Race Tips Today Review

Race Tips Today is a brand new horse racing tipster service which is operated by Paul Murphy. He claims that his service is “The Easy Way” to make money through betting.

Introduction to Race Tips Today

You do hear some fanciful tales in my line of work. From corrupt top secret syndicates of owners, trainers, and jockeys all the way up to miraculous people who can tell a horse will win just by looking at it. Sometimes, the copy for these services is more akin to reading a thriller novel set in the world of horse racing than real life. Sometimes, it is much less exciting, but nonetheless as questionable.

Which leads me nicely to Race Tips Today. A tipster service which is a wider betting group headed up by Managing Director Paul Murphy. Seemingly, this tipster service has it all. Including some very decent looking profits as well. And all at a very reasonable price? That’s a complete winner surely?! Well, in theory, yes. But in reality, this isn’t that much different to the usual stuff that I get to look at day in and day out.

As is almost always the case, it is very easy for anybody to make claims. Paul Murphy does just that with Race Tips Today (as I will discuss in detail a little later). But there is often a huge disparity between the claims that are made, and the reality of a situation. Just how wide is the gulf this particular service? Let’s get right into it and find out.

What Does Race Tips Today Offer?

According to the sales material, Race Tips Today is a very good option. Straight off the bat we are told that it features:

  • Daily updates and profits
  • Established and well known
  • Guaranteed performance
  • Very valuable information

That is a pretty clear statement of intent from Paul Murphy about what you are getting yourself into here. Right? Well, I’m not so certain. Because there isn’t anything that backs this up. But I’ll explore all that a little later on.

So, we’ve got out of the way the claims that Paul Murphy makes about Race Tips Today. Not surprisingly, they tell us pretty much nothing about what this is. Fortunately, I should be able to shed a little more light on the situation. And I want to start with the logistics of the matter.

Several times, Race Tips Today is referred to as a daily tipster service. In fact, we are told that you can expect tips “7 days a week, 12 months a year”. From what I have seen so far, Paul Murphy really does deliver on this as well. Unfortunately, I actually find that to be rather concerning. Even the best tipsters that I have looked at have days where they simply can’t find bets, so to simply keep pulling them out of the air day in day out… Well, it doesn’t look great.

Moving on from that, I want to talk about the management element. As you would probably expect, the selections are sent out directly via email. This is all part for the course although the fact that the aim is to send out tips by 8am (although potentially it may be as late as 11am) is welcome.

The fact is that this kind of timescale does mean that if you are following Race Tips Today and work a 9-5, you should still be able to get bets placed. This is also early enough in the day that there are generally more favourable odds out there. Whilst you do get some advice, the quality isn’t exactly stellar. As such, an odds comparison website will be a useful tool here.

Moving on to the bets themselves, all bets are advised as “win and each way”. This kind of bet is widely available and you shouldn’t have too much trouble getting them on. That is something that also counts in the favour of Race Tips Today.

What isn’t so favourable is the lack of clarity on how many bets to expect. The sales material makes reference to “7 betting tips a day” before stating that you can expect to receive “up to four high quality tips a day”. From what I have seen, you will definitely be leaning more towards the latter end, but it is still a somewhat concerning mistake to me.

One thing that there is consistent reference made to is the fact that Race Tips Today uses a range of longer and shorter odds bets in order to produce and maintain a profit. This appears to be somewhat true. The very limited evidence is in line with this, and what I have seen so far also suggests this. But those bigger bets winning is a different kettle of fish.

This only really leaves the numbers side of things to talk about. Race Tips Today is a very straight forward affair in terms of the staking plan. Whilst it isn’t something that is ever actually stated anywhere, the very limited evidence that exists suggests that you should be betting to level stakes of 1 point per bet.

There also isn’t any evidence provided by Paul Murphy that talks about what kind of betting bank you should need. Realistically, I’d say that the somewhat “standard” recommendation of 100 points should suffice here. There is a fair amount of potential for quite a lot of drawdown here.

Which brings me to the strike rate, or rather, the lack thereof. The unfortunate fact of the matter is that we aren’t offered any insight into what to expect here. The results that are provided appear to be woefully out of date (presumably we weren’t expected to check them).

The “most recent wins” (also the only wins) seem to be from November of last year. But even putting that aside, there is no context for them that would allow you to try and calculate a win rate. Honestly, this is all massively concerning to me.

How Does Race Tips Today Work?

Whilst there is definitely a lot of information that is missing from Race Tips Today, one area that isn’t lacking is the bit where Paul Murphy tells us about how his selections are found. Rather frustratingly though, whilst the information is seemingly insightful, we aren’t actually told any specifics that are actually helpful.

Key to Race Tips Today is Paul Murphy’s claim that the team is made of “accountants, administration officers, computer scientists, customer service representatives, ex bookmakers, jockeys and trainers, and a comprehensive list of contacts throughout the International racing community”. This supposedly allows them to utilise “industry contacts, technical know-how and years of combined experience”.

What we are told is that Race Tips Today is “a truly international organisation”. Supposedly, this allows them to work 24 hours a day which gives a competitive edge over other tipsters. This, we are told, is because their “knowledge is constantly evolving, and [they] evaluate everything related to race horse betting from recent results to the onsite weather conditions”. All of which takes place on a “minute by minute basis”.

You will note that this all sounds very good. But as well as actually having little in the way of substance, there is also no real evidence backing these claims up either. There certainly isn’t any kind of proofing that one can look at to get context for what you can expect from the service in the longer term. Which is hugely concerning given how out of date the limited evidence provided. 

What is the Initial Investment?

If you want to sign up for Race Tips Today there is just one option that is available. This is a one time cost of £60 for which you get access to selections for 3 months. This definitely means that Paul Murphy is seemingly offering a complete bargain here. However, I’m not convinced.

One thing that is worth noting is that Race Tips Today does come with a full 60 day money back guarantee. This is backed up by the fact that the service is sold through Clickbank (who are generally pretty good, so long as you aren’t a “serial returner”). This is mentioned in the sales material, however it is simply in the FAQ and isn’t that clearly highlighted, interestingly enough. 

What is the Rate of Return?

In terms of the profitability of Race Tips Today, there isn’t a huge amount of information provided. Which is interesting to me. We are told in the headline that you can expect to see $1,400 a week anytime. Keeping in mind that Paul Murphy also says that his service has “Guaranteed performance”, so surely this is entirely attainable right?

I’m not convinced by this. Those very limited results and everything I’ve seen suggests that you simply aren’t going to get close to these results. Even viewing the betting slips that are provided as “evidence”, you are looking at profits of at most £85. That doesn’t really add up to $1,400 per week. 

Conclusion for Race Tips Today

In order to judge whether or not Race Tips Today is a success, I think one of the more interesting places to start are Paul Murphy’s own claims about what his service will deliver. First things first, are there daily updates and profits? There are selections daily, but I don’t really see that as being an “update”. In actual fact, I would expect updates to refer to proofing. Of which there is none.

Is Race Tips Today established and well known? I can say with the utmost confidence that I have not heard of either Paul Murphy or his service before now. Nor has anybody else that I have spoken to. And my research hasn’t turned anything up either. So, for an international team of bettors and professionals, there is surprisingly little known about them. So… No success there either.

Guaranteed performance is just patently false. Any tipster worth their salt will tell you that there simply aren’t any guarantees with betting. On a long enough time scale, you can be confident about this. But it is far from guaranteed. And again, that limited evidence definitely doesn’t suggest that this is close to guaranteed.

And finally, is the information “very valuable”? Well, the short answer to that is simply that I don’t believe that it is. In theory, Paul Murphy’s information may be valuable. If I believed the story about Race Tips Today and what the organisation is. Or if there was comprehensive proofing demonstrating a substantial and consistent profit, but there isn’t.

So, solely off the back of Paul Murphy’s own claims, I don’t believe that Race Tips Today is worthwhile. But there is so much more than this as well. The pricing, for example, is a clear attempt to make it seem like value for money. “Less than £1.00 a day!” we are proudly told. And it is, but that doesn’t inherently mean that it is value for money.

Firstly, I want to talk about the 3 month subscription. Why 3 months? It could be for a genuine reason, but I can’t help looking at the 60 day refund period Clickbank use and wonder if that has something to do with it. Keep people on past those 60 days, they don’t really have a leg to stand on when claiming.

Secondly, the reason I am sceptical that this pricing is in any way genuine is because Paul Murphy says that this is to cover the costs of running the business. Which for a team “based in the central business district of a well known International city” is going to be a damn sight more than £20 per month. So long as you want something that isn’t completely scummy. You’d need a good 500 subscribers for this to add up.

On top of all of that, there are little discrepancies in the sales material that lead me to believe that this may not be entirely above board as well. It is almost as if somebody has thought up the marketing first and then tried to build a service around it. I wouldn’t like to say that this is what has happened with Race Tips Today, but those discrepancies do exist.

With all of this in mind, would I recommend Paul Murphy’s tips? The short answer, probably not surprisingly, is no. Even offering the benefit of doubt on a lot of smaller problems, the fact is there is no demonstration of how you are supposed to reach that claimed profit. And it is a bloody big number to simply take somebody’s word on.

Sure, there might be an argument to be made that it isn’t expensive (67p per day as it stands), but you aren’t really getting anything good for that money. The fact is that just because you don’t spend a lot on something, that doesn’t necessarily justify that cost. And that is very much the case with Race Tips Today.

 

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From: Simon Roberts