The Northern Punter is a brand new horse racing tipster service that is being offered through the Bet Social tipster platform. Selections come courtesy of tipster Terrence and have produced some very impressive results.
Introduction to The Northern Punter
If you could create a dream betting service, I think that it’s fair to say that it would be one that doesn’t lose. That’s the dream, right? But let’s be honest with ourselves. Unless you’re dedicating your entire life to matched betting and getting that absolutely nailed down… there are going to be losses. And even if you did win every bet. I’d give your accounts about a week. Maybe even less than that. Unfortunately, the betting dream is always going to be unattainable… Or is it?
You see, today’s review subject is a service that is being sold off the back that it hasn’t lost. Ok, maybe I’m embellishing things a little bit here. What Bet Social are actually saying about The Northern Punter is that Terrence hasn’t encountered as losing month to date. Now this is the sort of claim that I see dragged out quite often, only to learn that a tipster stable has been working with a tipster for a few months and has made this big push based off a good run. It can honestly become quite frustrating.
That isn’t the case here though. Bet Social have been proofing Terrence’s selections since the back end of May 2021. That is a shade over 6 months of consistent profit, and those area numbers that it is hard to ignore. What I will be very upfront about though is that this isn’t entirely a bed of roses. The blunt fact of the matter is that these results are incredibly conditional. There is a massive amount of disparity in performance, and that is something that will ultimately impact a lot of people here. SO, let’s get into it and see if this is actually worth a punt.
What Does The Northern Punter Offer?
I’ll make no bones about the fact that The Northern Punter isn’t an entirely simple service. In many respects, it is as straight forward as any other tipster service, but there are elements that stand out to me as being significantly different to the norm. Ultimately, I don’t think that they inherently impact the service one way or another, but there will be a lot of talking about these considerations in this review.
One area that I don’t think you can really find much quarrel with The Northern Punter is how Bet Social and Terrence manage the service. As is the case with pretty much any modern tipster service, selections are of course sent out directly via email. That is of course standard for the industry and works perfectly well for most people.
For my money though, the best option for The Northern Punter is taking advantage of the Telegram group that Bet Social and Terrence have. For those of you who may not be familiar with Telegram, it is a group messaging app that is sold as the fastest in the world. What it means here though is getting a notification directly to your phone that selections are available.
This is important because if you want to really take advantage of The Northern Punter, you need to be able to act very quickly. You see, Terrence makes his selections available before midday. But these can sometimes be quite late in the morning. Furthermore, you may also receive tips in the afternoon for any all weather racing that is on that evening.
Unfortunately, this doesn’t necessarily give you the most time to actually get bets on. That isn’t ideal for reasons that will become apparent a little later on. Furthermore, I would absolutely recommend taking advantage of an odds comparison site if you can. I cannot stress enough that getting the best possible odds you can is an absolute must here. Unfortunately, this is only stressed even more by the fact that you don’t have that huge window of time.
Adding to this is the fact that there are a lot of bets that need to be placed. There have been over 1,800 bets advised in the time that Bet Social have been proofing The Northern Punter. For those who are keeping track, this means that you’re looking at almost 300 bets per month or an average of 10 per day.
The problem with this average is that it isn’t necessarily representative of what you can expect. One day may have as many as 20 bets advised. The next day may produce just 5 bets. Something else to keep in mind with The Northern Punter is that Terrence will often advise multiple horses in the same race. This isn’t necessarily a massive issue, but it is yet another consideration here. Especially because Bet Social don’t mention that this is an option in the sales material.
In terms of the bets that you will be placing, the vast majority are win or each way, however, on very rare occasions, Terrence also sends out forecast bets through The Northern Punter. These all cover a very substantial range of odds, and whilst the average that Bet Social claim comes in at 7.41, the reality is that the range is much more significant starting as low as 1.40 and going all the way up to 51.00.
All of this does start to be quite intimidating, and that is only compounded when you look at the staking plan. Terrence advises bets at anything from just half a point on an each way bet all the way up to 5 points when he believes that he has a particularly strong bet. And of course, this can add up with The Northern Punter requiring quite substantial investment.
One of the saving graces here is that the average strike rate comes in at a pretty impressive 35.29% (a number that isn’t skewed by the fact that Terrence technically had a 100% strike rate in March where the 3 horses he tipped all came in). When you start to piece that together with the odds involved (at least to BOG), you have a service that looks to have some decent long term profit potential.
How Does The Northern Punter Work?
One of the things that I like about The Northern Punter is that there is a decent amount said about how the service works. Specifically, Bet Social and Terrence say that he has “mastered a system that allows [him] to pick regular racing winners”. Something that I feel like the results do actually demonstrate. But there is more to it than this.
We are told that Terrence researches all meetings and that he has “studied just about everything there is to know when taking factors into consideration” and that he’s always on the lookout for future winners too. There is more said as well about the fact that most of his day is taken up with horse racing, and I actually believe all of this. When you start to look at the proofing that Bet Social provide for The Northern Punter, I think it is pretty apparent that there is something.
There is also a clear element of value to be had here too. When you look at the occasions where Terrence is advising multiple horses for the same race, they are typically higher priced outsiders, and often on an each way basis. In and of itself, that doesn’t indicate that The Northern Punter is value based, but a look at how the odds move shows that it is definitely a factor, and the broader results do demonstrate that.
Something that doesn’t directly pertain to how The Northern Punter works but is still of value is Bet Social’s proofing. This is incredibly comprehensive (let’s not forget that it covers some 1,800 bets) and gives you a good idea of what to expect. Whilst it isn’t a direct replacement for additional insight into the selection process, it is quite important of understanding the ebb and flow of this. Especially because the “no losing months” thing does paint a certain picture.
What is the Initial Investment?
Terrence talks a lot about how he wanted to offer affordable trials for anybody who is considering The Northern Punter, and I think that Bet Social have smashed the assignment here. There are ultimately 3 different subscription lengths available, each of which differ quite a lot in terms of the costs and value, but all have very generous trial prices.
The first option for The Northern Punter is to sign up on a monthly basis. This is price at £37 per month, however your first 21 days will ultimately cost you just £1. Alternatively, you could sign up on a quarterly subscription. This will set you back £74 per quarter (effectively a free month), but there is also a trial option here too. For just £5, you get to trial Terrence’s selections for 28 days before moving onto that full price.
As you might expect, the best value comes from signing up on a 6 month subscription. The trial for this is a massive jump in cost at £60, however, this does give you 6 months of selections. Once this has elapsed, the full 6 monthly price is still reasonable at just £97.
Something that is worth keeping in mind is that there isn’t actually any sort of money back guarantee in place with Bet Social’s services. This also applies when you’re looking at The Northern Punter too. As such, you should be committed to this if you are going to take advantage of the better value options.
What is the Rate of Return?
Talking about the profit of The Northern Punter is a tricky thing, because it differs massively. Over the last 4 months, to BOG, Terrence has produced a profit of 215.22 points. I’ll come back to things like staking and longer term results very shortly, but that number should be kept in mind. Because to SP, there has been a loss 30.51 points. That is a massive gulf. And realistically, that also applies to BSP where there is a very lacklustre profit of 35 points.
But let’s put that aside for a minute and look at the broader results for The Northern Punter. Since May (to BOG at least), there has been a profit of 633.24 points. That is getting close to 100 points per month, and even when you consider the fact that the average stakes based off Bet Social’s proofing is 1.76 points per bet, that is still impressive. The ROI is I feel a better reflection of what you can expect here which is about 20%. A rather telling indicator of the fact that nearly 3,200 points have been staked this year.
Conclusion for The Northern Punter
For some reason, there have been a wealth of services recently that have been very good tipster services. They have ultimately performed well, made money, and delivered on what they need to do. The Northern Punter is yet another example of this in action. Terrence has gone about consistently producing genuinely impressive profit over the last 7 months or so and you simply cannot take that away from it all.
Does that mean that I would recommend The Northern Punter though? I am a little less convinced about this, because simply put, this is a service that simply won’t suit everybody. Something that is mostly down to the sheer amount of work that is involved, and the associated investment. Let me explain what I mean by this.
The last full month of proofing for The Northern Punter shows me that 245 bets were advised. A relatively quite month. In that period, I would have staked 399 points. Acceptable numbers given the volume of bets. But to the usual £10 per point stakes that I work to, you’re looking at almost four grand spent on betting. Sure, you see £835.60 back as profit. You’re not doing badly off it, but that is a lot of money to have to bet with.
Then there is all of the work with getting the bets on. Because let’s come back to the fact that if you aren’t betting to BOG, you’re potentially just throwing money away. This then means that you aren’t just having to place 245 bets (about 8 per day), but you are having to drop everything to get them on with a bookmaker that offers BOG. If you’re trying to shop for the best odds, that is even more work. At this point, The Northern Punter starts to sound exhausting.
Does that make it a bad service? Absolutely not. But there is also no denying that this simply won’t suit most people who are looking for a second income. A lot of people I talk to who are interested in betting want it to supplement an existing job. They are looking to take a passion and turn it into a profit.
Here’s the thing with that. It’s rather difficult to explain to somebody that you have to drop everything, because if you don’t put on £200 worth of bets right now, as soon as your phone has gone off, then you’re probably going to piss it up the wall. Then you have to spend the 15 minutes or so doing that. Do you have that kind of freedom in your life?
There are people who will be in a position to do all of that though. And if that is you. Then The Northern Punter may be worth a look. It’s definitely a lot of work. and not every profitable month is a big one. But 23.96 points as a minimum isn’t bad at all. Even if it does represent an ROI of 4.85%…
Look, Bet Social are onto something here. I believe that Terrence knows his stuff and The Northern Punter is decent. But I just see it as being too much work, too much time, too much effort for most people. Honestly, it is one of the more exhausting tipster services I’ve looked at for a while, and whilst the rewards are there, it ultimately isn’t something that I can bring myself to recommend. Especially not for your average punter.
