The Acca Man is a new to market sports betting tipster service that claims to be capable of producing a substantial profit through betting on football accumulators. Selections come courtesy of Dan Short.
Introduction to The Acca Man
The idea of betting on accumulators is something of a decisive topic in the betting community. Some people see it as a way of massively increasing the potential value on the most probable outcomes. Others see it as a way of throwing away a perfectly good profit by having one unexpected result throw off your bet. Both of these are valid.
Dan Short clearly belongs in that latter camp, claiming that that it is “The Most Powerful Bet In Football” (as well as some mind blowing supposed profits, but I’ll come back to that). In fact, he talks a lot about how great accumulator betting supposedly is and how it is central to todays product, The Acca Man, being profitable.
If there is one thing that I don’t think anybody would disagree on, it is that there is the potential for huge profits with accumulators, but they don’t tend to win often. Dan Short says that he has remedied this with The Acca Man, so let’s jump straight in and see what kind of thing you can expect here.
What Does The Acca Man Offer?
Honestly, there is a lot that you can say about The Acca Man, but it is far from your typical tipster service. Dan Short has a very clear way of doing things and that, is apparently just that. Personally, I have a lot of concerns surrounding The Acca Man (that I will cover over the course of this review), but I will try to keep an open mind.
First things first, the fact of the matter is that The Acca Man is a football based tipster service, and, as you would expect, this doesn’t mean selections on a daily basis. Instead, selections for The Acca Man are restricted to the weekends and at very limited numbers. This is something that a lot of people may find resonates with them (although I’m not convinced of the motives for this).
As you would expect, selections for The Acca Man are sent out directly via email. These will typically arrive with subscribers on the morning of the first game in the accumulator. This means that you will get them on Friday or Saturdays.
Now, in terms of the bets, it seems ridiculously obvious to say that they are all accumulators, but this is only one element of the service. In actuality, there is a surprising amount of variation and subtlety. Each week, The Acca Man subscribers receive 6 different accumulator bets, each with a different approach.
First of all, there are 3 different groups of bets. These are focused on the Premier League, The English Football League, and European football. Each of these then comes with two different accumulators. One of these is supposed to have all bets backed to win, the other uses double chance bets in order to maximise the win potential of them.
The size of the accumulators can vary with the evidence that Dan Short provides for The Acca Man showing bet up to 7 folds. From what I have seen as well, this seems to be the ceiling and rightly so. It is an obvious thing to say, but the more bets that are involved, the more risk there is with a given bet. This is something that becomes important a little later on.
In terms of the odds, I think that it probably goes without saying that you will be betting to longer odds with The Acca Man, but, by and large, you aren’t really backing outsiders either, and when you are backing on a double chance, those odds drop even lower.
Now, there is a staking plan in place for The Acca Man and it isn’t an inherently bad one. Dan Short says that each week, he bets £30 on each accumulator, £10 on the win bets, and £20 on the double chance. Effectively, this can be broken down into 2 points on a double chance and 1 point on a win bet.
Now, there isn’t actually any sort of information on what kind of betting bank that you would need for The Acca Man which, if I’m honest, is a bit of a red flag. Despite a number of claims that are made about how often you can expect to win (a topic that I will come to very soon), I think that a 75 point minimum would be needed if you were to follow Dan Short’s advice.
So, that strike rate. Dan Short says that out of 9 preseason accumulator bets, he won 2. He then goes on to show two EFL accas that also won, suggesting 4 out of 11. That would be a strike rate of some 36%. That would make The Acca Man an incredibly strong performing service.
That is of course dependent on you buying into a number that, in my book at least, is entirely unbelievable. There are a lot of reasons for this that I will get to, but even if you give Dan Short the benefit of doubt, you are looking at a miniscule data sample size. None the less, it is clear that this apparent success is supposed to be taken as sustainable with The Acca Man.
How Does The Acca Man Work?
There are a fair few things that are missing when I look at the sales material and information that is provide by Dan Short, but his selection process is definitely one of the most apparent. There is absolutely no information provided whatsoever, and that is a pretty big disappointment for me, for a number of reasons.
First things first. Whenever it comes to bets that involve significantly longer odds (as is the case with The Acca Man), then I strongly believe that if you are following a tipster they should justify you following them. Honestly, you aren’t going to win often following Dan Short, and with no details on why you are backing tips… It’s just a recipe for disaster to me. Especially considering other factors surrounding The Acca Man.
Now fundamentally, the ideas are pretty simple. Coming back full circle to my introduction, the concept of extracting maximum value out of bets by bundling them into an accumulator isn’t new. I don’t inherently have a problem with using accas, but if I’m going to follow somebody like The Acca Man, I really do want to know what I’m actually getting myself into.
It isn’t even like there is any real proofing provided for The Acca Man that allows you to look at wider data and get an idea of what to expect for the future. Instead, there are just 4 examples of bets that have supposedly been successful. Considering Dan Short claims to have multiple profitable previous seasons, this isn’t really good enough.
What is the Initial Investment?
Dan Short has two options that are available if you want to sign up for The Acca Man. The first of these will allow you access to selections for 10 weeks and will cost you £50 (plus VAT). Alternatively, you are told that you can sign up for the whole season for a cost of £189 (again, plus VAT).
It is worth noting that even though there is no mention of it from Dan Short, there is a full 60 day money back guarantee in place for The Acca Man as it is being sold through Clickbank. The fact that none of this is discussed anywhere is yet another grave concern for reasons that I will cover shortly.
What is the Rate of Return?
Supposedly, Dan Short makes £100,000 per year through the exact same methods that he employs for The Acca Man. Using that idea of £10 being 1 point, this would mean an effective profit of 10,000 points. This is a remarkable number that is well beyond the kind of results I would expect over 10 years, never mind a single season of football.
We are given evidence that this year will smash this figure in the form of a 7 fold accumulator that Dan Short claims has already landed in the EFL, supposedly making £35,426 off a single bet. This is coincidentally nicely in line with his headlining claim of making “£10,000 – £50,000 From A Single Bet”. I don’t really believe this figure however (not surprisingly).
Conclusion for The Acca Man
There is no denying that there is money to be made with accumulator bets. There are more than enough services out there that have demonstrated this. So far, so good for The Acca Man, right? Well, it isn’t quiet that black and white, for a number of different reasons that I want to explore.
First of all, there is the fact that whilst there are profitable tipster services that are based around accumulators, they are able to provide comprehensive evidence and proofing for their profits. This is in very strong contrast to The Acca Man which provides no real evidence outside of the aforementioned screenshots.
I mean, 10,000 points of profit in a year would be incredible. But this is entirely reliant on it actually being a viable number, which it isn’t. And that is where so many of the problems really materialise for me. Dan Short talks a great game, but he doesn’t seem to be able to walk the proverbial walk.
Take things like the selection process, or the lack thereof. There are plenty of tipsters that don’t like to talk about their selection process, but they provide proofing. They are quite open about having lower strike rates because frankly, when you are betting on accumulators, that is the name of the game.
Dan Short provides nothing in this regard leaving only an implication of a of a number that I don’t believe can be realistically achieved at all. This kind of inconsistency and reliance on taking The Acca Man at face value is everywhere, and the service doesn’t really do much to convince that it is worthwhile outside of this.
There are other elements that strike me as suspicious too. For example, Clickbank offer a 60 day money back guarantee on their products. This works out at 8 weeks. Now, Dan Short doesn’t bother to mention this anywhere. This is problematic enough.
But then also consider that the cheaper option for The Acca Man is 10 weeks. That is enough to sound viable, and just long enough that your refund period with Clickbank (which you aren’t told about I would hasten to add) to expire.
Now this could of course be simple coincidence. I am not at all trying to suggest that the vendor behind The Acca Man has orchestrated all of this with the sole intent of making a quick and easy buck. But those numbers do represent quite the coincidence from a vendor which has put out 3 other tipster services this year, all covering different sports and approaches to betting.
All of this is just a little bit too suspect to me. Honestly, the fundamental ideas behind The Acca Man have some merit, and I suppose that is by design. This is a service that has been designed to have an easy appeal, and you need something that sounds good to bring people in. But that is about as close to praise as I can lavish for Dan Short’ service.
This is one that definitely merits a wide berth.