The Whale Picks is an American based tipster service which is operated by a tipster referred to as “The Whale”. It is claimed to have produced some incredible profits including tens of thousands of dollars in a single bet.
Introduction on The Whale Picks
I don’t normally pay much attention to American betting. This is mostly down to the fact that there hasn’t been a lot of point. Sportsbook betting as it is known stateside was pretty much illegal and tipster services there seemed to be few and far between.
Things are changing though and I have decided today to turn my attention to what is arguably one of the more renowned tipsters, The Whale.
With ‘claims’ of a personal fortune made in excess of tens of millions of dollars, it is hard to ignore The Whale Picks. Especially because on the surface of things, it is a very legitimate tipster service.
There is plenty of evidence (if very little in the way of formal proofing. Look past some of this, what I will refer to as “Americanism” in this market (a blanket term that essentially refers to the much more sensationalist way that advertising works stateside), and you have a service which seems to be very interesting. With markets opening up across the world now, it seems as good a time as any to pay some attention to The Whale Picks.
What Does The Whale Picks Offer?
The Whale Picks is a daily tipster service which, not surprisingly given the fact that it is based there, focuses on US betting. Despite the rather lofty seeming ideals spouted by The Whale, this is a straight forward tipster service and looks exactly what you are used to. Selections are sent out each morning (which would be evening here in the UK) directly to subscribers emails. The Whale says that these contain “clear, simple, and easy instructions on which are the best picks to take”. The Whale Picks is pitched as being literally that simple.
In terms of the bets themselves, The Whale has an approach that is based entirely around Round Robin Parlay bets. This was a new term to me, but it is effectively very similar to a Patent bet. The difference with The Whale Picks is that it uses something called SSA bets.
Effectively, these mean that if there are winnings from a first single, then a stake is placed on a linked bet. One thing that stands out to me is that despite the big wins, from what I have seen of The Whale Picks, the majority of bets are actually generally lower odds.
The volume of bets for The Whale Picks can get quite high with each Round Robin effectively made up of 10 different bets. This is something worth factoring in.
One of the things that I do find to be disappointing about The Whale Picks is that there is seemingly no pattern as to how you are supposed to stake. There is information about how The Whale will be staking, and you could conceivably scale this down (and you would really want to do this).
With no rhyme or reason though I do find this yet another element of The Whale Picks that is rather disconcerting in the bigger picture.
Finally I want to talk about the strike rate or of course, the lack thereof. This shouldn’t be too surprising as there isn’t really a lot about The Whale Picks that strikes me as being professional and well organised. This could simply be an “Americanism”, but I would expect any professional bettor to keep records, and from this, produce relevant data.
In fact, the only reason that I can think of for The Whale not providing a number or reasonable is because there is something that they are trying to hide.
I feel that I should also point out that as well as access to The Whale’s selections, The Whale Picks also gives you access to a number of different betting systems and staking plans. Whilst not integral to the profitability of the main service they are additions that are worth keeping in mind.
How Does The Whale Picks Work?
The Whale claims that he has been betting successfully for a considerable amount of time. In fact, he was supposedly the top sports bettor in Las Vegas in the 90’s. This is of course substantiated with a number of suspicious looking betting slips from that period (by which I mean they appear to be recreations of bets that may or may not have been placed). There is however no detail on what approach The Whale has for his betting.
This is a very large problem for me with The Whale Picks, in no small part because of the aforementioned lack of proofing. As such, there is no way of truly knowing what to expect.
In terms of the wider approach, it seems to me that The Whale Picks has a clear agenda. The bigger wins certainly seem to be rather substantial. As such, I would anticipate that The Whale Picks is based around the principle of waiting for a big win to come in.
The Round Robin betting approach means that there is potential to keep your betting bank topped up between bets, but honestly, this is rather speculative on my behalf. This obfuscation of information is massively problematic to me.
What is the Initial Investment?
The Whale is asking just $19 to get started with The Whale Picks. That sounds reasonable enough right? This gets you 7 days of access, after which the cost goes up to an eye watering $299 per month. This is the only long term option that is available and it makes The Whale Picks one of the most, if not the most expensive tipster service I can recall looking at.
It is worth noting that there is a full 60 day money back guarantee in place for The Whale Picks as it is sold through Clickbank. To be fair to The Whale, this is mentioned and well advertised in the sales material.
What is the Rate of Return?
The claimed income for The Whale Picks is seemingly almost infinite. The Whale claims to be a multi millionaire several times over through his betting activity. This all sounds well and good, and crazily enough, I don’t doubt these results. What is incredibly important to keep in mind is the bigger picture when it comes to results.
As discussed, there is no real proofing for The Whale Picks, but The Whale does post his betting slips online. This really exposes The Whale Picks as it shows bets that actually have quite moderate odds. For example, to bets of $4,000 to return $14,400 and $13,745. That means returns of less than 4/1 on both tickets. Given the nature of Parlay bets, that honestly isn’t amazing.
To ultimately create some context, I added up all of the betting slips that The Whale has posted since the start of January. Even with all of the big wins (and there are several in excess of $25,000) the service ends up $579 down. Admittedly, The Whale stakes more than most people, but in the cold hard light of day, it is not a profit, and it is a reasonable enough sample size to demonstrate the longer term potential.
Conclusion to The Whale Picks
On the surface of things, I think that The Whale Picks is a bit of a hit and miss affair. For my money, it is far too expensive. I don’t know what kind of money is usually charged for things over in the states, but I can tell you now that here in the UK, you can get some decent tipster services for literally a tenth of what The Whale is asking for The Whale Picks.
That is without a shadow of a doubt one of the biggest single problems with The Whale Picks. On top of this, whilst the profits seem particularly strong, when you break things down, it isn’t such a huge profit.
This is only one element of the problems that I have with The Whale Picks however. There are a large number of wider problems when you start to look into the service in the background. It appears that The Whale is in fact a well known internet marketer known as Tony Chau.
This is a name that won’t mean a lot here, but in the US he is surprisingly well known having appeared on multiple programmes buying expensive property where he is in fact referred to as an internet marketer. In fact, some websites leverage his name in order to sell their own products in a “Get the Tony Chau lifestyle” kind of thing.
All of this counts a lot of suspicion over the wider service for me. I don’t doubt that somewhere, somebody is placing big bets on sports betting, and they are apparently doing reasonably well.
There are plenty of posts on “The Whale’s” Twitter account showing both winning and losing bets. Do I believe that the results are likely to be a not genuine reflection of the earning capability etc. Yes. But honestly, this seems in no small part to be down to the difference in culture.
The Americanisms that I mentioned earlier dictate a lot of how people view things in The US.
The American Dream is something that is still seen to be very much alive and well and honestly, I feel like people have very different expectations to what we have here in the UK. To put it bluntly, we are a much more cynical nation, and when it comes to something like betting, that will service you very well.
With all of this in mind, I don’t believe that The Whale Picks is something that I would recommend. Putting my hand on my heart, I don’t know how much of what Tony Chau claims is true.
Much of what he refers to is all anonymous and from a different time. In terms of the large quantities of evidence, I would take these with a pinch of salt. I cannot find positive testimonies for The Whale Picks or his other tipster services which he has operated before now anywhere except his own websites.
All of this combined with the fact that it is expensive, and not as profitable as it first seems, and The Whale Picks to me is a service that just isn’t worth the very substantial investment.