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Tennis Pilot Tips Review

Tennis Pilot Tips is a long standing sports betting tipster service. It is operated by duo James and Nicholas and has demonstrated some very strong long term profit potential.

Introduction to Tennis Pilot Tips

For reasons that I can’t adequately explain, it seems to be difficult to get on with a decent tennis tipster. Don’t get me wrong, I’ve seen plenty of them come and go in my time. There have even been some that have looked really good. Unfortunately, that initial showing is apparently very difficult to keep up. Because not many of them are still around and kicking. As such, this niche is an area where I am always on the lookout for something that shows genuine profit potential in the long term.

All of which brings me to Tennis Pilot Tips. Given how long I’ve been doing this I am actually slightly surprised that this hasn’t landed on my desk before now. Because it is a properly good looking tennis tipster service. Importantly, it doesn’t look good in the 4 months run up to release. Instead, James and Nicholas are operating a tipster service that looks good over 4 years. That is a bloody long time for a tipster service to stick around for. And tipster services that manage to stick around… well, it’s typically for a good reason.

Of course, that doesn’t simply mean that Tennis Pilot Tips is a service that will work for everybody. In actual fact, I think there is a lot of serious consideration to be had here. There are things that, whilst not necessarily problematic, aren’t things that will fit everybody’s idea of a good time betting. But with James and Nicholas ultimately running a pretty tight ship and a lot of experience on their hands, the pros more than outweigh the cons in my mind. At least, enough to warrant a deeper dive.  

Original Link: https://www.tennispilottips.com/

What Does Tennis Pilot Tips Offer?

Normally when I talk about a tipster there are a few things that stand out to me as being perhaps a little different to the norm. In the case of Tennis Pilot Tips… well, everything is just so hugely varied that it makes it difficult to know where to start. Not that this ultimately has to be a bad thing. In actual fact, I feel like most of what James and Nicholas do are things that I would consider to be “right”.

Nowhere is this more apparent than when you look at the management of Tennis Pilot Tips. As you might expect from any modern tipster service, this is ultimately email based. It is where James and Nicholas do things differently through that you start to see where the service shines. Of course, you get the information of what you are betting on, but there is the neat inclusion of  best odds, and the minimum odds advised, as well as a link to the bet on Oddschecker.

This doesn’t take much, but if you are the kind of bettor who likes to be getting the most out of your betting… well, that is a godsend and a huge timesaver. It also means that if you are less informed about betting you have that insight into what you should be looking out for. It’s surprising how often you can end up taking on more risk than you should by missing out on value.

All of that ties in quite nicely to the fact that you really should be looking to extract the most possible value from your bets with Tennis Pilot Tips. You see, James and Nicholas provide an incredibly comprehensive breakdown of their bets, and the average odds are… well, they’re not bad for a tennis tipster service, but they aren’t that high in the grand scheme of things. The median minimum odds (what you shouldn’t be betting at less than) are 3.0. The median best odds are 3.25.

Of course, that isn’t all there is too it. The actual range of odds is incredibly broad. Much of these longer shot bets do tend to come down to very certain bet types. You see, James and Nicholas look at a huge number of different betting markets with Tennis Pilot Tips. These range from relatively simple things like backing one player to bear another, to how long a match will last, and for those big odds, backing a player each way on a tournament.

Another thing worth mentioning whilst we’re talking about the bets is the sheer number of them that you may need to place. Since the first bets were proofed in January 2016 there have been almost 5,300 bets advised. In the last year alone, there have been close to 1,200 bets. You might be spreading 30 bets out over just 2 days, often with multiple bets on the same game. This doesn’t make Tennis Pilot Tips problematic, but it is worth keeping in mind.

In terms of the staking that is in place, James and Nicholas use a rather unique approach with Tennis Pilot Tips. Historically, as much as 25 points have been staked on bets. More recently though, there is a focus on a more tempered approach to betting which typically involves staking anywhere from 0.25 points all the way up to 2 points. Of course, this is much more manageable for most people, although it doesn’t alter the fact that the volume of bets can still make it expensive.

Finally, I want to touch on something that James and Nicholas themselves don’t really highlight with Tennis Pilot Tips. That is the strike rate. Now, at 35% it isn’t the highest. But it is very respectable to have been maintained for that length of time. What I will highlight however is that whilst this is an impressive number, the wins aren’t necessarily always consistent.

How Does Tennis Pilot Tips Work?

One of the things that undoubtedly impresses me when it comes to Tennis Pilot Tips is how upfront James and Nicholas are about what the service is built around. The pair met whilst studying at the University of Oxford and have supposedly been betting for some time (despite them being young lads, I am quite inclined to believe this statement).

More importantly, what they say is that they “combine a real passion for and understanding of tennis with astute and thorough quantitative research”. That is exactly the kind of thing that you want to hear. But that isn’t where it stops with Tennis Pilot Tips. James and Nicholas then go on to talk about how they utilise software like OnCourt and websites like Tennis Insight to develop models and analyse matches.

From here, they talk about things like player statistics, tournament conditions, past results, and betting markets. All of this is exactly what I love to see from tipsters. They aren’t providing a step by step breakdown for Tennis Pilot Tips, but they provide enough insight to show that they know what they are talking about, and that there is a clear and strong system behind the scenes.

And finally, if all of that wasn’t enough to convince you, James and Nicholas also provide some of the most comprehensive proofing I think I’ve seen for a tipster service. Not just in so much as it goes back over 5 years, but also the statistical breakdown. It makes it incredibly simple to look at Tennis Pilot Tips and get an idea of what you can expect from the service, and that is definitely commendable.

What is the Initial Investment?

There are a number of different options available if you want to sign up to Tennis Pilot Tips. The first of these is a monthly package. This is priced very reasonably at just £19.99 per month. James and Nicholas also give you your first month free. This is plenty of time to get to grips with the service and see if it is for you.

For those who are seeking better value James and Nicholas have some longer term subscriptions. You can sign up for the 6 month package for just £99.99. The best value for money comes from signing up to Tennis Pilot Tips for a full year. This is rather expensive at a cost of £169.99, but that does work out at around £14 per month.

It is worth noting that James and Nicholas don’t actually provide any sort of money back guarantee with Tennis Pilot Tips. This isn’t something that counts too much against it in my mind though. It is generally the standard across the industry. Furthermore, you get that free month when you sign up too.  

What is the Rate of Return?

Since that first proofing, Tennis Pilot Tips has produced an overall profit of 2,479.2 points. That works out at a yearly average of pretty close to 500 points. Adding to the strength of these results is an ROI of 18.83%. An incredibly respectable number for James and Nicholas to both attain and maintain for so long.

That isn’t however the full picture. Almost all of this profit comes from some very strong early results. For context, between June and October 2016, Tennis Pilot Tips saw returns of 1,894.43 points. You might recognise that as… well, almost 80% of the overall profit. For some better context on what all of this means, between August 2020 (when tipping began post Covid) and July 2021 the profit is significantly lessened at 85.09 points.

Conclusion for Tennis Pilot Tips

Sometimes you come across a tipster service that you really just want to see do well. There are a lot of different reasons for this, but more often than not it’s just because you’re dealing with genuine guys who are putting out something decent. On a very fundamental level, I believe that is what is happening with Tennis Pilot Tips.

I don’t really doubt that James and Nicholas know what they are doing when it comes to tennis betting. I really don’t. At the end of the day, you don’t make 1,900 points of profit in 6 months if you don’t know what you’re doing. Furthermore, there have been various other 100 point months since then too.

Which brings me to that more recent run of results. A huge impact on these recent results was September which saw a loss of 37.53 points. This is a set of results that could simply be down to that post Covid period. A lot of sports were starting from scratch, and there aren’t that many bettors who made money during that period because of a lack of data. That could well be the case here.

The truth of the matter though is that the bottom line is the bottom line. If you aren’t making enough money it is very hard to recommend a tipster service and that is, unfortunately, where I currently am with Tennis Pilot Tips. There is a lot I like here. The longevity, the pricing, the fact that James and Nicholas seem to both be really genuine guys. But this is a service that just isn’t making money.

And it isn’t just that it isn’t making money, but the way in which it isn’t. Over May, June, and July you’d have placed 697 bets. 232 bets a month. More than that, you’d have staked a huge amount of money. Specifically, 510 points. If you were at £10 a point you’d have dropped £5,100. And for all that investment, you’d have made a total of £302.10. Five grand invested, £100 a month back as an average. Well… £80 after you’ve paid subs.

The biggest problem with Tennis Pilot Tips for me isn’t just that it isn’t making that much money, but you have to put so much into it to make not much money. Your time, your betting bank, the fact that you need to have deep pockets when you hit a losing streak. That just isn’t something that I can really see myself recommending. Not when there are so many other tipster services out there that are just performing better for less work.

 

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From: Simon Roberts