Smart Wagers is a relatively long standing horse racing tipster service which is being offered through the Betfan group on behalf of tipster, Sam O’ Brian. Although it is a new launch, it claims to have provided profitable bets for some time.
Introduction to Smart Wagers
“FOLLOW THE RACING EXPERT WHO CAN CHANGE YOUR LIFE”, “Incredible Bets That Can Make YOU A Serious Second Income Working Just Minutes A Day”. If these kind of bold statements aren’t enough to make your sit up and pay attention to Smart Wagers, then Betfan have other methods.
A list of 17 winning horses, all of which are higher than 4/1, and 13 of which are higher at 7/1. If this still isn’t enough to get you in, then what about 6 months of profits? What I am getting at here is that Betfan have been pushing Smart Wagers pretty hard, and with potentially good reason. Using the recommended staking plan that comes with Smart Wagers, you could have potentially earned more in tax free profit than an average family income.
So whilst it is fair to say that Smart Wagers works on paper, does it work well in practice?
What Does Smart Wagers Offer?
I feel like Betfan pretty much have the management side of their services down to a fine art at this point. This means that logistically, Smart Wagers doesn’t necessarily do anything different, but it also means that it doesn’t do anything wrong. What this means for you is a daily horse racing tipster service.
Selections are issued via email as well as being uploaded to a member’s area on the Betfan website. This usually happens the night before with Sam O’Brian saying that this is aimed to be “whenever possible”. The quality of all of this is pretty well beyond reproach.
The service remains pretty straight forward as you start to look at the bets themselves. There are a combination of win and each way bets that are advised. As a service, the proofing provided by Betfan shows that Smart Wagers is pretty low volume. Most days have between 2 and 4 selections.
On the very occasional day, there may be more than this but Sam O’Brian is pretty consistent. These bets tend to look at longer odds with Smart Wagers appearing to very rarely, if ever, recommend a horse that has odds lower than 5.0.
There are two ways that you can follow along with Smart Wagers. The first option is to bet to level stakes. This means that most days you will be staking 2-3 points on each bet. This is a far cry from the 5 point staking plan that I expect from Betfan.
This staking plan does not allow you to get the most out of Smart Wagers however. In order to achieve the results claimed by Sam O’Brian, however, you will want to use the compound staking plan. I am not going to get into detail on this, but I do feel that to put some context on this, Sam O’Brian himsel say that starting with £10 per point, you will be betting £98 per point within 6 months.
Given the longer odds that you are backing, it would be very reasonable to expect the strike rate for Smart Wagers to be particularly low. In fact, over 6 months it has averaged 33.62%. For my money, I would consider this to be a strong result for any tipster service. This applies doubly so for one that backs at long odds.
How Does Smart Wagers Work?
Sam O’Brian doesn’t have a whole lot to say about his betting methods. He says that he has been betting for more than 20 year, culminating in him quitting his day job in 2015 in order to bet professionally.
This is all well and good I supposed, but the truth of the matter is that you are always going to be coming into Smart Wagers a little blind, something that is far from ideal. The fact of the matter is that outside of a vague mention of value (a term which over time has little meaning left due to overuse), we aren’t ever given insight into how Sam O’Brian prepares for betting.
The fact that Betfan provide full proofing for Smart Wagers does go some way to mitigating the fact that there is no information on the selection process. There is also enough of a sample that I believe that you can reasonably gauge future performance.
What is the Initial Investment?
In terms of the pricing, Smart Wagers is quite expensive however across the various options, there remains a chance for value to be had. The lowest priced option that Betfan offer is singing up for the service on a monthly basis for £57. It should be pointed out that as with all Betfan products, monthly does mean every 28 days and 13 payments in a year.
Alternatively, you can sign up for Smart Wagers on a quarterly basis at a cost of £124. Finally (and representing the best value), you can sign up to Smart Wagers for 6 months at a cost of £149. It is also worth noting that at the time of writing, Sam O’Brian is offering a trial where you can get your first 6 months for just £74.50.
What is the Rate of Return?
There are a few different ways of looking at the income potential for Smart Wagers and honestly, they are all pretty impressive. The first one is the points profit. Looking at the proofing, this means 568.86 points. Now this is based mostly around staking at least 2 points per bet as a minimum.
This means that in order to downscale this, you can effectively half this number. Alternatively, you can choose to look at the compounded staking plan. This had made over £20,000 in a small space of time, and so long as you are willing to take on the risk, you can do well. A more generalised figure that demonstrates how well Smart Wagers has performed to me though, is the ROI. Since the start of March, this averages out at 43.06% which is a phenomenal figure.
Conclusion on Smart Wagers
Where to start with Smart Wagers? There is no getting around the fact that the overall performance of the service has been phenomenal. Even using just 1 point stakes, you would have seen a considerable profit for the time that Smart Wagers has been live. I think that it is very important to qualify this fact because a lot of what I have to say about Smart Wagers doesn’t necessarily seem positive. This is not my intention, however I do like to be balanced.
First of all, after 7 months of straight profit, Smart Wagers has taken a dive so far for October. In fact, you can see it on the sales page that almost 42 points have been dropped. In the grand scheme of things, this isn’t necessarily the end of the world. After all, we are looking at about an 8% drop off in less than a month. Now I do feel that it is fair to point out that this can very likely turn around pretty quickly, but I wouldn’t recommend anything on the grounds of a maybe.
I also want to talk about value for money. This is definitely there under the right circumstances.
Unfortunately, it also means tying yourself into a 6 month subscription and quite a hefty outlay (unless you are lucky enough to get in with the aforementioned offer). The monthly and quarterly options are significantly pricier, and whilst there may still be profit, I can think of other services that I would rather spend that money on.
So what are my final thoughts? The honest answer feels like I’m dodging the hard question, because I don’t really know. Longer term Smart Wagers is definitely coming from a position of strength.
Losing as much as it has in such a short space of time concerns me as well. Completely putting myself out there, I think that Smart Wagers is a solid looking product for the longer term. This does however come with some quite clear risk and ultimately, how willing you are to roll with that will depend on the person.