Tea Time Tipster is a brand new horse racing tipster service which is being offered through the Punthub group of tipsters. It has produced some very substantial results to date.
Introduction to Tea Time Tipster
As much as I love a good story when it comes to tipster services, it would be remiss of me to dismiss the fact that sometimes, I just want a service that is simply down the line. By this I mean numbers, I mean data. Things that I can extrapolate tangible concepts from.
This is of course opposed to Dean who met a geezer down the track who has smashed the betting code and now, their tips are being shared with you. Only of course for your betting bank to disappear 3 months down the line.
With Punthub, they are all about the numbers from the full publication of results and proofing to their Tipping League. Tea Time Tipster headed this up last month however the initial results for August are less encouraging. The fact of the matter is that numbers never lie.
With this in mind, let’s have a look and find out if Tea Time Tipster is a flash in the pan or the real deal.
What Does Tea Time Tipster Offer?
Purely in terms of how it operates, Tea Time Tipster is pretty much in line with what you would expect. It is a daily horse racing tipster service with emails issued directly to subscribers via email. All of this is of course handled via Punthub. As the name suggests, all of the bets that are sent out are issued around tea time.
These are also of a reasonable standard, something that is a definite credit to Tea Time Tipster (you wouldn’t believe how many tipsters manage to provide barely the essentials in their emails).
There is a very clear template to Tea Time Tipster that shapes what you can expect from a betting day. The service exclusively employs win bets and there is a strong focus on longer odds. The shortest odds that I have seen are 2/1, but honestly, less than 4/1 is a lot less common than more than 10/1.
There is also a generally high volume of bets. Without looking too hard at the proofing from Punthub, I have seen at least one day from Tea Time Tipster that has 13 bets in a single day. You will often see numbers lower than this, but the average number of bets per day is 8-15 according to Punthub.
Naturally a high volume staking plan does come with certain requirements. Especially in terms of the staking plan. Punthub have proofed Tea Time Tipster to level stakes of just 1 point per bet. This is definitely the right approach as there can be quite substantial gaps between wins.
For example, there was a period over 3 days where 20 bets lost on the bounce. Before that, 16 bets. This means that betting bank management becomes a very big part of Tea Time Tipster.
Sticking with the losing potential of Tea Time Tipster, I want to touch briefly on the strike rate. Given the long odds and the substantial losing streaks that have been mentioned, you would expect this to be particularly low. It does in fact stand at just under 20% once you factor in the none runners.
This is a surprisingly pleasant figure however it is one that Punthub do not seem to publish anywhere.
How Does Tea Time Tipster Work?
Punthub are a very numbers driven service. If something has performed well they bring it to the market based solely on a few months of results. This is for example what has happened with Tea Time Tipster. What we are not told about however is how the service works.
Don’t get me wrong, it is clear from the results that there is a focus on value, however this can be problematic. There is a big difference between finding value bets and simply backing outsiders.
With no real insight into how selections are made for Tea Time Tipster, it makes it very difficult to know whether or not these are off the back of genuine research or simply good guess work. Expanding on this, I would say that 2 months is not enough of a sample size to really say one way or another either.
What is the Initial Investment?
There are two options if you want to subscribe to Tea Time Tipster. The first of these is a monthly subscription which is priced at £25 for your first month and then £30 per month thereafter. Alternatively, you can obtain slightly better value by signing up on a quarterly basis at a cost of £80.
It is important to note that there is no money back guarantee in place for Tea Time Tipster and no real trial offer outside of a £5 discount on your first month.
What is the Rate of Return?
The profit potential for Tea Time Tipster is where it starts to get interesting. Using BOG, you would see a profit over just over 200 points from June and July. This is an immense result. The ROI for these works out at an average of about 45% with incredible consistency across the two months.
Even to BSP, you are still looking at a quite respectable 80 points over two months and an ROI of 11.62% one month and 24.37% the next month.
Conclusion on Tea Time Tipster
I have to hold my hands up and say that following Tea Time Tipster seems like a no brainer in many respects. Frankly, the service has produced some very strong results and there is no getting around this fact.
I don’t even think that you can blame Punthub for bringing the service to market so early. The results that have been produced are incredible off just 1 point stakes. There are however a number of other things to consider.
First of all, there is a point to be made about losing streaks. Whilst Tea Time Tipster has done a decent job of balancing them out with big wins, I cannot imagine that it will take much in order to take the service from turning a profit to losing a lot of money.
Factor in the lack of details on the selection process and I consider it to be quite reasonable to raise this as a concern. This is almost doubled down upon due to the fact that we have just 2 months of results.
The above would possibly be worth a punt if it were cheaper but honestly, Tea Time Tipster is pretty far from this. Don’t get me wrong, it is not the most expensive thing on the market but it all has to be put into context. There are some much more proven services on the market for similar prices as Punthub are asking here.
Are they as profitable as Tea Time Tipster? In the immediate no, but anybody who goes into betting with a focus on immediate gains is only going to lose out in the long run.
The fact that there is not enough to make a long term call on Tea Time Tipster makes it a no brainer for me. This is clearly a service with potential and I would absolutely recommend coming back in the future, but her and now this is a service that just looks too risky to me. On those grounds, I don’t think I would want to invest in Tea Time Tipster in its current form.