
Oliver Hill doesn’t do that with Nap of the Day. Everything is well laid out and, in theory, tells you everything that you need to know. There is talk about the different bet types, why they are leveraged, and what they mean. We are told what consideration goes into the selection process. It is all very clear, so, why do I have doubts here?
Well, there are a few good reasons. First and foremost, let’s go back to that selection process. Whilst it is detailed, Oliver Hill basically just says that they have people on the inside and look at some stuff. That is fair, and it could be true, but within the context of the wider service, I don’t believe that is. Because there are just so many little red flags.
There is one thing more than any other that I want to get to, but I want to start by addressing some standout moments for me. The fact that there is no information about the money back guarantee, the idea that any bettor has all of their money in one bookmaker account one month, only to change it entirely for the next month, the fact that the sales material can’t even get right which odds are being used, and so on and so forth.
I could also talk about the fact that there is simply no proofing at all for Nap of the Day. Even if you take all of the results as genuine and above board, what you’ve got a is a sample size of just 2 months. And honestly, I don’t think that I would ever recommend a tipster service off the back of that size of data sample. Because it could well be anomalous.
I’ve said it a few times, but Nap of the Day looks like it should be good. There is seemingly bags of evidence that you are getting into something quality here. But none of it really stands up to any scrutiny. Which is a bit of a problem. As is the fact that the vendor who is actually selling the product through Clickbank was running a football service not that long ago. A service that coincidentally, isn’t available anymore.
The fact is that I can see how people might be sucked in by Nap of the Day. It is a service that seemingly has a lot of merit. But it really doesn’t stand up to any real scrutiny in my opinion, with Oliver Hill doing little to really justify or back up his claim. And whilst it may seem incredibly cheap, I don’t believe that you will actually get any value for money here. Honestly, I just can’t really find a reason for recommending this.