Simply Winners Review – Telegram Tips

Simply Winners is a new to market horse racing tipster service which is being offered through the Telegram Tips stable of tipsters. Selections come courtesy of one Dan Shaw, who to date, has produce some very strong results.

Introduction to Simply Winners

There are a lot of reasons to be excited about tipster services. Whilst I will always maintain that the best way to improve your betting is to get a decent system and learn how to bet yourself, it isn’t the only option on the market. And when something lands with results that are… Well, frankly, they’re outstanding. It’s hard not to sit up and pay some attention to it. I mean, let’s start by talking about the headline for the today’s service. “Increase Your Bank By 780% In 10 Weeks!”. That is just a mindbogglingly big number.

But I see these kinds of numbers day in day out it feels like. So why does it matter here? Well, there are two things that make me sit up and pay attention. Firstly, there is the fact that Simply Winners is fully proofed. Every single one of Dan Shaw’s bets are there and on view for you. Secondly, there is the involvement of Telegram Tips. These are a pretty respectable tipster stable. And generally speaking, I don’t have much cause to question their claims. Finally, and most importantly for me, this is just an incredibly consistent looking service.

Of course, this isn’t quite as black and white as I may have made it sound so far. Simply Winners is a long way from perfect, and actually, there are even some arguments to be had that the results aren’t entirely what they seem. I know that Dan Shaw and Telegram Tips would refute this, but I am nothing if not methodical in my approach, and every service gets the same considerations. So, with that out there, let’s dive straight into it.  

What Does Simply Winners Offer?

Straight off the bat, one of the things that I really do like about Simply Winners is that in many respects, everything that you need to know about the service is right there in the name. There might be a bit of a dramatic flourish to this, but fundamentally I think that it’s a fair statement to make, as I will explore over the course of this review.

Now, first things first, I want to talk about the management elements of the service. By far and away, these are the areas that normally impress me the most when I’m dealing with Telegram Tips. It isn’t necessarily that they’re breaking the mould, but I believe that they have took the time to find an angle that actually benefits punters and they lean into it.

Much of the logistics of Simply Winners are what you would expect. Selections are sent out on a… I would probably say regular basis. Dan Shaw doesn’t tip every day, and in fact, there can often be a few days between selections. Some might argue that this is a negative, but for my money, it is nothing but a positive. I like a selective service, and whilst many tipsters claim to take this approach, the results rarely reflect it.

As you would expect from pretty much any tipster service in this day and age, selections are sent out via email, however, they are also issued via the Telegram app (hence the name of Telegram Tips). For those who aren’t familiar with this, it markets itself as being the “the fastest messaging app on the market”. This means that you don’t just get easy access to your bets, but you are getting them as quickly as is humanly possible.

That is something that is quite important in my eyes, because I believe that you will probably want to make use of an odds comparison site if you use Simply Winners. The range of odds that you get here is a bit limited with only a handful of bets coming in at more than 4.0. As such, if you are getting an increase on your odds of just 0.15, you’re looking at a potential 5% increase in your returns. That is not to be sniffed at. Alternatively, you could also use BSP which is a very viable option too.

With all of that said, Simply Winners doesn’t necessarily back ridiculously short odds favourites either. Almost all bets are also backed at higher than evens. When this is combined with the strike rate, it does mean that there is a lot of potential for longer term profit (something that the results suggest may well be the case for the future).

You could be looking at this at this point and thinking that you’re taking on a lot of extra work. And I can see how it might look this way. But because of Dan Shaw’s selective approach to betting, Simply Winners is very low volume. Even on the days where there are multiple bets advised, there shouldn’t be any more than 3 selections, a very manageable number.

Whilst we’re on the topic of bets, as the name of Simply Winners suggests, you are simply dealing with straight win bets. That is something that frankly is incredibly important here. Because those odds do carry certain restrictions in terms of what you can do.  

This leaves two things to talk about. The first one is the strike rate. I’ve mentioned in passing already, but I think it’s quite important to put out there. Specifically, at the time of writing, it stands at 52.82%. Now this is a bit of a drop on the 58.14% Telegram Tips use on the sales page for Simply Winners, but I still think it’s a credit to Dan Shaw that this has been maintained. Especially given average odds of 3.1to BOG.

Now we come to the element of Simply Winners that will likely sway a lot of people’s opinion, and that is the staking plan. Because all bets are advised to be backed to minimum stakes of 3 points, but frequently involve staking 5 points. As such, even though this isn’t a high volume service, it can mean staking a considerable amount each week. With that said, I don’t believe that Telegram Tips and Dan Shaw have used this just to inflate the results.

How Does Simply Winners Work?

We are told that “Dan Shaw has shown he has the knack of winner finding down to a tee”. We are also told that he can help you to put your betting on a more solid professional footing. And we are also told that Telegram Tips have listened to members and found a service that has “consistency, a selective, disciplined approach and above all plenty of winners to build your banks”.

To be fair to them, I think that they’ve smashed that “brief” out of the park. But what is incredibly frustrating to me is that there just isn’t any insight into what the selection process for Simply Winners entails. There is a reference to Dan Shaw being a “full-time racing analyst” but that doesn’t really say anything to me. Anybody can be a racing analyst. How they analyse it is the important part.

And that is a bit of a problem for me. Because I am a strong advocate for consumer rights. As such, I believe that you should have at least some understanding of what you are buying into before you pay out what is honestly, quite a lot of money. But instead, you are taking Dan Shaw and Telegram Tips’ word that there is a genuine system going on here. Don’t get me wrong, I believe that there probably is. The results are too consistent to be a coincidence. But I’d have liked to have something backing this up.

Now, there is an argument to be made that the proofing does this. That does carry some weight as well. Telegram Tips are comprehensive and with more than 6 months of proofing available, I think that you can, at the very least, get an idea of the ebb and flow of the results and what that might mean for you in the future. But honestly, I don’t really see it as a replacement.

What is the Initial Investment?

As I’ve mentioned, Simply Winners isn’t cheap. There are three different options that are available with massively varying value. The option with the lowest outlay is a “monthly” subscription. This is priced at £49 per month, however, this is billed every 28 days so you will pay this 13 times per year.

Next there is a quarterly plan. This is priced at £99 every three months. Of course, this represents a substantial increase in value over the monthly option, but the outlay jumps substantially. By far and away the best value comes from signing up to Simply Winners on a 6 monthly basis. For this, Telegram Tips and Dan Shaw are asking £109. At an extra tenner on the quarterly option, it is a very attractive offer, but it does of course mean a long term commitment.

Which brings me to the point that Simply Winners doesn’t come with any sort of money back guarantee or refund period. Once you sign up to the service you are very much tied down until that subscription ends.  

What is the Rate of Return?

First things first, let’s talk about the overall profit for Simply Winners. To BOG, you’d be looking at 400.15 points, to BOG, at the time of writing. If you were to use BSP, you’d still be looking at 359.94 points. Even using industry SP, the results still look really good with 317.63 points of profit in a little over 6 months.

It is important to keep in mind however that these results are more than little inflated by the stakes. Whilst I don’t believe that the stakes are unjustified, it would be naïve of me not to mention it.

Meanwhile, you are looking at an ROI that ranges between “just” 59.15% and 74.52% depending on how you are betting. However you want to dress it up, those are some bloody strong results.

Conclusion for Simply Winners

Let’s just put our cards on the table for a minute here. The results for Simply Winners are very strong. 400 points in 6 and a bit months is incredible. Especially with no losing months I’d expect most tipsters to be looking at these kinds of results over a year at the very least. But that isn’t what is remarkable to me. What really stands out is that Dan Shaw has achieved a profit month in and month out, with a minimum monthly profit of 26.75 points.

Now yes, I could easily argue that you’re looking at minimum stakes of 3 points and as such, you could scale this down to about 9 points. That would be a justified argument, and a part of the reason that I have mentioned this is effectively for posterity. But here’s the thing. That isn’t necessarily a deal breaker with this.

Because of the approach of the service, I don’t see staking 3 or even 5 points on a bet as being a huge deal. Not to those who are more used to following tipsters. At the end of the day, November saw just 22 bets. Meanwhile, I can look at another horse racing tipster from a different stable, and see that they advised more than 120 bets over November. That provides a lot of context in my opinion.

All of this means that whilst it is perhaps a bit intimidating, it really is pretty manageable. And because of the average odds involved and the strike rate, in theory, you shouldn’t really have too much to worry about. The longest losing streak has been just 6 bets, meanwhile, there has been a longest winning streak of 8 bets. It is all very attractive.

So, would I recommend Simply Winners? Somewhat begrudgingly, I think that I would. Now, I appreciate that this doesn’t necessarily make sense. Why would I begreudginly recommend a tipster service that is seemingly so good? Well, if I’m honest, a lot of that is down to Telegram Tips’s pricing.

I know that it’s a personal preference how much you are willing to pay for a tipster etc. but Simply Winners is bloody expensive. I mean, on the monthly subscription you’re being asked to pay out £637 per year. That is a lot to ask. Now admittedly, there is much better value in those longer subscriptions, but really, it requires you to tie yourself down for 6 months. Let’s not beat around the bush. If you can pay £99 for 3 months, you’ll find the extra £10 for half a year.

But that is a lot of outlay for a service that is… I’ll call it unproven in the field. What I mean by this is I see a lot of tipster services that perform brilliantly in a proofing period, but once they go live, experience a sharp decline in results. And to a small degree, you can already see this happening with the difference between the strike rate Telegram Tips claim and the one on their proofing. It’s a 5.5% drop.

That doesn’t mean that this is a write off though. So, here’s the bottom line. If you are in a position to drop £110 on Simply Winners and keep up with the staking plan, this is probably worthwhile. Even that worst month of November would have seen you paying off your subscription fees, plus a little profit, all with stakes of £5 per point.

If you’re not in that position, I’d probably sit on this one a little. Firstly, I think an extra few months will help establish just how realistic it is for Dan Shaw to keep up his form. Secondly, that is enough time to save up a bit of money. Because I cannot stress enough that if you are going to follow Simply Winners, you really do have to extract the most possible value from it you can.

 

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From: Simon Roberts