The Final Run In Review Greg Lofthouse

The Final Run In is a new sports betting tipster service that is operated by Greg Lofthouse. The service is based around football betting in closing third of the season.

Introduction to The Final Run In 

I often think that it is quite interesting how exactly the many different tipsters on the market approach their respective sports. Everybody is different, and yet, there are still some who are successful. Rationally, this must mean that there are lots of different ways of approaching betting, as there are apparently lots of different ways of making money.

All of this leads me to The Final Run In, a service that I still don’t quite understand. See, Greg Lofthouse says that the best time to make money with football betting is towards the end of the season. The Final Run In is the result of that, and there are some impressive claims made as well. So, this is a sure thing, right? Maybe not, let’s have a look and see.  

What Does The Final Run In Offer?

There is a lot of fancy talk from Greg Lofthouse about his approach to betting, why he operates The Final Run In the way that he does, and what the supposed benefits are. The fact of the matter though is that once you strip away all of his marketing talk, you are left with a very typical example of a football tipster service.

the-final-run-in-reviewThis applies to almost all elements including (not surprisingly) the logistics. Now, Greg Lofthouse does say that he focuses on the Premier League with The Final Run In which means that you won’t be receiving selections on a daily basis, but you can expect them regularly enough, directly via email.

In terms of the bets themselves, there is supposedly a fair amount of variety with The Final Run In. Given that Greg Lofthouse’s tips only went live on the 2nd of March and no proofing is really provided for the service, you have to take this at face value a little, however I can believe it.

Essentially, you are told to predominantly expect bets on a back to win basis, however there are also a number of smaller accumulators where there is no value to be had in single bets. This is almost entirely down to the fact that The Final Run In mostly involves backing bets at quite low odds.

Rather disappointingly there is no staking plan that I have seen for The Final Run In. This is an area which is hugely frustrating in no small part down to the fact that all of Greg Lofthouse’s claimed results are in pounds and pence.

As such, there is very little in the way of context for what they mean. Being realistic, The Final Run In isn’t overly high volume or anything and as such, I believe that 1 point stakes would be more than enough.

Finally, I want to talk return to the point about there being no proofing for The Final Run In. It is interesting to note to me that Greg Lofthouse makes no reference to any kind of strike rate for his previous years identifying selections. Keep in mind that we are told that the results have been kept for the 2015/16 and the 2016/17 season.

As such, this kind of information shouldn’t just be close to hand for Greg Lofthouse to calculate the strike rate for The Final Run In, the proofing should also be actively provided so that we can get a better insight into what we are signing up for.

How Does The Final Run In Work?

Whilst there is plenty of information that Greg Lofthouse conveniently chooses not to provide with The Final Run In, there is also a decent amount of information that we do receive. One of the key things here is a look at what the selection process entails (at least to some degree).

Perhaps not surprisingly, this isn’t particularly well detailed and contains quite minimal information, especially in the light of no proofing. None the less, it does provide something to look at and that is better than some tipsters I have seen.

Effectively, Greg Lofthouse says that The Final Run In is based around trends. He says that he has ben watching these trends which have led to a “trend pattern” for multiple betting markets. Supposedly, bets are only advised “when the probability hits 80%”.

This all sounds well and good, however the savvy amongst you will have noticed that there isn’t actually any information on what these trends involve. With this in mind, I am quite cynical about this and feel like Greg Lofthouse is simply trying to add some degree of legitimacy to The Final Run In.

What is the Initial Investment?

On paper, The Final Run In is actually quite a pricey service as it turns out that as well as an initial subscription, you have to pay a percentage of your profit at the end of the 10 weeks. The initial cost of the service is a one time payment of £49 plus VAT.

You will then owe an additional £200 which is 5% of a “minimum profit” of £4,000. It is interesting to note that the first payment is handled through Clickbank, however I haven’t been able to see any way in which you are supposedly paying that additional profit.

It is interesting to note that because The Final Run In is sold through Clickbank, this does mean that there is a full 60 day money back guarantee in place (coincidentally 2 weeks short of the period in which Greg Lofthouse will supposedly make profit).  

What is the Rate of Return?

Greg Lofthouse says that he aims to make £5,000 in the last 10 weeks of Premier League football. In the last 3 seasons, this has happened once, however it is claimed that The Final Run In has made around £4,500 and £4,800.

This is still a substantial amount of money for a small period of time, however there is no real evidence that this is a feasible target. There is no mention of how much has been staked either which means that this number may well be based around stakes that are substantially higher than most people would want to bet.

Conclusion on The Final Run In 

There are a number of problems which I have with The Final Run In, but I will be up front about the main one. That is the fact that £5,000 in 10 weeks is a hell of an ask. It is plausible, just about, but that is to £100 stakes and not many people will be betting that much money.

Now, that would mean a hypothetical 5 points per week based on those numbers and I can see an argument that that is a respectable figure, however I also think that Greg Lofthouse is asking a pretty substantial leap to reach that number.

What really stands out to me is that Greg Lofthouse has supposedly been betting on football in this way for 3 years before now.

There is however no evidence that he has ever made any money from this. Sure, he claims to have made at least £4,500, but there is nothing backing this up. At the very least, I would have expected some proofing. All of this is a little bit suspect, as is the fact that you are so specifically asked to run The Final Run In for 10 weeks. I could be wrong, but my gut feeling tells me that I’m not.

With all of this in mind, I feel like about the best thing I can say about The Final Run In is that you probably won’t have to pay that extra £200 that Greg Lofthouse says he is asking if you make a profit. The downside to that is that you are unlikely to make a profit.

It can be easy to be sucked in by products that appear to make sense (the vague references to trends sound very plausible), but those that are genuine don’t simply tell you a tale and then ask a not insignificant amount of money for access.

This is one that I would strongly be looking to avoid.

 

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From: Simon Roberts