Power Play 2 is a new sports betting tipster service which is currently being sold by Darren McArthy. Although it is a long way from clear from the name, this is actually a football betting tipster service.
Introduction to Power Play 2
Infographics are almost everywhere online nowadays. Information which is broken down into visual and bitesize chunks is almost tailormade for the way that we consume information in the modern digital age. Power Play 2 uses this to its absolute advantage by throwing a number of punchy little claimed statistics at you.
I want to touch on these more as I go through this review, but I am talking about things like “87% of Power Play Selections Contain Odds Over Evens”. This sounds great, but do you have any idea how few games in the grand scheme of things have odds less than evens?
Or Darren McArthy says that “PL (Premier League) Bettors Who Follow Power Play Are 43% More Effective In Avoiding Bookmaker Traps”. This goes on and I really want to come back to Darren McArthy’s claims here, but for now, let’s leave this goldmine for now and really look at what Power Play 2 offers.
What Does Power Play 2 Offer?
Power Play 2 is somewhat unique as far as football betting goes in so much as it looks exclusively at the Premier League.
This means that you are only realistically going to receive selections from Darren McArthy on game days, a by product of football betting that affects most tipsters to be fair. These are sent out directly via email to Power Play 2 subscribers on the mornings where there are games available. These contain enough information to get your bets placed and that is about it unfortunately.
In terms of the bets themselves, variety is very much the name of the game for Power Play 2. Darren McArthy talks about identifying the right kind of bet for a game citing markets that range from halftime/fulltime result to both teams to score and even teams to qualify for certain cups.
The majority of bets advised through Power Play 2 however are supposedly over/under markets. These are on a variety of odds, but as anybody who has looked into football betting can tell you, odds rarely get particularly high.
Darren McArthy appears to have a staking plan of sorts in place for Power Play 2. What I mean by this is that the proofing for the 2017/2018 season is all to level stakes of 100 units per bet.
This is ultimately calculated at 1 point level stakes with Darren McArthy using £100 per point for the purposes of his proofing. It is interesting to note however that elsewhere in the sales material for Power Play 2, a reference is made to £50 stakes as well.
Finally, I want to touch on the strike rate for Power Play 2, or more specifically, the lack of one. Darren McArthy makes no claim in this regard which seems odd to me. That is because the “proofing” which is provided or the service shows bets winning a lot more than they lose. I haven’t taken the time to calculate this, but from a quick look over the results for last year, a strike rate in excess of 60% would be a prudent guess for Power Play 2 in my book.
How Does Power Play 2 Work?
Rather interestingly, Darren McArthy doesn’t really talk about how he finds selections for Power Play 2. The approach is actually somewhat nuanced, if apparently highly questionable. He says “The #1 Most Common Mistake Punters Make Is Considering Individual Talent As More Important Than A Teams Tactical Profile”. This “Team Tactical Profile” is apparently key to everything and works this.
Before approaching an over/under 2.5 goals market, Darren McArthy says that a rookie punter will look at recent goalscoring records for either team. A more seasoned punter would look at expected goals. A formula that looks at how many goals a team should score based off target shots created (this is a well enough known statistic if you start to delve deeper into that side of football”.
A professional punter however (which Darren McArthy purports to be) “manipulates the “EXPECTED GOALS” stats and applies it to both teams STYLE of play to pinpoint the likelihood of any given result”. This doesn’t however tell us anything and also raises the worrying notion that when you start to manipulate statistics, you generate false results.
What is the Initial Investment?
There is only one option for those who wish to follow Darren McArthy’s tipping advice and this is a one time payment of £39. For this, you will supposedly receive all selections for the rest of the season (I say the rest like we aren’t only a few games in). I find it interesting to note that Power Play 2 is sold through Clickbank which means that there is a full 60 day money back guarantee in place. This isn’t mentioned in the sales material by Darren McArthy however.
What is the Rate of Return?
It is rather interesting to me that Darren McArthy doesn’t actually talk about how much he supposedly won during the 2017/18 season. Truth be told, I can’t help but wonder whether or not this has anything to do with the fact that the result is rather incredulous.
Supposedly, almost 439 points of profit was generated. Over the course of a season this means that the average monthly profits should be an average of 43.9 points. In spite of this average, the copy brags about a 32 point profit and just 217 points of profit in 9 months.
There are other numbers thrown about with Darren McArthy claiming that his friends started with betting banks of between £250 and £500 and turned that into £1,400 per month on average over 6 months. This seems highly unlikely without some very intense compounding. They also say that the average ROI stands at 44%.
Conclusion to Power Play 2
Power Play 2 looks good. I want to open by saying that because I think that all credit should be given where it is due. The marketing is slick and the results look great. The fact that there is results and proofing can really help you to get an idea of what you are buying into. Sometimes though, when researching a service, you find reason to doubt the proofing. Unfortunately, this happened with Power Play 2.
Honestly, I feel that it is only because I am so experienced at looking at these kinds of products that things don’t quite sit right with me. Going back to the infographic presentation, I want to highlight a few of the things that are said. “Power Play Tips Are 10x More Accurate Than Instinctive Bets”.
I would love to see some evidence backing this up. Unfortunately, it is simply part of an onslaught of impressive sounding numbers that have little backing them up. “60% of our winning bets are based on goals”. I would hope so for a tipster service based around goal markets. In context, it seems like a silly thing to highlight, but individually, it looks really impressive.
So far it sounds like my opinion of Power Play 2 is glowing, but there are a few things that need to be mentioned. First of all, whilst there is proofing provided or last season, this is all from before the Power Play 2 website went up. There is no proofing from this season which suggests the possibility that the results may not be entirely genuine. That is of course a problem for Power Play 2.
The biggest one however is that the service is coming from a well known marketer for betting products. In my experience, these rarely tend to be profitable and are often fraught with problems post launch and results that don’t come close to those claimed.
With all of this in mind, it shouldn’t come as any real surprise that I can’t really bring myself to recommend Power Play 2. I just don’t see it as a viable tipster service which means that even though it is cheap, it is unlikely to turn out cheerful.