Nawsko Racing Review – Betfan

Nawsko Racing is a new to market horse racing tipster service that is being offered through the Betfan group. The unnamed tipster behind the service has seen some impressive initial results with their tips.

Introduction to Nawsko Racing

I love little more than to see a tipster service land on my desk that is apparently smashing it in terms of winners. Consistent profits are, of course, a plus as well. And yet, something that always raises my eyebrows is when I am faced with a list of “example” winners. Nothing impresses me less than a tipster service that simply reels off a list of long odds winners coming in. Because in my experience, for every 40/1 runner that romps home (upsetting the books), there are a huge host of tips around it that have lost money.

Ultimately, this is just a part and parcel of betting. For those who take it seriously, it is the norm, and we understand that. However, I do find it frustrating the way that marketing runs away with this. For example, on the surface of things, Nawsko Racing appears to be a perfectly cromulent service. Dare I even say quite a good one. And yet, Betfan feel the need to drag out some big winners and present them as if they are the norm. They literally ask “Do YOU Fancy Betting On Red Hot Winners Like These…”.

I suppose ultimately they have to pitch their service to those who may not be quite so aware of what betting entails. Perhaps there are perfectly good reasons why that general performance is ignored in favour of this rather crude marketing approach. Nonetheless, Nawsko Racing really does look like a good service with strong and consistent results. As such, to write such a thing off simply because I don’t think Betfan’s are accurately portraying the service would be quite naïve. So, let’s get into this and see what you are really getting.  

What Does Nawsko Racing Offer?

In some respects, I feel like what you are getting into with Nawsko Racing is a pretty straight forward tipster service. In other respects though… it is truly a beast of a different nature. This kind of things almost inevitably leads to the kind of review that is just… well, it’s going to be a bit over the place. But stick with me because it is a bit of a wild ride.

Before I start looking at any of the complications that surround Nawsko Racing, let’s talk about what some of the more normal things. Much of this is fundamentally centred around the fact that what Betfan are operating here is a very straight forward near daily horse racing tipster service. I know that’s a mouthful, but that is about the best description of what you’re getting into.

Now, the management of this is of course pretty impeccable. Irrespective of what you might think about Betfan (and there are plenty of reasons you may not necessarily get on with them), they know how to manage a tipster service. The fact is that they’ve been in the game for a long time and it shows. Selections are sent out early in the AM via email, access to a member’s area, and an app (my personal preference).

With all of that out of the way, let’s talk about some of those elements of Nawsko Racing that are perhaps… a little less straightforward. One of these, to some degree at least, is the odds involved. If you look at Betfan’s proofing for Nawsko Racing you will see a decent range on show. These typically top out at 40/1 but tips have been advised even higher than that on occasion. They also drop as low as 3/1.

Less exuberant are the types of bets that are advised. Putting aside the fact that this is horse racing and there simply aren’t that many markets to take advantage of, it is good to see Nawsko Racing leaning on a decent combination of win and each way. The higher the odds, the more like you are to bet betting on a horse on that each way basis. It’s all pretty standard fare and what I’d expect.

Many of the betting elements of what you are dealing with Nawsko Racing are simple enough. However, something that is important to keep in mind is that this can be very high volume. Within the first week of August, Betfan’s proofing shows a rather eye watering 42 selections. Over the 6 days that tips were advised, this means a daily average of 7 bets. Since the service launched, there have been 950 bets advised in less than 5 months. That is a hell of a lot of betting.

Fortunately, the staking plan that is in place isn’t too prohibitive. The staking plan is set in such a way that the win bets involve just a single point bet. Each way bets are slightly higher with two points advised. Of course, whilst that isn’t a significant amount on a per bet basis, over a week it can be a different story.

That 42 selection week that I mentioned earlier meant that you would have ended up staking 62 points. With a big enough betting bank, that kind of thing doesn’t necessarily have to be problematic. But that of course dilutes your actual earning potential. Adding to this problem is the fact that you aren’t dealing with a service that really wins all that often.

 Rather disappointingly, Betfan don’t actually provide a strike rate for Nawsko Racing. What I have done however is taken the liberty of working out some approximate calculations. What this shows is that there have been 707 losing bets making for a strike rate that is a shade under 25%. This number might look pretty respectable in the face of the odds involved, but you should keep in mind that a place is still classed as a win.

How Does Nawsko Racing Work?

Something that is always frustrating with Betfan is that there isn’t a huge amount of information provided in terms of “how things work”. The obvious thing here is that focus on longer shot betting. The fact that there is usually at least one bet per day that’s in double digits says quite a lot. Namely that there is a focus on value. Something that the tipster behind the service says is key stating “my service is all about value”.

Unfortunately, when it all boils down to it, there is no talk about what the actual selection process for Nawsko Racing entails. There is simply this vague notion that what you are dealing with here is an experienced tipster and… well, that’s about it.  There is also a mention of “relentless study”, but that doesn’t really count for much in my mind. It is the kind of basic thing you’d expect from any tipster.

With that said, I do think that there’s some truth to the claims that are made. This doesn’t necessarily have any basis in much of anything if I’m honest. It simply comes down to the idea of gut feeling. Well, gut feeling and a look at the incredibly comprehensive proofing that is provided for Nawsko Racing. This shows a service that is 5 for 5 in terms of profitable months, and whilst that isn’t the biggest data sample, it isn’t bad either.

Ultimately, I would have liked to have received at least some insight into what the selection process entails. Even some information on the philosophy of what the tipster behind Nawsko Racing involves. This is something that is frustratingly typical when it comes to products from Betfan. For a number of reasons, they tend to like playing their cards close to their chest. In theory, it isn’t the worst thing, however, it does make it difficult to understand what you are really getting yourself into.  

What is the Initial Investment?

There are a good few options available if you want to sign up to Nawsko Racing. These vary wildly in terms of the outlay and the value that is available. The first option and the cheapest in terms of cost is a weekly subscription. For this, Betfan are asking a cost of £10 (plus VAT) per week. Offering seemingly much better value is a monthly subscription. This is priced at £30 (plus VAT) per month. However, you should keep in mind that this is billed every 28 days. This works out at 13 payments per year.

That fact makes the quarterly subscription seem significantly better value. This is £84 (plus VAT) per 90 day period. This means that unlike the “monthly” subscription, this actually is effectively quarterly. The best value subscription to Nawsko Racing also comes with the highest outlay. Betfan are asking £143 (plus VAT) for 6 months of tips. That is pretty expensive no matter how you want to dress that up.

Something worth keeping in mind is that Betfan don’t actually provide any sort of money back guarantee on any of their services. Nawsko Racing is no different. This means that if you want to take advantage of those better value options, you really do have to have some pretty serious commitment to this.  

What is the Rate of Return?

Since proofing with Betfan began, Nawsko Racing has produced a proofing of 441.78 points. Given the lack of particularly high stakes betting, that is genuinely quite impressive stuff. Because that is over just 5 months. This means a truly incredible monthly average of 88.35 points of profit. What’s particularly impressive about all of that is the fact that this profit has been produced without any real inflation of stakes.

What I will say however is that I would generally expect there to be a less impressive ROI for Nawsko Racing. Betfan don’t provide any figure for this, but the volume of bets mean that you do need quite high returns for the service to make sense. Whilst this has been the case so far, there are little guarantees about the future performance in my eyes. Especially at the level that has been achieved date.  

Conclusion for Nawsko Racing

Nawsko Racing is an impressive looking service and make no mistake. There are a lot of ways that you can choose to dress it up, but 440 points in 5 months is genuinely really bloody good. But the question that kind of hangs over all of this though is a relatively simple one. How much faith do you put in the results to continue consistently?

This is one of those weird questions that doesn’t really have an objective answer. If Nawsko Racing had maintained the results over, say… 8 months, it might be better to get an idea of what you can expect in the longer term. Unfortunately, we’re only dealing with 4 and a bit months of data (I know I’ve been referring to it as 5, but that just make it more convenient for calculating averages etc).  

Subjectively, it is hard to ignore the fact that the current trend of results is towards genuinely quite significant profit. Even putting aside the average thing, on its worst month Nawsko Racing has still made about 25 points. But for me, it is hard to ignore how easily something like this can go wrong. Especially with that massive volume of tips.

If this were to take a turn for the worst, a very typical looking week involves staking 62 points. It’s already pretty well established that the strike rate isn’t great. So, what happens if one of those big win bets doesn’t come in? Where does that leave you for the month? What if it happens a few times a month? These are all the kinds of things that can easily be addressed with transparency. Unfortunately, this is an area where Betfan fall flat.

Of course, there is the element of Nawsko Racing missing that actually talks about the selection process and what is involved. That goes a long way to compounding these fears. After all, if you don’t know where selections are coming from… well, it could just be lucky. And that will run out eventually. There is also the small fact that the proofing just isn’t that big a data sample. This makes it hard to say that there are genuine trends.

It is quite a lot of risk to take on when you’re paying £30 per month, and that isn’t even an actual month. By the same token, the current form of Nawsko Racing is scintillating. No losing months, consistently big profits, big winners. What isn’t there to like? In theory, nothing. So whilst there are a lot of negatives you can level at Betfan, so far, this has delivered in the most important ways.

Despite all of this, I don’t think that I would actually look to recommend Nawsko Racing. At least, not right now. A big part of this is experience with Betfan products. There is a tendency to launch when a tipster is in form and there is a strong performance (usually off 3 months of good results). That of course makes perfect sense from a business perspective, and I respect that fact. However, as a punter, it is easy to get carried away with a product based on these initial results.

For my money, I would say that it is worth sitting off something like Nawsko Racing for a few months. In the grand scheme of things, it isn’t going anywhere. A couple of months will give a better indicator of what to expect moving forwards. With that said, I will concede that I am quite conservative and arguably a little prudent with my investments.

So, let’s look at the other side of the argument. There is plenty of cause for striking whilst the iron is hot. And honestly, if you have deep enough pockets, then it is probably worthwhile. Honestly, as long as you are willing to accept the risk involved and the potential for losses, there are clear and immediate benefits. Potentially quite substantial benefits. So, for the right person, yes, Nawsko Racing might also be worthwhile getting onboard here and now.

 

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From: Simon Roberts