Winner After 45 is a new sports betting tipster service which is operated by Dan Watts. Supposedly you can expect to double your money within a relatively short space of time making this an enticing proposition.
Introduction to Winner After 45
“STOP Betting on FULL TIME RESULTS when you can make EASY PROFITS by betting on the first 45 minutes of the game.” reads one of the main headlines for the service.
Now I know that there are a hell of a lot of different approaches to football betting, however focusing on a half time results is something that by and large, I’ve not really seen outside of Betfair trading.
Of course, that doesn’t mean that Winner After 45 won’t work. In fact, if you believe the sales material for the service, it is seemingly all but guaranteed with Dan Watts setting a pretty short time frame to double your betting bank.
With all of this in mind, Winner After 45 looks like it could be a potentially quite fresh take on an already saturated football betting market. Let’s see whether or not it is able to deliver on that promise.
What Does Winner After 45 Offer?
In terms of what you are actually getting from Winner After 45, it is a pretty straight forward affair, albeit with some rather interesting twists (that I want to come to).
Selections are issued to subscribers the morning of a game, typically between 8am and 10am, and as you would expect, Dan Watts sends these out directly via email.
All that you have do, he says, is place the bets with your bookie or on the Betfair Exchange. This does seemingly open Winner After 45 up a little.
Moving on to the subject of the bets themselves, Winner After 45 is ultimately pretty straight forward, however it does have to be noted that the strategy that Dan Watts employs can involved betting on multiple outcomes per game.
On top of this, you can expect to bet on a number of different games per day so the volume of bets can start to add up. These cover a variety of odds, although Winner After 45 seems to be mostly focused on rather middling odds.
There is a staking plan of sorts in place for Winner After 45 however it has to be said that this is a pretty basic affair. Because of the way you bet and the fact that you may well cover multiple bets per day, it is recommended that you stake 0.5 point on bets.
This is based on a 50 point betting bank. As such, it does mean that Winner After 45 doesn’t ever stretch this too far.
The final thing that I want to talk about is the strike rate, or more specifically, the lack thereof. Dan Watts doesn’t make any claims in this regard and there is no proofing provided for Winner After 45 either.
As such, it makes it very difficult to get an idea of what you can expect. What is said in the sales material that I found interesting though is Dan Watts’s claim about losing days. In a third of the season, he claims that Winner After 45 has only had “the occasional losing day”.
How Does Winner After 45 Work?
Winner After 45 is pretty good in so much as it is set and forget betting. This means that you can simply place your bets in the morning and get on with your day. In terms of the selection process, rather disappointingly, we are given no insight whatsoever in to how Dan Watts finds his bets.
There is no getting around the fact that this is something of a disappointment to me. I always feel that as a punter, you should have a reasonable idea of what you are getting into. In the case of Winner After 45, you can’t really.
There are some hints about how Winner After 45 works, for example placing multiple bets on games tells me that there is an element of bet hedging, but this is all very vague and somewhat speculative.
Further to this, I wouldn’t necessarily say that any of the bets that I have seen have been what I would call surprising, suggesting there could be a simple “common sense approach”. It isn’t even like Winner After 45 comes with comprehensive proofing you could point to as an example of what to expect. This is all rather disappointing.
What is the Initial Investment?
There is only one option if you want to subscribe to Winner After 45 which is Dan Watts asking a one time payment of £30. This provides you with selections for the rest of the season (May 2019).
Interestingly, there is no mention about what kind of costs there may be for the future and ultimately, I find that this may prove to be one of the more telling elements of Winner After 45.
I feel that it should be highlighted that there is a full 60 day money back guarantee in place for Winner After 45 as it is sold through Clickbank. This isn’t, however ever mentioned by Dan Watts, a point that concerns me somewhat and also ties in with some other thoughts I will pick up later.
What is the Rate of Return?
Dan Watts says that so far this season he has made 50.13 points of profit using the same methods that are behind Winner After 45. This is not a large amount by any stretch of the imagination, however it does supposedly represent doubling your betting bank. Moving forward, Dan Watts claims that over the next 100 days, you can expect to double your betting bank once again.
Conclusion on Winner After 45
If there is one positive thing that I can equivocally say about Winner After 45 it is that it is inexpensive. From here on out though, I am afraid that I have to be a little more cut throat in what I say, mostly because there is not a whole lot that stands out as positive.
As well as some things which I just out and out find to be negatives, there are also a number of things that Dan Watts says that seem to raise more questions than they answer.
First things first, let’s talk about the profit, or more specifically, the lack thereof. I can see how doubling your bank several times a year may not necessarily be a bad result.
Unfortunately for Winner After 45, in my opinion, this is very much dependent on how big your bank is having a substantial enough initial betting bank. Putting it into wider context, 50 points 3 times a year is not a lot at all compared to other tipster services.
The real problem that I have though is simply that despite all of the claims that are made, there is very little in the way of supporting evidence. All of the long term claims that are made are entirely unsubstantiated.
This is something that I have come to expect to some degree from tipsters and that could well be the end of it. The problem that I have with drawing a line under this is that the vendor who is selling Winner After 45 has released a number of tipster services before now, none of which I can recall that are still around.
To me, this suggests that even if Dan Watts were real, there is at least some possibility that 3 months down the line, the service may could be wrapped up. Here is the thing, I can entirely appreciate how and why some people may engage with Winner After 45.
I can entirely understand how £30 for 6 months of selections looks good, but if it isn’t going to make you money, then you simply aren’t getting value.
With all of this in mind, it shouldn’t come as too much of a surprise to learn that I wouldn’t really recommend Winner After 45. Even if I thought this were a genuine tipster service, I can think of plenty of examples that could make you substantially more profit.
Combine this with some of the back end issues, and it only cements an already strong aversion.