Rogue Punter is a brand new horse racing tipster service which is operated by one Aaron Collins. He claims that he is able to produce a decent profit for his subscribers from a combination of win and lay bets.
Introduction to Rogue Punter
I am always keen to find new approaches to betting, what ever they may be. Let’s be honest, the next big thing is always out there. You only have to take a look at how Matched Betting has exploded and is now being actively worked against by bookmakers to know that.
If something so simple can take millions from the bookies, then what else is out there that is seemingly simple, and yet, is able to offer profit beyond your expectations.
Rogue Punter does not offer anything revolutionary. It certainly isn’t the next matched betting, I will tell you that. But what Aaron Collins does claim is that his rather unique approach, which is a combination of backing horses to win/place and laying horses, isn’t like much I have seen for some time.
The two elements have been seen together plenty of times, but I can’t think of many services that have offered the combination in recent times. So, is Rogue Punter peanut butter and chocolate, waiting to be fused together into a delicious Reece’s Cup or is it like trying to mix milk and vinegar? Let’s have a look and find out.
What Does Rogue Punter Offer?
As a service, Rogue Punter is something of an oddity in so much as it appears to offer two very different elements of service. In spite of this multifaceted approach, Aaron Collins is actually offering a pretty straight forward tipster service. Selections are issued on a daily basis and are sent out directly via email.
In the sales material for Rogue Punter, Aaron Collins says that he personally bets on an exchange, something which he claims is in part due to the fact that his betting accounts were closed. It is worth noting though that even if you opted to use a bookmaker for some bets, you would still require an account with a betting exchange.
This leads very neatly into the bets themselves. Ultimately, Rogue Punter is a backing service with bets advised as win, place, and each way. Whilst Aaron Collins’s own selections are based entirely around this premise, however that isn’t everything that is involved.
In fact, Rogue Punter also provides a number of lay bets as well although there are some questions to be had about this. One thing that does need to be talked about is the volume of bets that are involved. Whilst Aaron Collins says that he will advise no more than 5 bets per day, On top of this though are as many as 6 lay bets as well.
In terms of the staking plan, it is an… ‘interesting’ approach. Aaron Collins says that he advises all of his backing bets are to be backed to level £50 stakes. This means £50 on win and place bets and £25 each way with Rogue Punter, effectively meaning 5 points per bet. On lay bets, it is advised that you stake £10 on each bet, up until the point when you encounter a loss.
If this happens, then you are supposed to up your stake to £20 until you have made your money back. This means that with Rogue Punter you are staking an additional 1 or 2 points with the lay bets.
Very disappointingly, there is absolutely no claim in terms of how often you can expect to win with Rogue Punter. This lack of a strike rate is frustrating in particular as there is no proofing whatsoever provided. I find this to be rather frustrating as a service that leverages both back to win and lay bets should have some strong results in this regard.
How Does Rogue Punter Work?
In terms of identifying the back bets, Aaron Collins talks a little bit about his selection process for Rogue Punter. He says that he looks at things like “Will it win? How strong is the competition? What are the running conditions like?”.
Honestly, I find this to be somewhat questionably vague, and that is definitely a problem for me. Whilst I can accept that nobody wants to give away their system, the fact that we are given no insight whatsoever into Rogue Punter is problematic for me.
In terms of the lay bets, Rogue Punter is much more straight forward. Aaron Collins says that all of the lay bets are advised as tips from other tipsters. These other tipsters are supposedly that bad, that they can be used as a way of making more money by betting against their advice.
I am not entirely convinced by this, and I want to highlight once again the fact that Aaron Collins provides no evidence that Rogue Punter works as advertised.
What is the Initial Investment?
Aaron Collins has just two different options if you want to sign up to Rogue Punter. The first of these is a 90 day subscription which is priced at £45 (plus VAT). Alternatively, you can sign up for the service for 6 months which is priced at £70 (again, plus VAT) representing somewhat better value for money.
These prices are however supposedly just limited time only with the prices for Rogue Punter supposedly going up to £90 and £140 respectively.
It is important to note that Rogue Punter comes with a full 60 day money back guarantee which is backed up by Clickbank. To credit Aaron Collins, this is well mentioned in the sales material for Rogue Punter.
What is the Rate of Return?
The income potential for Rogue Punter is an interesting thing to look at. Aaron Collins claims that he has made £2,400 per month. This is supposedly backed up by various questionable screenshots which show £15,000 being withdrawn from a Betfair account.
Looking at the stakes involved and breaking them down, this would suggest that the average monthly profit could well effectively be calculated at 240 points. That is highly questionable, especially when you factor in that Rogue Punter doesn’t come with any proofing.
Conclusion on Rogue Punter
It is rather difficult to not be taken in by a tipster service like Rogue Punter.
The income claims are simply incredible and the costs never look particularly prohibitive. After all, you could realistically expect to pay what Aaron Collins is asking for 3 months of tips for 1 month elsewhere. Making loads of money… For much less than most tipster services. Why wouldn’t you sign up?
I can think of a number of reasons, to be honest. First of all, there is a very distinctive lack of evidence that suggests that Aaron Collins is actually able to deliver on what he claims. Sure, there are a couple of screenshots which suggest that this may be above board but I really wouldn’t put a lot of stock in them.
Honestly, I am always sceptical about these kinds of things, especially when there is no proofing to back the claims up. This is something else that both builds on the idea of having evidence to something working, as well as highlighting that Aaron Collins is showing an unwillingness or inability to provide basic information.
Even trying to give Aaron Collins the benefit of doubt, there remain problems. A fair chunk of income supposedly comes from other tipsters who are so bad that he recommends laying their bets.
Services that aren’t profitable aren’t around for long, so it makes sense that these services would be shut down pretty quickly. That creates problems for you as an Rogue Punter subscriber down the line as half of what you are paying for is no longer there.
None of this necessarily matters in the grand scheme of things though as I don’t really believe that this is a genuine product. Most of the approach seems to have more to do with selling Rogue Punter on the back of some highly questionable claims. As such, it shouldn’t come as a surprise that I wouldn’t really recommend this.