Supreme Handicap is a new to market horse racing tipster service which is operated by Rob Davis. He claims that his service has produced some substantial profits over the last few months.
Introduction to Supreme Handicap
There are a lot of different tipster services that are available on the market so making something that stands out can be a difficult thing. I have seen so many different approaches from tipsters in order to achieve this with ideas ranging from new approaches to betting, to making claims of huge amounts of profit, and very occasionally, providing a decent betting service that has genuine potential to make money for users.
Rob Davis has gone for the middle option there and makes some very strong claims about the income potential of Supreme Handicap. Now, you will excuse my being cynical, but I have seen this kind of thing before.
After all, anybody can claim to have made any amount of money really, but without evidence backing it up, it doesn’t really count for much in my book. So, with this in mind, let’s look at Supreme Handicap and see whether or not Rob Davis can actually deliver, or whether this is just a lot of hot air.
What Does Supreme Handicap Offer?
We are told by Rob Davis that Supreme Handicap offers quite a lot. It is supposedly “The UK’s Number 1 Handicap Service”, he also claims that it uses a “5 Start Ranking System” (I will come back to this a little later), and most importantly, will apparently provide you with a “Regular Tax-Free Income”.
From what I have seen though, the reality of Supreme Handicap is a much more straight forward affair. Effectively, this is your very typical daily horse racing tipster service. Selections are sent out directly to email and are usually with you on the morning of racing.
The bets themselves are also pretty unexceptional looking. Supreme Handicap is a relatively low volume tipster service with most days giving you between 3 and 5 bets although there is naturally some degree of variance here. All of the bets that I Have seen Rob Davis advise so far have been straight win bets (with little reason to suspect tat this will change), and they have been at a relatively small range of odds.
I find it rather interesting given how Supreme Handicap supposedly works that there isn’t more variance, but that is something that I will cover in more detail shortly.
In terms of a staking plan for Supreme Handicap, put bluntly, there doesn’t appear to be anything that is in place. Rob Davis makes no explicit mention of any staking plan and as such, I would be inclined to only bet to level 1 point stakes if I were going to follow the service.
I would also anticipate needing a betting bank of at least 150 points if you were to try and follow Supreme Handicap for any length of time. One of the final things that should be noted (and I will talk about in greater detail), is that all of the results for the service are in pounds and pence. As such, Rob Davis has created a position whereby the profit and loss has no real context.
Finally, I want to talk about what kind of strike rate you can supposedly expect from Supreme Handicap.
This is something that isn’t actually ever discussed by Rob Davis. Don’t get me wrong, there is a very prevalent sense of this being a low risk service. For example, we are told in one of the many emails that I have received about the service that Supreme Handicap is able to produce “consistent horse racing winners”. The fact of the matter is though that Rob Davis provides nothing to back this up, or any proofing that we can really use to identify any number.
How Does Supreme Handicap Work?
There is a lot that is said about how Supreme Handicap works, but fundamentally, Rob Davis doesn’t ever actually provide nearly enough detail to know what you are getting into. There is instead a rather vague description that sounds quite impressive, however it doesn’t necessarily hold up to any sort of scrutiny.
How Supreme Handicap works can effectively be broken down into two different elements. The first is about the selection process. Here, Rob Davis says that he has spent more than 10 years collating information and “reading into tirelessly” (although what he is supposedly reading into isn’t something that is ever explored). We are also told that there is a spreadsheet which is able to look at information that is inputted and identify horses with better odds.
The other element refers to the notion that bookmakers often get prices wrong when it comes to handicap racing. Supposedly, the fact that the races are designed to be more balanced means that there are often errors of judgement made as things like recent form are factored in too much.
Personally, I am not convinced by this either. Whilst bookies can make mistakes, I find it highly unlikely that the whole of handicap racing is being so frequently mispriced with trained odds compilers working at it. None the less, Rob Davis is ultimately saying that this is exactly the principle that Supreme Handicap is built on.
What is the Initial Investment?
When you first look at Supreme Handicap, you we are told that there is a 10 day free trial in place and you can indeed sign up for that at no cost. There is also an option to sign up to receive Rob Davis’s selections for a full 12 month period.
This is priced at a one time cost of £29 (plus VAT) which is apparently a 94% discount, a claim that I am hugely sceptical of. There is also an option to upgrade Supreme Handicap to a lifetime subscription which will cost you an additional £37 (plus VAT). It is worth noting that Rob Davis says that this comes with a full 30 day moneyback guarantee, and with Supreme Handicap being sold through the Clickbank platform, you do have the ability to claim this through them.
What is the Rate of Return?
The income potential for Supreme Handicap is quite substantial really. Rob Davis claims that in the last “12 months and rising”, his selections made a profit of £18,524.04. This works out at a rather astounding £1,543.67 per month if you work it out over the course of a year.
Now, whilst that all may sound well and good, I want to return to the point I made earlier vis a vis the lack of a staking plan. This £1,500 figure could be 15 points at £100 (believable, but not actually that impressive), or 150 points at £10 stakes. There is no real way of qualifying this number though, what with the lack of proofing.
Conclusion on Supreme Handicap, the Service
There are two different ways of looking at something like Supreme Handicap in my opinion. The first is through a pair of optimistic eyes. In doing so (and maintaining some semblance of realism), I see a service that has made 185.24 points of profit over 12 months. This is reasonable, and it is modest, and it is believable.
Rob Davis is keen to detail his approach to betting to at least some degree, and being optimistic, I think that it is fair to say that there is enough detail provided to make an informed decision. To top it all off, Supreme Handicap appears to represent some phenomenal value for money given the incredibly low costs that are involved.
Honestly though, that is all a bit of a big jump to me. The problem with services like Supreme Handicap is that they do a very good job of sounding reasonable. Take that claim of some £18,500 of profit in a year. That’s a nice amount in so much as it is believable enough, but it is also enough to appeal to your sense of (for lack of a better word) greed. £18,500 without paying tax on it is equivalent to a respectable full time income, all for only a few minutes a day placing bets.
So, why am I cynical about Supreme Handicap? The short answer to this is a lack of evidence. Sure, you get your 10 day trial which is great on paper. And realistically, a few wins might well convince you that it’s worth signing up for. But in my line of work, I like to think that I hold services to a higher standard. I will always accept that no tipster can get it right all of the time, but those that can get it right enough of the time, will demonstrate that fact.
If you go to any of the respectable tipster stables, you will see comprehensive proofing of their tipsters bets, sometimes going back years. I know of reputable independent tipsters who will proof with a third party, ensuring that all of their results are impartial.
Rob Davis has listed how much he has supposedly made each month, with no real context for those numbers. That doesn’t scream confidence to me. Factor in that Supreme Handicap is being sold by a Clickbank vendor who is well known to me for putting out betting systems, and there are more than a few red flags surrounding the service.
With all of this in mind, I don’t think that it is particularly difficult to see that I wouldn’t recommend Supreme Handicap. As is so often the case with this kind of product, it is a bit of a masterclass in marketing, but ultimately, this is where I think that it will end. I have seen so many services make fantastical claims that they simply can’t back up, and longer term, all that happens is subscribers are left out of pocket.
